Gianluca Scamacca
26'
Riccardo Calafiori
(ast. Nicolò Barella)
64'
Pio Esposito
(ast. Alessandro Romano)
87'
61'
(ast. Eren Elmalı)
Aral Simsir
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Italy a 58% win probability (draw 26%, Türkiye 15%). The final result was Italy 3–1 Türkiye. In 1 previous meetings, Italy have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Türkiye.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
14
6
Shots on target
5
4
Saves
3
45%
Possession
55%
3
Corners
9
19
Tackles
12
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽Gianluca Scamacca
26'
Gianluca Scamacca
42'
Matteo Ruggeri
47'
55'
Zeki Çelik
Giovanni Di Lorenzo
/ Michael Kayode
55'
Matteo Ruggeri
/ Riccardo Calafiori
56'
Gianluca Scamacca
/ Pio Esposito
56'
61'
ast. Eren Elmalı ·
Aral Simsir⚽
⚽Riccardo Calafiori
· ast. Nicolò Barella
64'
Nicolò Barella
/ Sandro Tonali
70'
70'
Bartuğ Elmaz
/
İrfan Can Kahveci
70'
Ilhan Fakili
/
Aral Simsir
79'
Kerem Aktürkoğlu
/
Ismail Yüksek
81'
Eren Elmalı
Antonio Vergara
/ Davide Frattesi
84'
⚽Pio Esposito
· ast. Alessandro Romano
87'
88'
Deniz Gül
/
Yunus Akgün
88'
Oğuz Aydın
/
Ferdi Kadıoğlu
Pre-match prediction
58.15%
Italy ←
26.8%
X
15.06%
Türkiye
we assigned to the actual result (Italy)
58.15%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.56
—
—
0.71
—
—
Lineups
1
G. Donnarumma
G
G. Donnarumma
G
3
M. Ruggeri
56'
D
M. Ruggeri
56'
D
6
A. Bastoni
D
A. Bastoni
D
23
G. Mancini
D
G. Mancini
D
22
G. Di Lorenzo
55'
D
G. Di Lorenzo
55'
D
15
I. Doumbia
M
I. Doumbia
M
4
A. Romano
1 👟
M
A. Romano
1 👟
M
18
N. Barella
1 👟
70'
M
N. Barella
1 👟
70'
M
17
D. Maldini
F
D. Maldini
F
11
G. Scamacca
1 ⚽
56'
F
G. Scamacca
1 ⚽
56'
F
21
A. Vergara
84'
F
A. Vergara
84'
F
Bench
16
D. Frattesi
6'
M
D. Frattesi
6'
M
9
F. Esposito
1 ⚽
34'
F
F. Esposito
1 ⚽
34'
F
19
G. Scalvini
D
G. Scalvini
D
13
G. Vicario
G
G. Vicario
G
12
M. Carnesecchi
G
M. Carnesecchi
G
2
M. Kayode
35'
D
M. Kayode
35'
D
7
N. Cambiaghi
F
N. Cambiaghi
F
10
N. Fagioli
M
N. Fagioli
M
5
R. Calafiori
1 ⚽
34'
D
R. Calafiori
1 ⚽
34'
D
20
S. Esposito
F
S. Esposito
F
14
S. Inacio
F
S. Inacio
F
8
S. Tonali
20'
M
S. Tonali
20'
M
1
Uğurcan Çakır
G
Uğurcan Çakır
G
13
Eren Elmalı
1 👟
D
Eren Elmalı
1 👟
D
14
Abdülkerim Bardakcı
D
Abdülkerim Bardakcı
D
15
O. Kabak
D
O. Kabak
D
2
Z. Çelik
D
Z. Çelik
D
20
F. Kadıoğlu
88'
D
F. Kadıoğlu
88'
D
21
Aral Şimşir
1 ⚽
70'
M
Aral Şimşir
1 ⚽
70'
M
10
İ. Kahveci
70'
M
İ. Kahveci
70'
M
16
İsmail Yüksek
79'
M
İsmail Yüksek
79'
M
5
Salih Özcan
M
Salih Özcan
M
19
Yunus Akgün
88'
F
Yunus Akgün
88'
F
Bench
12
A. Bayındır
G
A. Bayındır
G
6
Bartuğ Elmaz
20'
M
Bartuğ Elmaz
20'
M
9
Deniz Gül
2'
F
Deniz Gül
2'
F
4
Emirhan Topçu
D
Emirhan Topçu
D
8
E. Tıknaz
M
E. Tıknaz
M
11
İlhan Fakılı
20'
F
İlhan Fakılı
20'
F
7
K. Aktürkoğlu
11'
F
K. Aktürkoğlu
11'
F
3
M. Demiral
D
M. Demiral
D
17
M. Kabasakal
M
M. Kabasakal
M
23
Muhammed Şengezer
G
Muhammed Şengezer
G
22
Mustafa Eskihellaç
D
Mustafa Eskihellaç
D
18
O. Aydın
2'
F
O. Aydın
2'
F
Best on the pitch
R. Calafiori
D · Italy
7.96
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 17 pass
G. Scamacca
F · Italy
7.87
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 7 pass
G. Donnarumma
G · Italy
7.72
· 36 pass
F. Esposito
F · Italy
7.67
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 9 pass
