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Jagiellonia - Lyon

Europa League January 21, 2027 18:45
Jagiellonia
#27 · 3 pts
vs
Lyon
#12 · 6 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
54.85%
Win
Jagiellonia
22.31%
Draw
22.84%
Win
Lyon
2.12
Expected xG
1.13

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (9.87%)
1X2 Result ✓ 65.4% hit rate (26 picks)
1 55%
X 22%
2 23%
Double Chance ✓ 92.3% hit rate (26 picks)
1X 77%
X2 45%
12 78%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 83%
Over 2.5 69%
✓ 68.4% hit rate (79 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Jagiellonia a 54% win probability, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Lyon. Expected goals are 2.1 for Jagiellonia and 1.1 for Lyon (total 3.3), with a 83% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.87% probability.

Season Stats

Jagiellonia
4W 1D 2L
Lyon
9W 1D 3L
Averages per game
1.9
Goals
1.8
1.3
Conceded
1.1
4.3
Shots OT
5.2
2.0
Corners
4.5
44%
Poss.
59%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
85%
86%
O 2.5
46%
71%
BTTS
38%
14%
Clean Sht
38%
ℹ Based on the last 13 matches in Europa League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
32%
O 3.5
40%
BTTS
Jagiellonia
3W 0D 1L · at home
Lyon
4W 1D 2L · away
2.2
gls/g
1.6
1.2
Conceded
1.0
75%
Win %
57%
75%
Win or Draw
71%
100%
O 1.5
71%
100%
O 2.5
43%
50%
O 3.5
14%
50%
BTTS
29%
25%
Clean Sht
43%
25%
Failed to Score
29%
last 7
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Jagiellonia Lyon →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.9% 4.4% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
1 8.2% 9.3% 5.2% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.7% 9.8% 5.6% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 6.2% 7.0% 3.9% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
4 3.3% 3.7% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
5 1.4% 1.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% —

Recent form

Jagiellonia Jagiellonia
L Anderlecht 0–3
W Ararat-Armenia 3–1
L Olympiakos Piraeus 2–1
W FC Iberia 1999 1–2
W FC Iberia 1999 4–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 30%
Lyon Lyon
L 1899 Hoffenheim 3–0
W Crystal Palace 3–2
W Anderlecht 1–2
L Celta Vigo 0–2
D Celta Vigo 1–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 18%

Playing profile

Jagiellonia Jagiellonia
Attack
38
Defence
58
Form
30
Lyon Lyon
Attack
41
Defence
55
Form
53
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Benfica Benfica 3 9
2 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 3 9
3 Bournemouth Bournemouth 3 9
4 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 3 9
5 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 3 9
6 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 3 7
7 Juventus Juventus 3 7
8 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 3 7
9 Sunderland Sunderland 3 7
10 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 3 6
11 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 3 6
12 Lyon Lyon 3 6
13 Rennes Rennes 3 5
14 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 3 4
15 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 3 4
16 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 3 4
17 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 3 4
18 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 3 4
19 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 3 4
20 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 3 4
21 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 3 4
22 Anderlecht Anderlecht 3 3
23 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 3 3
24 AC Milan AC Milan 3 3
25 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 3 3
26 OFI OFI 3 3
27 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 3 3
28 Torreense Torreense 3 3
29 Celje Celje 3 1
30 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 3 1
31 Lillestrom Lillestrom 3 1
32 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 3 1
33 Plzen Plzen 3 0
34 Marseille Marseille 3 0
35 Celtic Celtic 3 0
36 Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 3 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Jagiellonia vs Lyon?
The model gives Jagiellonia a 54% win probability, 22% for a draw, and 22% for an Lyon win.
How many goals are expected in Jagiellonia vs Lyon?
Expected goals: Jagiellonia 2.1, Lyon 1.1 (total 3.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 83%.
What is the most likely score in Jagiellonia vs Lyon?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.87%.