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Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 12 October 25, 2026 14:45 Stadion Miejski w Białymstoku, Bialystok
Jagiellonia
#10 · 15 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Wisla Plock
#11 · 14 pts
Ousmane Sow (ast. Kajetan·Szmyt) 83'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Jagiellonia a 35% win probability (draw 28%, Wisla Plock 35%). The final result was Jagiellonia 1–0 Wisla Plock. In 2 previous meetings, Jagiellonia have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Wisla Plock.

Match statistics
21
Total shots
7
4
Shots on target
4
1.81
Actual xG
1.01
4
Saves
2
53%
Possession
47%
8
Corners
3
22
Tackles
21
Match Events
13'
Fabian Hiszpański / Sidnei·Tavares ↕
58'
Olaf Kobacki / Samuel Akere ↕
↕ Aleksandar·Cirkovic / Kajetan·Szmyt
59'
↕ Jeremy Agbonifo / Ousmane Sow
59'
↕ Jesús Imaz / Ferslev Anders Klynge
71'
80'
82'
Said Hamulic / Patryk Kun ↕
82'
Marcin Flis / Jurica Pršir ↕
82'
Deni Jurić / Łukasz Sekulski ↕
⚽Ousmane Sow · ast. Kajetan·Szmyt
83'
↕ Nik Prelec / Dimitris Rallis
89'
↕ Sergio Lozano / Eryk Kozlowski
89'
Pre-match prediction
35.3%
Jagiellonia ←
28.99%
X
35.72%
Wisla
we assigned to the actual result (Jagiellonia) 35.3% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Jagiellonia
0.92
1.81
+0.89
Wisla
1.18
1.01
-0.17
Jagiellonia dominated by xG (1.81 vs 1.01). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 11 28
2 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 12 27
3 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 11 24
4 Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa 12 23
5 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow 12 21
6 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 12 20
7 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 12 19
8 GKS Katowice GKS Katowice 12 18
9 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 12 18
10 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 11 15
11 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 11 14
12 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 12 13
13 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 12 12
14 Widzew Łódź Widzew Łódź 12 11
15 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw 12 9
16 Wieczysta Kraków Wieczysta Kraków 12 8
17 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 12 8
18 Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa 12 6
Lineups
Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 4-2-3-1
1 M. Perchel M. Perchel G 8.03
23 Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia D 7.41
3 D. Stojinović D. Stojinović D 6.93
44 A. Konstantopoulos A. Konstantopoulos D 7.45
27 Rodrigo Conceição Rodrigo Conceição D 7.12
21 Sergio Lozano Sergio Lozano 89' M 6.84
6 T. Romanczuk T. Romanczuk M 7.18
32 A. Ćirković A. Ćirković 59' M 6.33
11 Jesús Imaz Jesús Imaz 71' M 6.23
10 J. Agbonifo J. Agbonifo 59' M 6.65
99 N. Prelec N. Prelec 89' F 6.48
Bench
19 A. Klynge A. Klynge 19' M 6.52
5 Bernardo Vital Bernardo Vital D 0.00
20 B. Wdowik B. Wdowik D 0.00
2 C. Polak C. Polak D 0.00
9 Dimitris Rallis Dimitris Rallis 1' F 6.39
85 Eryk Kozlowski Eryk Kozlowski 1' M 6.10
70 J. Kucharski J. Kucharski M 0.00
