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Jagiellonia - Crystal Palace

Europa League December 10, 2026 18:45
Jagiellonia
#21 · 0 pts
vs
Crystal Palace
#2 · 3 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
49.36%
Win
Jagiellonia
26.01%
Draw
24.63%
Win
Crystal Palace
2.56
Expected xG
0.88

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (9.95%)
1X2 Result
1 49%
X 26%
2 25%
Double Chance ✓ 100.0% hit rate (14 picks)
1X 75%
X2 51%
12 74%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 80%
Over 2.5 61%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Jagiellonia a 49% win probability, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Crystal Palace. Expected goals are 2.6 for Jagiellonia and 0.9 for Crystal Palace (total 3.4), with a 79% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 9.95% probability.

Season Stats

Jagiellonia
3W 1D 1L
Crystal Palace
1W 0D 0L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
4.0
1.0
Conceded
0.0
5.0
Shots OT
6.0
1.5
Corners
6.0
46%
Poss.
53%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
80%
O 2.5
100%
80%
BTTS
0%
20%
Clean Sht
100%
ℹ Based on the last 5 matches in Europa League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Score Matrix

↕ Jagiellonia Crystal Palace →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.2% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% —
1 8.3% 7.2% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% —
2 10.6% 9.2% 4.1% 1.2% 0.3% —
3 9.0% 7.9% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% —
4 5.8% 5.0% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% —
5 2.9% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% —

Recent form

Jagiellonia Jagiellonia
L Olympiakos Piraeus 2–1
W FC Iberia 1999 1–2
W FC Iberia 1999 4–0
D Rangers 1–1
W Rangers 2–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 29%
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace
W Lech Poznan 4–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 26%

Playing profile

Jagiellonia Jagiellonia
Attack
41
Defence
54
Form
45
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace
Attack
40
Defence
54
Form
50
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Juventus Juventus 1 3
2 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 1 3
3 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 1 3
4 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 1 3
5 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 1 3
6 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 1 3
7 Benfica Benfica 1 3
8 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 1 3
9 OFI OFI 1 3
10 Bournemouth Bournemouth 1 3
11 Lyon Lyon 1 3
12 Torreense Torreense 1 3
13 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 1 3
14 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 1 3
15 Sunderland Sunderland 1 3
16 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 1 3
17 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 1 1
18 Rennes Rennes 1 1
19 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 1 1
20 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 1 1
21 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 1 0
22 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 1 0
23 Anderlecht Anderlecht 1 0
24 Lillestrom Lillestrom 1 0
25 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 1 0
26 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 1 0
27 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 1 0
28 Celtic Celtic 1 0
29 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 1 0
30 AC Milan AC Milan 1 0
31 Celje Celje 1 0
32 Marseille Marseille 1 0
33 Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 1 0
34 Plzen Plzen 1 0
35 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 1 0
36 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 1 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Jagiellonia vs Crystal Palace?
The model gives Jagiellonia a 49% win probability, 26% for a draw, and 24% for an Crystal Palace win.
How many goals are expected in Jagiellonia vs Crystal Palace?
Expected goals: Jagiellonia 2.6, Crystal Palace 0.9 (total 3.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 79%.
What is the most likely score in Jagiellonia vs Crystal Palace?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.95%.