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Jagiellonia - Anderlecht

Europa League October 22, 2026 21:00
Jagiellonia
#15 · 0 pts
vs
Anderlecht
#1 · 0 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
42.23%
Win
Jagiellonia
22.96%
Draw
34.81%
Win
Anderlecht
1.68
Expected xG
1.56

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (9.88%)
1X2 Result
1 42%
X 23%
2 35%
Double Chance ✓ 100.0% hit rate (10 picks)
1X 65%
X2 58%
12 77%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 84%
Over 2.5 71%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Jagiellonia a 42% win probability, against 22% for a draw and 34% for Anderlecht. Expected goals are 1.7 for Jagiellonia and 1.6 for Anderlecht (total 3.2), with a 83% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 9.88% probability.

Season Stats

Jagiellonia
3W 1D 0L
Anderlecht
6W 1D 1L
Averages per game
2.2
Goals
2.0
0.8
Conceded
0.8
5.7
Shots OT
5.0
2.0
Corners
6.5
47%
Poss.
54%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
75%
75%
O 2.5
63%
75%
BTTS
50%
25%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ Based on the last 8 matches in Europa League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
Jagiellonia
2W 0D 0L · at home
Anderlecht
2W 1D 1L · away
3.0
gls/g
1.5
0.5
Conceded
0.8
100%
Win %
50%
100%
Win or Draw
75%
100%
O 1.5
75%
100%
O 2.5
50%
50%
O 3.5
0%
50%
BTTS
50%
50%
Clean Sht
50%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 4
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Jagiellonia Anderlecht →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.9% 6.1% 4.8% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
1 6.6% 10.3% 8.0% 4.2% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.5% 8.6% 6.7% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4%
3 3.1% 4.8% 3.8% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2%
4 1.3% 2.0% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% —

Recent form

Jagiellonia Jagiellonia
W FC Iberia 1999 1–2
W FC Iberia 1999 4–0
D Rangers 1–1
W Rangers 2–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 44%
Anderlecht Anderlecht
W Kairat Almaty 3–0
W Kairat Almaty 0–3
W PAOK 3–2
W PAOK 0–1
W Hammarby FF 3–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 43%

Playing profile

Jagiellonia Jagiellonia
Attack
42
Defence
59
Form
49
Anderlecht Anderlecht
Attack
43
Defence
75
Form
66
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Anderlecht Anderlecht 0 0
2 Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 0 0
3 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 0 0
4 Benfica Benfica 0 0
5 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 0 0
6 Bournemouth Bournemouth 0 0
7 Celje Celje 0 0
8 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 0 0
9 Celtic Celtic 0 0
10 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 0 0
11 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 0 0
12 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 0 0
13 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 0 0
14 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 0 0
15 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 0 0
16 Juventus Juventus 0 0
17 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 0 0
18 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 0 0
19 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 0 0
20 Lillestrom Lillestrom 0 0
21 Lyon Lyon 0 0
22 Marseille Marseille 0 0
23 AC Milan AC Milan 0 0
24 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 0 0
25 OFI OFI 0 0
26 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 0 0
27 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 0 0
28 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 0 0
29 Rennes Rennes 0 0
30 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 0 0
31 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 0 0
32 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 0 0
33 Sunderland Sunderland 0 0
34 Torreense Torreense 0 0
35 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 0 0
36 Plzen Plzen 0 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht?
The model gives Jagiellonia a 42% win probability, 22% for a draw, and 34% for an Anderlecht win.
How many goals are expected in Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht?
Expected goals: Jagiellonia 1.7, Anderlecht 1.6 (total 3.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 83%.
What is the most likely score in Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.88%.