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Italy U21 - Belgium U21

Friendlies Internazionali November 16, 2026 18:15
Italy U21
vs
Belgium U21
⚡ Pre-match analysis
36.03%
Win
Italy U21
31.42%
Draw
32.55%
Win
Belgium U21
2.59
Expected xG
1.81

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (10.21%)
1X2 Result
1 36%
X 31%
2 33%
Double Chance
1X 68%
X2 64%
12 69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 53%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Italy U21 a 36% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Belgium U21. Expected goals are 2.6 for Italy U21 and 1.8 for Belgium U21 (total 4.4), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.21% probability.

Season Stats

Italy U21
2W 0D 0L
Belgium U21
1W 0D 1L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
1.5
0.5
Conceded
1.5
Percentages
50%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
100%
50%
BTTS
100%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 2 matches in Friendlies Internazionali. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
0%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
Italy U21
1W 0D 0L · at home
Belgium U21
1W 0D 1L · away
1.0
gls/g
1.5
0.0
Conceded
1.5
100%
Win %
50%
100%
Win or Draw
50%
0%
O 1.5
100%
0%
O 2.5
100%
0%
O 3.5
0%
0%
BTTS
100%
100%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 2
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Italy U21 Belgium U21 →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.2% 2.2% 2.0% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2%
1 3.2% 5.7% 5.2% 3.2% 1.4% 0.5%
2 4.1% 7.4% 6.7% 4.1% 1.9% 0.7%
3 3.5% 6.4% 5.8% 3.5% 1.6% 0.6%
4 2.3% 4.2% 3.8% 2.3% 1.0% 0.4%
5 1.2% 2.2% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%

Recent form

Italy U21 Italy U21
W France U21 1–2
W Albania U21 1–0
Belgium U21 Belgium U21
W Germany U21 1–2
L Netherlands U21 2–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 23%

Playing profile

Italy U21 Italy U21
Attack
25
Defence
100
Form
71
Belgium U21 Belgium U21
Attack
25
Defence
50
Form
34
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Italy U21 vs Belgium U21?
The model gives Italy U21 a 36% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 32% for an Belgium U21 win.
How many goals are expected in Italy U21 vs Belgium U21?
Expected goals: Italy U21 2.6, Belgium U21 1.8 (total 4.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Italy U21 vs Belgium U21?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.21%.