21'
Mihajlo Cvetkovic
72'
(ast. Enric Llansana)
Marten Winkler
80'
(ast. Enric Llansana)
Jayden Onia-Seke
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Anderlecht a 40% win probability (draw 22%, Jagiellonia 36%). The final result was Jagiellonia 0–3 Anderlecht.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
15
1
Shots on target
8
0.29
Actual xG
1.06
5
Saves
1
41%
Possession
59%
4
Corners
4
11
Tackles
15
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
21'
Mihajlo Cvetkovic⚽
Rodrigo Conceição
45'+2
Hampus Finndell
/ Ousmane Sow
45'
46'
Thelo Aasgaard
Bernardo Vital
53'
Kamil Jóźwiak
/ Jeremy Agbonifo
65'
Kajetan·Szmyt
/ Aleksandar·Cirkovic
65'
65'
Enric Llansana
/
Lukas Ambros
65'
Jayden Onia-Seke
/
Tristan Degreef
Eryk Kozlowski
67'
71'
Enric Llansana
72'
ast. Enric Llansana ·
Marten Winkler⚽
Ferslev Anders Klynge
/ Taras Romanczuk
77'
78'
Marco Kana
/
Mario Stroeykens
78'
Adriano Bertaccini
/
Mihajlo Cvetkovic
80'
ast. Enric Llansana ·
Jayden Onia-Seke⚽
81'
Jayden Onia-Seke
82'
Oliver Antman
/
Marten Winkler
Nik Prelec
/ Jesús Imaz
82'
Pre-match prediction
36.14%
Jagiellonia
22.92%
X
40.94%
Anderlecht ←
we assigned to the actual result (Anderlecht)
40.94%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.49
0.29
-1.2
1.65
1.06
-0.59
Anderlecht dominated by xG (1.06 vs 0.29).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
50
S. Abramowicz
G
S. Abramowicz
G
23
Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia
D
Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia
D
4
Y. Kobayashi
D
Y. Kobayashi
D
5
Bernardo Vital
D
Bernardo Vital
D
27
Rodrigo Conceição
D
Rodrigo Conceição
D
14
H. Finndell
45'
M
H. Finndell
45'
M
85
Eryk Kozlowski
M
Eryk Kozlowski
M
19
A. Klynge
77'
M
A. Klynge
77'
M
7
K. Szmyt
65'
F
K. Szmyt
65'
F
99
N. Prelec
82'
F
N. Prelec
82'
F
72
K. Jóźwiak
65'
F
K. Jóźwiak
65'
F
Bench
32
A. Ćirković
25'
F
A. Ćirković
25'
F
44
A. Konstantopoulos
D
A. Konstantopoulos
D
20
B. Wdowik
D
B. Wdowik
D
3
D. Stojinović
D
D. Stojinović
D
10
J. Agbonifo
25'
F
J. Agbonifo
25'
F
11
Jesús Imaz
8'
M
Jesús Imaz
8'
M
1
M. Perchel
G
M. Perchel
G
30
O. Sow
45'
M
O. Sow
45'
M
21
Sergio Lozano
M
Sergio Lozano
M
6
T. Romanczuk
13'
M
T. Romanczuk
13'
M
17
Y. Sylla
F
Y. Sylla
F
26
Colin Coosemans
G
Colin Coosemans
G
5
Oleg Reabciuk
D
Oleg Reabciuk
D
27
Léo Pétrot
D
Léo Pétrot
D
4
G. Biancone
D
G. Biancone
D
50
Kaïs Barry
D
Kaïs Barry
D
19
Thelo Aasgaard
M
Thelo Aasgaard
M
29
Mario Stroeykens
78'
M
Mario Stroeykens
78'
M
18
Lukáš Ambros
65'
M
Lukáš Ambros
65'
M
83
Tristan Degreef
65'
F
Tristan Degreef
65'
F
9
Mihajlo Cvetković
1 ⚽
78'
F
Mihajlo Cvetković
1 ⚽
78'
F
10
Marten Winkler
1 ⚽
82'
F
Marten Winkler
1 ⚽
82'
F
Bench
91
Adriano Bertaccini
12'
F
Adriano Bertaccini
12'
F
79
Ali Maamar
D
Ali Maamar
D
14
Danylo Sikan
F
Danylo Sikan
F
24
Enric Llansana
2 👟
25'
M
Enric Llansana
2 👟
25'
M
49
Jayden Onia Seke
1 ⚽
25'
F
Jayden Onia Seke
1 ⚽
25'
F
32
Justin Heekeren
G
Justin Heekeren
G
6
Ludwig Augustinsson
D
Ludwig Augustinsson
D
55
M. Kana
12'
M
M. Kana
12'
M
53
N. Cobiella
M
N. Cobiella
M
11
Oliver Antman
8'
F
Oliver Antman
8'
F
8
R. Amané
M
R. Amané
M
21
T. Bentayeb
F
T. Bentayeb
F
Best on the pitch
Marten Winkler
F · Anderlecht
8.13
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 23 pass
Mihajlo Cvetković
F · Anderlecht
7.72
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 17 pass
Jayden Onia Seke
F · Anderlecht
7.48
