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HNL · Regular Season - 1 August 01, 2026 18:30 Stadion Aldo Drosina, Pula
Istra 1961
#6 · 6 pts
2 – 3
Final score
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
#7 · 6 pts
E. Frederiksen (ast. N. Skafar Zuzic) 30'
E. Frederiksen 58'
26' A. Triantafyllou
42' (ast. M. Maric) D. Vukovic
90' (ast. M. Pajac) I. Katic
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Istra 1961 a 34% win probability (draw 32%, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 33%). The final result was Istra 1961 2–3 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb. In 4 previous meetings, Istra 1961 have won 1 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb.

Match statistics
17
Total shots
9
8
Shots on target
5
2.35
Actual xG
0.93
2
Saves
6
55%
Possession
45%
7
Corners
4
16
Tackles
17
0
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
26'
A. Triantafyllou⚽
⚽E. Frederiksen · ast. N. Skafar Zuzic
30'
32'
42'
ast. M. Maric · D. Vukovic⚽
46'
N. Godec / M. Lorber ↕
49'
M. Pajac
⚽E. Frederiksen
58'
61'
L. Belcar / J. Vasilj ↕
↕ R. Hrvatin / A. Kadusic
63'
↕ M. Kablar / D. Doumbia
63'
71'
M. Antunovic / M. Maric ↕
↕ G. Albarracin / A. Mauric
77'
↕ N. Skafar Zuzic / D. Ahmeti
77'
79'
N. Godec
↕ I. Saranic / S. Gorican
85'
87'
D. Thaqi / M. Susak ↕
87'
T. Kralevski / D. Vukovic ↕
90'+4
M. Antunovic
90'+4
I. Katic
90'
ast. M. Pajac · I. Katic⚽
Pre-match prediction
34.11%
Istra
32.89%
X
33.0%
NK ←
we assigned to the actual result (NK Lokomotiva Zagreb) 33.0% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Istra
0.56
2.35
+1.79
NK
0.62
0.93
+0.31
Istra 1961 dominated by xG (2.35 vs 0.93). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split 6 13
2 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 5 13
3 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 6 13
4 NK Osijek NK Osijek 6 12
5 HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka 5 10
6 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 6 6
7 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 6 6
8 NK Slaven Belupo NK Slaven Belupo 6 6
9 Rudes Rudes 6 3
10 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 6 1
Lineups
Istra 1961 Istra 1961 4-2-3-1
1 F. Kolić F. Kolić G 5.90
13 Niko Šepić Niko Šepić D 6.50
16 S. Miettinen S. Miettinen D 6.30
3 M. Nasraoui M. Nasraoui D 6.70
44 R. Hrvatin R. Hrvatin 63' D 6.20
34 M. Kablar M. Kablar 63' M 6.90
25 G. Albarracín G. Albarracín 77' M 6.50
30 N. Skafar Zuzic N. Skafar Zuzic 1 👟 77' M 7.30
80 I. Šaranić I. Šaranić 85' M 6.50
22 E. Frederiksen E. Frederiksen 2 ⚽ M 8.70
94 H. Jaganjac H. Jaganjac F 6.50
Bench
97 A. Kadušić A. Kadušić 27' D 6.30
8 A. Maurić A. Maurić 13' M 6.30
77 Charles Adah Agada Charles Adah Agada F
20 D. Ahmeti D. Ahmeti 13' M 6.90
27 D. Celija D. Celija F
88 D. Doumbia D. Doumbia 27' M 6.60
24 F. Taraba F. Taraba D
40 J. Paus-Kunšt J. Paus-Kunšt G
66 M. Momoh M. Momoh D
18 Saydou Bangura Saydou Bangura F
11 S. Goričan S. Goričan 13' F 6.30
23 S. Ukich S. Ukich M
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 4-2-3-1
