20'
(ast. Kevin De Bruyne)
Mika Godts
69'
(ast. Charles De Ketelaere)
Dodi Lukebakio
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Italy a 48% win probability (draw 22%, Belgium 29%). The final result was Italy 0–2 Belgium. In 2 previous meetings, Italy have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Belgium.
Match statistics
21
Total shots
19
6
Shots on target
8
6
Saves
6
56%
Possession
44%
4
Corners
8
11
Tackles
11
3
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
20'
ast. Kevin De Bruyne ·
Mika Godts⚽
25'
Nicolas Raskin
29'
Diego Moreira
58'
Hans Vanaken
/
Kevin De Bruyne
58'
Dodi Lukebakio
/
Diego Moreira
Gianluca Mancini
63'
Diego Coppola
/ Giorgio Scalvini
65'
Pio Esposito
/ Daniel Maldini
65'
Alessandro Romano
/ Davide Frattesi
65'
69'
ast. Charles De Ketelaere ·
Dodi Lukebakio⚽
74'
Romeo Lavia
/
Nicolas Raskin
80'
Romeo Lavia
Nicolò Barella
/ Issa Doumbia
80'
Nicolo Cambiaghi
/ Mohamed Alì Zoma
80'
83'
Matias Fernandez-Pardo
/
Mika Godts
84'
Romelu Lukaku
/
Charles De Ketelaere
89'
Matias Fernandez-Pardo
Daniel Maldini
90'+1
Gianluigi Donnarumma
90'+4
90'+4
Romelu Lukaku
Pre-match prediction
48.32%
Italy
22.22%
X
29.45%
Belgium ←
we assigned to the actual result (Belgium)
29.45%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.98
—
—
1.48
—
—
Lineups
1
G. Donnarumma
G
G. Donnarumma
G
5
R. Calafiori
D
R. Calafiori
D
6
D. Coppola
65'
D
D. Coppola
65'
D
23
G. Mancini
D
G. Mancini
D
22
G. Di Lorenzo
D
G. Di Lorenzo
D
8
S. Tonali
M
S. Tonali
M
4
A. Romano
65'
M
A. Romano
65'
M
18
N. Barella
80'
M
N. Barella
80'
M
21
N. Cambiaghi
80'
F
N. Cambiaghi
80'
F
7
F. Esposito
65'
F
F. Esposito
65'
F
9
M. Kean
F
M. Kean
F
Bench
16
D. Frattesi
25'
M
D. Frattesi
25'
M
20
D. Maldini
25'
F
D. Maldini
25'
F
10
Giacomo Raspadori
F
Giacomo Raspadori
F
19
G. Scalvini
25'
D
G. Scalvini
25'
D
11
G. Scamacca
F
G. Scamacca
F
14
G. Vicario
G
G. Vicario
G
3
H. Ahanor
D
H. Ahanor
D
15
I. Doumbia
10'
M
I. Doumbia
10'
M
12
M. Carnesecchi
G
M. Carnesecchi
G
2
M. Kayode
D
M. Kayode
D
17
M. Zoma
10'
F
M. Zoma
10'
F
13
R. Mandragora
M
R. Mandragora
M
1
S. Lammens
G
S. Lammens
G
5
M. De Cuyper
D
M. De Cuyper
D
4
Brandon Mechele
D
Brandon Mechele
D
15
N. Ngoy
D
N. Ngoy
D
21
T. Castagne
D
T. Castagne
D
23
N. Raskin
74'
M
N. Raskin
74'
M
8
Y. Tielemans
M
Y. Tielemans
M
10
M. Godts
1 ⚽
83'
M
M. Godts
1 ⚽
83'
M
7
K. De Bruyne
1 👟
58'
M
K. De Bruyne
1 👟
58'
M
19
Diego Moreira
58'
M
Diego Moreira
58'
M
17
C. De Ketelaere
1 👟
84'
F
C. De Ketelaere
1 👟
84'
F
Bench
3
A. Theate
D
A. Theate
D
14
D. Lukebakio
1 ⚽
32'
F
D. Lukebakio
1 ⚽
32'
F
20
Hans Vanaken
32'
M
Hans Vanaken
32'
M
13
J. De Busser
G
J. De Busser
G
18
J. Seys
D
J. Seys
D
11
L. Openda
F
L. Openda
F
22
M. Fernandez-Pardo
7'
F
M. Fernandez-Pardo
7'
F
16
M. Keita
M
M. Keita
M
12
M. Vandevoordt
G
M. Vandevoordt
G
6
R. Lavia
16'
M
R. Lavia
16'
M
9
Romelu Lukaku
6'
F
Romelu Lukaku
6'
F
2
Z. Debast
D
Z. Debast
D
Best on the pitch
M. Godts
M · Belgium
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 35 pass
G. Donnarumma
G · Italy
7.84
· 26 pass
S. Lammens
G · Belgium
7.84
· 38 pass
C. De Ketelaere
F · Belgium
7.70
1 👟
2 shots
· 22 pass
K. De Bruyne
M · Belgium
7.70
1 👟
3 shots
· 32 pass
D. Lukebakio
F · Belgium
7.61
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 12 pass
