The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave HNK Rijeka a 48% win probability (draw 30%, Istra 1961 20%). The final result was Istra 1961 0–0 HNK Rijeka. In 4 previous meetings, Istra 1961 have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for HNK Rijeka.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
5
2
Shots on target
1
1.21
Actual xG
0.62
1
Saves
1
50%
Possession
50%
7
Corners
4
8
Tackles
16
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
S. Prevljak
35'
43'
A. Barco
43'
B. Pavic
58'
D. Legbo
A. Kadusic
/ S. Gorican
62'
62'
J. Lasickas
/
M. Ndockyt
N. Sepic
/ M. Heister
72'
A. Mauric
/ V. Rozic
73'
D. Ahmeti
/ N. Skafar Zuzic
83'
M. Heister
84'
Pre-match prediction
20.52%
Istra
30.72%
X ←
48.77%
HNK
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
30.72%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.58
1.21
+0.64
1.12
0.62
-0.5
Istra 1961 dominated by xG (1.21 vs 0.62).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
F. Kolić
G
F. Kolić
G
16
S. Miettinen
D
S. Miettinen
D
38
R. Kumar
D
R. Kumar
D
24
F. Taraba
D
F. Taraba
D
13
Niko Šepić
72'
M
Niko Šepić
72'
M
5
Josip Radošević
M
Josip Radošević
M
8
A. Maurić
72'
F
A. Maurić
72'
F
97
A. Kadušić
62'
M
A. Kadušić
62'
M
20
D. Ahmeti
83'
F
D. Ahmeti
83'
F
10
S. Lončar
M
S. Lončar
M
9
S. Prevljak
F
S. Prevljak
F
Bench
29
A. Obando
F
A. Obando
F
77
Charles Adah Agada
F
Charles Adah Agada
F
17
E. Frederiksen
F
E. Frederiksen
F
25
G. AlbarracÃn
M
G. AlbarracÃn
M
40
J. Paus-Kunšt
G
J. Paus-Kunšt
G
23
Leo Štulac
M
26
M. Heister
18'
D
M. Heister
18'
D
3
M. Nasraoui
D
M. Nasraoui
D
30
N. Skafar Zuzic
11'
F
N. Skafar Zuzic
11'
F
44
R. Hrvatin
D
R. Hrvatin
D
11
S. Goričan
28'
F
S. Goričan
28'
F
7
V. Rozić
18'
F
V. Rozić
18'
F
99
A. Todorović
G
A. Todorović
G
24
Christian Ouguehi Legbo
57'
D
Christian Ouguehi Legbo
57'
D
34
M. Devetak
D
M. Devetak
D
45
A. Majstorović
D
A. Majstorović
D
22
A. Oreč
D
A. Oreč
D
55
A. Barco
M
A. Barco
M
66
B. PaviÄ
M
B. PaviÄ
M
14
A. Gojak
M
A. Gojak
M
10
T. Fruk
M
T. Fruk
M
20
M. Ndockyt
62'
M
M. Ndockyt
62'
M
18
D. Adu-Adjei
F
D. Adu-Adjei
F
Bench
25
Dominik Thaqi
F
Dominik Thaqi
F
9
Duje Čop
F
Duje Čop
F
11
G. Rukavina
F
G. Rukavina
F
23
J. Lasickas
28'
D
J. Lasickas
28'
D
2
Lovro Kitin
D
Lovro Kitin
D
13
M. Zlomislić
G
M. Zlomislić
G
91
N. Bodetić
D
N. Bodetić
D
1
V. Kovac
G
V. Kovac
G
Best on the pitch
S. Miettinen
D · Istra
7.70
1 shots
· 46 pass
A. Todorović
G · HNK
7.70
· 40 pass
A. Barco
M · HNK
7.50
· 55 pass
J. Lasickas
D · HNK
7.20
· 5 pass
T. Fruk
M · HNK
7.20
2 shots
· 22 pass
Josip Radošević
M · Istra
7.20
1 shots
· 51 pass
Istra 1961 — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Kolić | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 15% | — | — | — |
| S. Miettinen | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Kumar | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Taraba | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| Niko Šepić | M | 72 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Josip Radošević | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 38% | — | — | — |
| A. Maurić | F | 72 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 17% | — | — | — |
| A. Kadušić | M | 62 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Ahmeti | F | 83 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 21% | — | — | — |
| S. Lončar | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 22% | — | — | — |
| S. Prevljak | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Heister | D | 18 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | 1 | 1 | — |
| N. Skafar Zuzic | F | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| S. Goričan | F | 28 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| V. Rozić | F | 18 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
HNK Rijeka — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Todorović | G | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 40 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Christian Ouguehi Legbo | D | 57 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | 1 | — | 1 |
| M. Devetak | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 55 | 46% | — | — | — |
| A. Majstorović | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 47 | 33% | — | — | — |
| A. Oreč | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 18% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Barco | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 55 | 47% | 1 | 1 | — |
| B. PaviÄ | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 37 | 30% | 4 | 1 | — |
| A. Gojak | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Fruk | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 12% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Ndockyt | M | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | — | — | — |
| D. Adu-Adjei | F | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 5% | — | — | — |
| J. Lasickas | D | 28 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Istra 1961 vs HNK Rijeka?
The final score was Istra 1961 0–0 HNK Rijeka.
What did the model predict before Istra 1961 vs HNK Rijeka?
The model assigned 20% probability to a Istra 1961 win, 30% to a draw, and 48% to an HNK Rijeka win.