HNL · Regular Season - 3 August 15, 2026 18:30 Stadion Aldo Drosina, Pula

Istra 1961

#6 · 13 pts

3 – 0

Final score

NK Slaven Belupo

#7 · 13 pts

N. Skafar Zuzic (ast. I. Saranic) 16'

H. Jaganjac (ast. I. Saranic) 35'

H. Jaganjac (ast. E. Frederiksen) 56'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Istra 1961 a 37% win probability (draw 30%, NK Slaven Belupo 32%). The final result was Istra 1961 3–0 NK Slaven Belupo. In 4 previous meetings, Istra 1961 have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for NK Slaven Belupo.

Match statistics

7

Shots on target

4

2.85

Actual xG

0.30

63%

Possession

37%

5

Corners

3

Match Events

3'

F. Kutlesa

A. Mauric

13'

⚽N. Skafar Zuzic · ast. I. Saranic

16'

⚽H. Jaganjac · ast. I. Saranic

35'

↕ A. Mauric / G. Albarracin

46'

⚽H. Jaganjac · ast. E. Frederiksen

56'

↕ N. Skafar Zuzic / D. Ahmeti

61'

↕ I. Saranic / V. Rozic

61'

63'

A. Adeshina / L. Banovec ↕

64'

A. Jonsson / L. Crepulja ↕

64'

A. Grgic / I. Nestorovski ↕

↕ R. Hrvatin / A. Kadusic

76'

76'

L. Bosnjak / D. Bosak ↕

78'

A. Adeshina

↕ H. Jaganjac / S. Ukich

85'

85'

K. Isasegi / D. Kovacic ↕

87'

M. Dabro

S. Ukich

90'+2

Pre-match prediction

37.02%

Istra ←

30.95%

X

32.03%

NK

we assigned to the actual result (Istra 1961) 37.02% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Istra

1.84

2.85

+1.02

NK

1.82

0.30

-1.52

Istra 1961 dominated by xG (2.85 vs 0.30). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	HNK Hajduk Split	11	23
2	Dinamo Zagreb	10	22
3	NK Varazdin	11	18
4	NK Osijek	11	17
5	HNK Rijeka	10	17
6	Istra 1961	11	13
7	NK Slaven Belupo	11	13
8	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb	11	11
9	Rudes	11	10
10	HNK Gorica	11	7