N. Barella
M · Italy
7.59
1 👟
· 24 pass
A. Romano
M · Italy
7.57
1 👟
1 shots
· 29 pass
Italy — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Donnarumma | G | 90 | 7.72 | — | — | 0 | 36 | 31% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Ruggeri | D | 56 | 6.41 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 18% | 0 | 1 | — |
| A. Bastoni | D | 90 | 7.04 | — | — | 0 | 68 | 64% | 4 | — | — |
| G. Mancini | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 0 | 79 | 73% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Di Lorenzo | D | 55 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 26% | 0 | — | — |
| I. Doumbia | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 4 | 34 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Romano | M | 90 | 7.57 | — | 1 | 1 | 29 | 25% | 0 | — | — |
| N. Barella | M | 70 | 7.59 | — | 1 | 0 | 24 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Maldini | F | 90 | 6.45 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 21% | 3 | — | — |
| G. Scamacca | F | 56 | 7.87 | 1 | — | 3 | 7 | 4% | 0 | 1 | — |
| A. Vergara | F | 84 | 6.36 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 23% | 5 | — | — |
| D. Frattesi | M | 6 | 6.30 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Esposito | F | 34 | 7.67 | 1 | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Kayode | D | 35 | 6.17 | — | — | 0 | 20 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Calafiori | D | 34 | 7.96 | 1 | — | 1 | 17 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Tonali | M | 20 | 6.34 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
Türkiye — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uğurcan Çakır | G | 90 | 5.68 | — | — | 0 | 46 | 29% | 0 | — | — |
| Eren Elmalı | D | 90 | 6.88 | — | 1 | 1 | 43 | 38% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Abdülkerim Bardakcı | D | 90 | 6.01 | — | — | 1 | 88 | 82% | 2 | — | — |
| O. Kabak | D | 90 | 6.34 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 51% | 0 | — | — |
| Z. Çelik | D | 90 | 5.75 | — | — | 0 | 50 | 46% | 2 | 1 | — |
| F. Kadıoğlu | D | 88 | 6.13 | — | — | 0 | 45 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| Aral Şimşir | M | 70 | 7.19 | 1 | — | 3 | 24 | 21% | 0 | — | — |
| İ. Kahveci | M | 70 | 6.43 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 33% | 0 | — | — |
| İsmail Yüksek | M | 79 | 6.25 | — | — | 0 | 45 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| Salih Özcan | M | 90 | 6.56 | — | — | 2 | 59 | 58% | 0 | — | — |
| Yunus Akgün | F | 88 | 6.56 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 26% | 0 | — | — |
| Bartuğ Elmaz | M | 20 | 6.48 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 20% | 0 | — | — |
| Deniz Gül | F | 2 | 6.72 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| İlhan Fakılı | F | 20 | 6.42 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Aktürkoğlu | F | 11 | 6.53 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| O. Aydın | F | 2 | 6.29 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Italy vs Türkiye?
The final score was Italy 3–1 Türkiye.
What did the model predict before Italy vs Türkiye?
The model assigned 58% probability to a Italy win, 26% to a draw, and 15% to an Türkiye win.