Ivory Coast - Gambia
Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.
November 11, 2026 18:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
36.79%
Win
Ivory Coast
32.58%
Draw
30.64%
Win
Gambia
0.99
0.77
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(13.92%)
1X2 Result
1
37%
X
33%
2
31%
Double Chance
1X
69%
X2
63%
12
67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
78%
✓ 77.1% hit rate (48 picks)
Over 2.5
55%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Ivory Coast a 36% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 30% for Gambia. Expected goals are 1.0 for Ivory Coast and 0.8 for Gambia (total 1.8), with a 78% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 13.92% probability.
Season Stats
2W
0D
0L
2W
0D
0L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
3.0
0.0
Conceded
1.5
4.5
Shots OT
4.5
7.5
Corners
1.5
67%
Poss.
44%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
0%
O 2.5
100%
0%
BTTS
100%
100%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 2 matches in Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Ivory Coast
Gambia →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 17.3% | 13.3% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | — |
| 1 | 17.1% | 13.1% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | — |
| 2 | 8.4% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — |
| 3 | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Ivory Coast
Attack
32
Defence
82
Form
65
Gambia
Attack
49
Defence
57
Form
53
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Group C
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ivory Coast
|
2 | 6 |
| 2 |
Gambia
|
2 | 6 |
| 3 |
Somalia
|
2 | 0 |
| 4 |
Ghana
|
2 | 0 |
What's at stake · Group C
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #1 | #2 |
| → Ivory Coast | #1 | #2 |
| → Draw | #1 | #2 |
| → Gambia | #2 | #1 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Ivory Coast vs Gambia?
The model gives Ivory Coast a 36% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 30% for an Gambia win.
How many goals are expected in Ivory Coast vs Gambia?
Expected goals: Ivory Coast 1.0, Gambia 0.8 (total 1.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 78%.
What is the most likely score in Ivory Coast vs Gambia?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.92%.