Italy — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Donnarumma | G | 90 | 7.84 | — | — | 0 | 26 | 21% | 0 | 1 | — |
| R. Calafiori | D | 90 | 6.74 | — | — | 2 | 65 | 65% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Coppola | D | 65 | 6.82 | — | — | 0 | 63 | 57% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Mancini | D | 90 | 6.11 | — | — | 2 | 79 | 74% | 0 | 1 | — |
| G. Di Lorenzo | D | 90 | 6.54 | — | — | 1 | 63 | 55% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Tonali | M | 90 | 6.28 | — | — | 2 | 52 | 48% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Romano | M | 65 | 6.45 | — | — | 2 | 37 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Barella | M | 80 | 7.01 | — | — | 1 | 67 | 62% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Cambiaghi | F | 80 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Esposito | F | 65 | 6.59 | — | — | 3 | 13 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Kean | F | 90 | 6.37 | — | — | 5 | 20 | 15% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Frattesi | M | 25 | 6.22 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Maldini | F | 25 | 6.31 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 13% | 1 | 1 | — |
| G. Scalvini | D | 25 | 6.37 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Doumbia | M | 10 | 5.95 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Zoma | F | 10 | 6.23 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
Belgium — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Lammens | G | 90 | 7.84 | — | — | 0 | 38 | 27% | 0 | — | — |
| M. De Cuyper | D | 90 | 7.51 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| Brandon Mechele | D | 90 | 7.40 | — | — | 0 | 60 | 54% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Ngoy | D | 90 | 7.45 | — | — | 1 | 63 | 60% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Castagne | D | 90 | 7.37 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 28% | 0 | — | — |
| N. Raskin | M | 74 | 6.65 | — | — | 2 | 32 | 31% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Y. Tielemans | M | 90 | 6.54 | — | — | 2 | 32 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Godts | M | 83 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 35 | 28% | 0 | — | — |
| K. De Bruyne | M | 58 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 3 | 32 | 30% | 0 | — | — |
| Diego Moreira | M | 58 | 6.89 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 19% | 0 | 1 | — |
| C. De Ketelaere | F | 84 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 2 | 22 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Lukebakio | F | 32 | 7.61 | 1 | — | 1 | 12 | 12% | 3 | — | — |
| Hans Vanaken | M | 32 | 6.95 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Fernandez-Pardo | F | 7 | 6.35 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 3% | 1 | 1 | — |
| R. Lavia | M | 16 | 6.63 | — | — | 0 | 17 | 16% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Romelu Lukaku | F | 6 | 6.47 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 1% | 1 | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Italy vs Belgium?
The final score was Italy 0–2 Belgium.
What did the model predict before Italy vs Belgium?
The model assigned 48% probability to a Italy win, 22% to a draw, and 29% to an Belgium win.