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 8 pass
Oleg Reabciuk
D · Anderlecht
7.39
2 shots
· 54 pass
Lukáš Ambros
M · Anderlecht
7.20
1 shots
· 28 pass
G. Biancone
D · Anderlecht
7.20
· 73 pass
Jagiellonia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Abramowicz | G | 90 | 6.63 | — | — | 0 | 34 | 24% | 0 | — | — |
| Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia | D | 90 | 6.10 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 29% | 0 | — | — |
| Y. Kobayashi | D | 90 | 5.98 | — | — | 0 | 52 | 44% | 0 | — | — |
| Bernardo Vital | D | 90 | 5.96 | — | — | 0 | 66 | 57% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Rodrigo Conceição | D | 90 | 6.06 | — | — | 0 | 47 | 39% | 2 | 1 | — |
| H. Finndell | M | 45 | 5.85 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| Eryk Kozlowski | M | 90 | 6.37 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 18% | 0 | 1 | — |
| A. Klynge | M | 77 | 5.71 | — | — | 2 | 27 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Szmyt | F | 65 | 5.86 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Prelec | F | 82 | 6.17 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Jóźwiak | F | 65 | 5.39 | — | — | 0 | 20 | 12% | 4 | — | — |
| A. Ćirković | F | 25 | 6.33 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Agbonifo | F | 25 | 6.17 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| Jesús Imaz | M | 8 | 5.80 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| O. Sow | M | 45 | 5.58 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Romanczuk | M | 13 | 5.50 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
Anderlecht — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Coosemans | G | 90 | 6.56 | — | — | 0 | 27 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
| Oleg Reabciuk | D | 90 | 7.39 | — | — | 2 | 54 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| Léo Pétrot | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 0 | 71 | 58% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Biancone | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 0 | 73 | 65% | 3 | — | — |
| Kaïs Barry | D | 90 | 6.98 | — | — | 2 | 62 | 57% | 0 | — | — |
| Thelo Aasgaard | M | 90 | 6.56 | — | — | 2 | 34 | 33% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Mario Stroeykens | M | 78 | 7.10 | — | — | 0 | 55 | 47% | 4 | — | — |
| Lukáš Ambros | M | 65 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 24% | 0 | — | — |
| Tristan Degreef | F | 65 | 6.32 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| Mihajlo Cvetković | F | 78 | 7.72 | 1 | — | 2 | 17 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| Marten Winkler | F | 82 | 8.13 | 1 | — | 2 | 23 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Adriano Bertaccini | F | 12 | 6.51 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| Enric Llansana | M | 25 | 7.00 | — | 2 | 0 | 11 | 9% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Jayden Onia Seke | F | 25 | 7.48 | 1 | — | 2 | 8 | 6% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Kana | M | 12 | 6.40 | — | — | 0 | 14 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
| Oliver Antman | F | 8 | 6.49 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht?
The final score was Jagiellonia 0–3 Anderlecht.
What did the model predict before Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Jagiellonia win, 22% to a draw, and 40% to an Anderlecht win.