The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave HNK Rijeka a 48% win probability (draw 30%, Istra 1961 20%). The final result was Istra 1961 0–0 HNK Rijeka. In 3 previous meetings, Istra 1961 have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for HNK Rijeka.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
5
2
Shots on target
1
1.21
Actual xG
0.62
1
Saves
1
50%
Possession
50%
7
Corners
4
8
Tackles
16
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
S. Prevljak
35'
43'
A. Barco
43'
B. Pavic
58'
D. Legbo
A. Kadusic
/ S. Gorican
62'
62'
J. Lasickas
/
M. Ndockyt
N. Sepic
/ M. Heister
72'
A. Mauric
/ V. Rozic
73'
D. Ahmeti
/ N. Skafar Zuzic
83'
M. Heister
84'
Pre-match prediction
20.52%
Istra
30.72%
X ←
48.77%
HNK
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
30.72%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.58
1.21
+0.64
1.12
0.62
-0.5
Istra 1961 dominated by xG (1.21 vs 0.62).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Franko Kolić
G
Franko Kolić
G
16
Samuli Miettinen
D
Samuli Miettinen
D
38
Raul Kumar
D
Raul Kumar
D
24
Filip Taraba
D
Filip Taraba
D
13
Niko Šepić
72'
M
Niko Šepić
72'
M
5
Josip Radošević
M
Josip Radošević
M
8
Antonio Maurić
72'
F
Antonio Maurić
72'
F
97
Advan Kadušić
62'
M
Advan Kadušić
62'
M
20
Dukan Ahmeti
83'
F
Dukan Ahmeti
83'
F
10
S. Lončar
M
S. Lončar
M
9
S. Prevljak
F
S. Prevljak
F
Bench
29
Allen Obando
F
Allen Obando
F
77
Charles Adah Agada
F
Charles Adah Agada
F
17
E. Frederiksen
F
E. Frederiksen
F
25
Gustavo Albarracín
M
Gustavo Albarracín
M
40
Jan Paus-Kunšt
G
Jan Paus-Kunšt
G
23
Leo Štulac
M
Leo Štulac
M
26
M. Heister
18'
D
M. Heister
18'
D
3
Mohamed Nasraoui
D
Mohamed Nasraoui
D
30
Nik Škafar Žužić
11'
F
Nik Škafar Žužić
11'
F
44
Rene Hrvatin
D
Rene Hrvatin
D
11
Silvio Goričan
28'
F
Silvio Goričan
28'
F
7
Vinko Rozić
18'
F
Vinko Rozić
18'
F
99
Aleksa Todorović
G
Aleksa Todorović
G
24
Christian Ouguehi Legbo
57'
D
Christian Ouguehi Legbo
57'
D
34
M. Devetak
D
M. Devetak
D
45
A. Majstorović
D
A. Majstorović
D
22
A. Oreč
D
A. Oreč
D
55
Alfonso Barco
M
Alfonso Barco
M
66
Branko Pavić
M
Branko Pavić
M
14
Amer Gojak
M
Amer Gojak
M
10
Toni Fruk
M
Toni Fruk
M
20
Merveille Ndockyt
62'
M
Merveille Ndockyt
62'
M
18
D. Adu-Adjei
F
D. Adu-Adjei
F
Bench
25
Dominik Thaqi
F
Dominik Thaqi
F
9
Duje Čop
F
Duje Čop
F
11
Gabriel Rukavina
F
Gabriel Rukavina
F
23
Justas Lasickas
28'
D
Justas Lasickas
28'
D
2
Lovro Kitin
D
Lovro Kitin
D
13
Martin Zlomislić
G
Martin Zlomislić
G
91
Noel Bodetić
D
Noel Bodetić
D
1
Vito Kovač
G
Vito Kovač
G
Best on the pitch
Samuli Miettinen
D · Istra
7.70
1 shots
· 46 pass
Aleksa Todorović
G · HNK
7.70
· 40 pass
Alfonso Barco
M · HNK
7.50
· 55 pass
Justas Lasickas
D · HNK
7.20
· 5 pass
Toni Fruk
M · HNK
7.20
2 shots
· 22 pass
Josip Radošević
M · Istra
7.20
1 shots
· 51 pass
Istra 1961 — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franko Kolić | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Samuli Miettinen | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| Raul Kumar | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| Filip Taraba | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| Niko Šepić | M | 72 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Josip Radošević | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 38% | — | — | — |
| Antonio Maurić | F | 72 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Advan Kadušić | M | 62 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Dukan Ahmeti | F | 83 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 21% | — | — | — |
| S. Lončar | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 22% | — | — | — |
| S. Prevljak | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Heister | D | 18 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Nik Škafar Žužić | F | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Silvio Goričan | F | 28 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Vinko Rozić | F | 18 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
HNK Rijeka — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aleksa Todorović | G | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 40 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Christian Ouguehi Legbo | D | 57 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | 1 | — | 1 |
| M. Devetak | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 55 | 46% | — | — | — |
| A. Majstorović | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 47 | 33% | — | — | — |
| A. Oreč | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 18% | 3 | — | — |
| Alfonso Barco | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 55 | 47% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Branko Pavić | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 37 | 30% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Amer Gojak | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Toni Fruk | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 12% | 3 | — | — |
| Merveille Ndockyt | M | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | — | — | — |
| D. Adu-Adjei | F | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Justas Lasickas | D | 28 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Istra 1961 vs HNK Rijeka?
The final score was Istra 1961 0–0 HNK Rijeka.
What did the model predict before Istra 1961 vs HNK Rijeka?
The model assigned 20% probability to a Istra 1961 win, 30% to a draw, and 48% to an HNK Rijeka win.