Ivory Coast - Ghana
Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.
September 24, 2026 21:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
78.55%
Win
Ivory Coast
16.21%
Draw
5.25%
Win
Ghana
2.26
0.4
Expected xG
Most likely outcome
Ivory Coast
78.55%
Probability
Market probabilities
Most likely result
2–0
(17.89%)
1X2 Result
1
79%
X
16%
2
5%
Double Chance
1X
95%
X2
22%
12
84%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
51%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Ivory Coast a 78% win probability, against 16% for a draw and 5% for Ghana. Expected goals are 2.3 for Ivory Coast and 0.4 for Ghana (total 2.7), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–0 at 17.89% probability.
Season Stats
5W
1D
3L
1W
1D
2L
Averages per game
1.7
Goals
0.5
1.1
Conceded
0.8
2.5
Shots OT
0.5
5.8
Corners
2.0
49%
Poss.
36%
Percentages
78%
O 1.5
25%
56%
O 2.5
25%
56%
BTTS
25%
44%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ
Based on the last 9 matches across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
0%
O 3.5
37%
BTTS
3W
1D
1L
· at home
0W
1D
2L
· away
1.4
gls/g
0.3
0.6
Conceded
1.0
60%
Win %
0%
80%
Win or Draw
33%
60%
O 1.5
33%
40%
O 2.5
33%
0%
O 3.5
0%
40%
BTTS
33%
60%
Clean Sht
33%
0%
Failed to Score
67%
last 5
ℹ
Home/away records across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.
Score Matrix
↕ Ivory Coast
Ghana →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.0% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 1 | 15.8% | 6.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 2 | 17.8% | 7.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 3 | 13.4% | 5.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 4 | 7.6% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 5 | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Ivory Coast
Attack
38
Defence
73
Form
68
Ghana
Attack
14
Defence
59
Form
49
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Ivory Coast vs Ghana?
The model gives Ivory Coast a 78% win probability, 16% for a draw, and 5% for an Ghana win.
How many goals are expected in Ivory Coast vs Ghana?
Expected goals: Ivory Coast 2.3, Ghana 0.4 (total 2.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Ivory Coast vs Ghana?
2–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 17.89%.