12 J. Posavec J. Posavec G 7.00
17 M. Pajač M. Pajač 1 👟 D 6.70
5 Tino Jukić Tino Jukić D 6.70
4 T. Triantafyllou T. Triantafyllou 1 ⚽ D 7.90
14 M. Lorber M. Lorber 45' D 6.30
10 M. Subotić M. Subotić M 8.00
8 I. Katić I. Katić 1 ⚽ M 7.20
11 Mirko Sušak Mirko Sušak 87' M 6.00
29 J. Vasilj J. Vasilj 61' M 6.20
7 D. Vuković D. Vuković 1 ⚽ 87' M 7.30
24 M. Marić M. Marić 1 👟 71' F 6.90
Bench
15 Dominik Thaqi Dominik Thaqi 11' F 6.30
30 D. Reic D. Reic M
6 F. Fetai F. Fetai M
20 K. Čabrajić K. Čabrajić D
9 L. Belcar L. Belcar 29' M 6.90
32 L. Savatović L. Savatović G
22 M. Antunović M. Antunović 19' F 6.50
27 N. Godec N. Godec 45' D 6.20
28 Noel Đurković Noel Đurković F
21 T. Kralevski T. Kralevski 11' D 6.70
Best on the pitch
E. Frederiksen
E. Frederiksen
M · Istra
8.70
2 ⚽
4 shots · 35 pass
M. Subotić
M. Subotić
M · NK
8.00
1 shots · 45 pass
T. Triantafyllou
T. Triantafyllou
D · NK
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 46 pass
D. Vuković
D. Vuković
M · NK
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots · 8 pass
N. Skafar Zuzic
N. Skafar Zuzic
M · Istra
7.30
1 👟
3 shots · 15 pass
I. Katić
I. Katić
M · NK
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 19 pass
Istra 1961 Istra 1961 — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
F. Kolić G 90 5.90 — — — 19 14% — — —
Niko Šepić D 90 6.50 — — — 47 41% 1 — —
S. Miettinen D 90 6.30 — — — 47 43% — — —
M. Nasraoui D 90 6.70 — — — 49 43% 2 — —
R. Hrvatin D 63 6.20 — — — 31 25% 1 — —
M. Kablar M 63 6.90 — — — 32 29% 2 — —
G. Albarracín M 77 6.50 — — — 39 34% 1 — —
N. Skafar Zuzic M 77 7.30 — 1 3 15 12% 1 — —
I. Šaranić M 85 6.50 — — 6 27 20% 1 — —
E. Frederiksen M 90 8.70 2 — 4 35 27% 1 — —
H. Jaganjac F 90 6.50 — — 3 21 14% 2 — —
A. Kadušić D 27 6.30 — — — 12 10% 2 — —
A. Maurić M 13 6.30 — — — 15 9% — — —
D. Ahmeti M 13 6.90 — — — 8 6% 1 — —
D. Doumbia M 27 6.60 — — 1 13 11% 1 — —
S. Goričan F 13 6.30 — — — 3 3% — — —
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Lokomotiva Zagreb — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Posavec G 90 7.00 — — — 34 25% — — —
M. Pajač D 90 6.70 — 1 — 43 35% — 1 —
Tino Jukić D 90 6.70 — — — 45 39% 1 — —
T. Triantafyllou D 90 7.90 1 — 1 46 39% 1 — —
M. Lorber D 45 6.30 — — — 14 11% 3 — —
M. Subotić M 90 8.00 — — 1 45 44% 4 — —
I. Katić M 90 7.20 1 — 2 19 16% 1 1 —
Mirko Sušak M 87 6.00 — — 1 21 16% 3 — —
J. Vasilj M 61 6.20 — — 1 18 12% — — —
D. Vuković M 87 7.30 1 — 3 8 5% 3 — —
M. Marić F 71 6.90 — 1 — 16 11% 1 — —
Dominik Thaqi F 11 6.30 — — — 2 1% — — —
L. Belcar M 29 6.90 — — — 19 17% — — —
M. Antunović F 19 6.50 — — — 2 — — 1 —
N. Godec D 45 6.20 — — — 11 9% — 1 —
T. Kralevski D 11 6.70 — — — 1 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Istra 1961 vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?
The final score was Istra 1961 2–3 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb.
What did the model predict before Istra 1961 vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Istra 1961 win, 32% to a draw, and 33% to an NK Lokomotiva Zagreb win.