72 K. Jóźwiak K. Jóźwiak M 0.00
7 K. Szmyt K. Szmyt 1 👟 31' M 7.46
30 O. Sow O. Sow 1 ⚽ 31' M 7.94
50 S. Abramowicz S. Abramowicz G 0.00
4 Y. Kobayashi Y. Kobayashi D 0.00
Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 3-4-3
12 R. Leszczyński R. Leszczyński G 6.66
34 Afonso Silva Afonso Silva D 6.61
35 M. Kamiński M. Kamiński D 6.71
4 M. Haglind-Sangré M. Haglind-Sangré D 6.83
19 D. Gallapeni D. Gallapeni M 6.33
5 Sidnei Tavares Sidnei Tavares 13' M 6.24
18 J. Pršir J. Pršir 82' M 6.40
21 Ž. Rogelj Ž. Rogelj M 5.60
23 P. Kun P. Kun 82' F 6.25
20 Ł. Sekulski Ł. Sekulski 82' F 5.82
57 S. Akere S. Akere 58' F 6.33
Bench
9 D. Jurić D. Jurić 8' F 6.37
16 F. Hiszpański F. Hiszpański 77' M 6.45
91 G. Kuchko G. Kuchko M 0.00
26 J. Burek J. Burek G 0.00
6 K. Pomorski K. Pomorski M 0.00
88 K. Savvidīs K. Savvidīs M 0.00
3 M. Flis M. Flis 8' D 6.04
7 O. Kobacki O. Kobacki 32' M 6.12
44 P. Misiak P. Misiak D 0.00
10 S. Hamulić S. Hamulić 8' F 5.93
Best on the pitch
M. Perchel
M. Perchel
G · Jagiellonia
8.03
· 29 pass
O. Sow
O. Sow
M · Jagiellonia
7.94
1 ⚽
3 shots · 13 pass
K. Szmyt
K. Szmyt
M · Jagiellonia
7.46
1 👟
1 shots · 16 pass
A. Konstantopoulos
A. Konstantopoulos
D · Jagiellonia
7.45
1 shots · 59 pass
Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia
Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia
D · Jagiellonia
7.41
1 shots · 57 pass
T. Romanczuk
T. Romanczuk
M · Jagiellonia
7.18
3 shots · 62 pass
Jagiellonia Jagiellonia — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Perchel G 90 8.03 — — 0 29 24% 0 — —
Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia D 90 7.41 — — 1 57 50% 4 — —
D. Stojinović D 90 6.93 — — 0 51 46% 0 — —
A. Konstantopoulos D 90 7.45 — — 1 59 53% 2 — —
Rodrigo Conceição D 90 7.12 — — 1 44 39% 4 — —
Sergio Lozano M 89 6.84 — — 7 50 39% 2 — —
T. Romanczuk M 90 7.18 — — 3 62 55% 3 — —
A. Ćirković M 59 6.33 — — 0 25 18% 1 — —
Jesús Imaz M 71 6.23 — — 0 23 16% 2 — —
J. Agbonifo M 59 6.65 — — 2 18 13% 1 — —
N. Prelec F 89 6.48 — — 2 22 15% 0 — —
A. Klynge M 19 6.52 — — 0 8 7% 1 — —
Dimitris Rallis F 1 6.39 — — 0 2 1% 0 — —
Eryk Kozlowski M 1 6.10 — — 0 4 2% 0 — —
K. Szmyt M 31 7.46 — 1 1 16 13% 1 — —
O. Sow M 31 7.94 1 — 3 13 11% 1 — —
Wisla Plock Wisla Plock — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
R. Leszczyński G 90 6.66 — — 0 51 35% 0 — —
Afonso Silva D 90 6.61 — — 1 49 44% 3 — —
M. Kamiński D 90 6.71 — — 0 37 33% 0 — —
M. Haglind-Sangré D 90 6.83 — — 1 61 53% 1 — —
D. Gallapeni M 90 6.33 — — 0 40 33% 8 — —
Sidnei Tavares M 13 6.24 — — 0 1 0% 0 — —
J. Pršir M 82 6.40 — — 2 23 20% 1 — —
Ž. Rogelj M 90 5.60 — — 0 54 34% 0 — —
P. Kun F 82 6.25 — — 0 19 15% 3 — —
Ł. Sekulski F 82 5.82 — — 1 16 11% 1 — —
S. Akere F 58 6.33 — — 1 17 11% 1 — —
D. Jurić F 8 6.37 — — 1 2 2% 0 — —
F. Hiszpański M 77 6.45 — — 0 37 28% 3 — —
M. Flis D 8 6.04 — — 0 7 4% 0 — —
O. Kobacki M 32 6.12 — — 0 7 5% 0 — —
S. Hamulić F 8 5.93 — — 0 3 3% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Jagiellonia vs Wisla Plock?
The final score was Jagiellonia 1–0 Wisla Plock.
What did the model predict before Jagiellonia vs Wisla Plock?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Jagiellonia win, 28% to a draw, and 35% to an Wisla Plock win.