World Cup
· Group Stage - 1
June 15, 2026 01:00
A. Diallo
(ast. W. Singo)
90'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Ivory Coast a 38% win probability (draw 31%, Ecuador 30%). The final result was Ivory Coast 1–0 Ecuador.
Match statistics
3
Total shots
6
1
Shots on target
0
0.73
Actual xG
0.54
0
Saves
1
45%
Possession
55%
2
Corners
0
7
Tackles
11
3
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
S. Fofana
28'
F. Kessie
38'
G. Doue
40'
56'
N. Angulo
/
A. Minda
E. Wahi
/ A. Bonny
56'
B. Toure
/ A. Diallo
56'
62'
A. Preciado
/
J. Yeboah
62'
J. Porozo
/
A. Franco
73'
J. Porozo
N. Pepe
/ C. Inao Oulai
77'
S. Fofana
/ I. Sangare
77'
77'
K. Rodriguez
/
E. Valencia
G. Doue
/ O. Kossounou
89'
⚽A. Diallo
· ast. W. Singo
90'
Pre-match prediction
38.28%
Ivory ←
31.31%
X
30.41%
Ecuador
we assigned to the actual result (Ivory Coast)
38.28%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.57
0.73
-0.84
1.05
0.54
-0.51
xG dominance was balanced (0.73 – 0.54).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Y. Fofana
50'
G
Y. Fofana
50'
G
3
G. Konan
50'
D
G. Konan
50'
D
20
E. Agbadou
50'
D
E. Agbadou
50'
D
5
W. Singo
1 👟
50'
D
W. Singo
1 👟
50'
D
17
G. Doué
50'
D
G. Doué
50'
D
24
B. Touré
50'
M
B. Touré
50'
M
6
S. Fofana
50'
M
S. Fofana
50'
M
8
F. Kessié
50'
M
F. Kessié
50'
M
11
Y. Diomande
50'
M
Y. Diomande
50'
M
12
E. Wahi
50'
F
E. Wahi
50'
F
19
N. Pépé
50'
F
N. Pépé
50'
F
Bench
9
A. Bonny
F
A. Bonny
F
15
A. Diallo
1 ⚽
F
A. Diallo
1 ⚽
F
23
A. Lafont
G
A. Lafont
G
26
C. Inao Oulaï
M
C. Inao Oulaï
M
13
C. Operi
D
C. Operi
D
22
E. Guessand
F
E. Guessand
F
21
E. Ndicka
D
E. Ndicka
D
18
I. Sangaré
M
I. Sangaré
M
4
J. Seri
M
J. Seri
M
16
M. Koné
G
M. Koné
G
14
O. Diakité
F
O. Diakité
F
2
O. Diomande
D
O. Diomande
D
7
O. Kossounou
D
O. Kossounou
D
25
P. Guiagon
M
P. Guiagon
M
10
S. Adingra
F
S. Adingra
F
1
H. Galíndez
50'
G
H. Galíndez
50'
G
6
W. Pacho
50'
D
W. Pacho
50'
D
4
J. Ordoñez
50'
D
J. Ordoñez
50'
D
21
A. Franco
50'
D
A. Franco
50'
D
3
P. Hincapié
50'
M
P. Hincapié
50'
M
15
P. Vite
50'
M
P. Vite
50'
M
23
M. Caicedo
50'
M
M. Caicedo
50'
M
9
J. Yeboah
50'
M
J. Yeboah
50'
M
14
A. Minda
50'
F
A. Minda
50'
F
13
E. Valencia
50'
F
E. Valencia
50'
F
19
G. Plata
50'
F
G. Plata
50'
F
Bench
17
A. Preciado
D
A. Preciado
D
8
A. Valencia
F
A. Valencia
F
18
D. Castillo
M
D. Castillo
M
2
F. Torres
D
F. Torres
D
22
G. Valle
G
G. Valle
G
5
J. Alcívar
M
J. Alcívar
M
16
J. Caicedo
F
J. Caicedo
F
24
Jeremy Arévalo
F
Jeremy Arévalo
F
25
J. Porozo
D
J. Porozo
D
10
K. Páez
M
K. Páez
M
11
K. Rodríguez
F
K. Rodríguez
F
12
M. Ramírez
G
M. Ramírez
G
20
N. Angulo
F
N. Angulo
F
7
P. Estupiñán
D
P. Estupiñán
D
26
Y. Medina
D
Y. Medina
D
Best on the pitch
P. Vite
M · Ecuador
7.20
· 42 pass
Y. Diomande
M · Ivory
7.20
· 29 pass
H. Galíndez
G · Ecuador
7.20
· 17 pass
A. Franco
D · Ecuador
7.00
· 34 pass
E. Valencia
F · Ecuador
6.90
· 5 pass
E. Agbadou
D · Ivory
6.90
· 30 pass
Ivory Coast — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Fofana | G | 50 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 5% | — | — | — |
| G. Konan | D | 50 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | — | — | — |
| E. Agbadou | D | 50 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| W. Singo | D | 50 | 6.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 24 | 23% | — | — | — |
| G. Doué | D | 50 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 23% | 1 | 1 | — |
| B. Touré | M | 50 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 4% | — | — | — |
| S. Fofana | M | 50 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 23% | — | 1 | — |
| F. Kessié | M | 50 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 31% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Y. Diomande | M | 50 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Wahi | F | 50 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Pépé | F | 50 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | — | — | — |
Ecuador — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Galíndez | G | 50 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 10% | — | — | — |
| W. Pacho | D | 50 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 53 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Ordoñez | D | 50 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 38 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Franco | D | 50 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 34 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Hincapié | M | 50 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
| P. Vite | M | 50 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 42 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Caicedo | M | 50 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Yeboah | M | 50 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 21 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Minda | F | 50 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| E. Valencia | F | 50 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Plata | F | 50 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Ivory Coast vs Ecuador?
The final score was Ivory Coast 1–0 Ecuador.
What did the model predict before Ivory Coast vs Ecuador?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Ivory Coast win, 31% to a draw, and 30% to an Ecuador win.