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Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 34 May 23, 2026 17:30
Jagiellonia
#10 · 18 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Zaglebie Lubin
#6 · 22 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Jagiellonia
A. Pululu 32' (pen.)
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Jagiellonia a 60% win probability (draw 23%, Zaglebie Lubin 15%). The final result was Jagiellonia 1–0 Zaglebie Lubin. In 2 previous meetings, Jagiellonia have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Zaglebie Lubin.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
11
4
Shots on target
5
2.04
Actual xG
2.29
5
Saves
3
55%
Possession
45%
6
Corners
1
9
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
29'
I. Orlikowski
⚽A. Pululu (pen.)
32'
G. Montoia
39'
46'
L. Lucic / M. Grzybek ↕
46'
A. Radwanski / J. Ligocki ↕
↕ G. Montoia / B. Wdowik
63'
69'
A. Radwanski
72'
M. Dziewiatowski / D. Dabrowski ↕
72'
J. Sypek / I. Orlikowski ↕
75'
(missed pen.) M. Regula⚽
↕ B. Vital / A. Konstantopoulos
76'
↕ J. Imaz / E. Kozlowski
84'
↕ A. Pozo / M. Nahuel
84'
↕ A. Pululu / S. Bazdar
84'
84'
M. Kosidis / J. Corluka ↕
90'+3
M. Nalepa
Pre-match prediction
60.95%
Jagiellonia ←
23.8%
X
15.25%
Zaglebie
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Jagiellonia) 60.95% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Jagiellonia
1.57
2.04
+0.47
Zaglebie
0.56
2.29
+1.73
xG dominance was balanced (2.04 – 2.29). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 12 31
2 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 13 28
3 Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa 13 24
4 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 12 24
5 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow 14 24
6 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 13 22
7 GKS Katowice GKS Katowice 13 21
8 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 13 21
9 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 14 19
10 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 12 18
11 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 13 18
12 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 13 15
13 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 14 12
14 Widzew Łódź Widzew Łódź 13 11
15 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 13 11
16 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw 13 9
17 Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa 13 9
18 Wieczysta Kraków Wieczysta Kraków 13 8
Lineups
Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 4-2-3-1
50 S. Abramowicz S. Abramowicz G 9.20
23 Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia 63' D 6.90
4 Y. Kobayashi Y. Kobayashi D 7.30
13 Bernardo Vital Bernardo Vital 76' D 6.70
15 N. Wojtuszek N. Wojtuszek D 6.90
86 B. Mazurek B. Mazurek M 7.70
6 T. Romanczuk T. Romanczuk M 6.70
77 K. Szmyt K. Szmyt M 7.90
11 Jesús Imaz Jesús Imaz 84' M 6.50
7 Pozo Pozo 84' M 6.70
10 Afimico Pululu Afimico Pululu 1 ⚽ 84' F 7.70
Bench
66
Adrian Damasiewicz G
44 A. Konstantopoulos A. Konstantopoulos 14' D 6.60
27 B. Wdowik B. Wdowik 27' D 7.30
8 D. Drachal D. Drachal M
9 Dimitris Rallis Dimitris Rallis F
85 Eryk Kozlowski Eryk Kozlowski 9' M 6.70
72 K. Jóźwiak K. Jóźwiak M
31 L. Flach L. Flach M
19
Matías Nahuel 9' M 6.90
14 Samed Baždar Samed Baždar 9' F 6.60
21 Sergio Lozano Sergio Lozano M
17 Y. Sylla Y. Sylla F
Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 5-4-1
1 J. Burić J. Burić G 6.60
16 J. Ćorluka J. Ćorluka 84' D 6.60
4 D. Michalski D. Michalski D 6.30
25 M. Nalepa M. Nalepa D 6.90
31 I. Orlikowski I. Orlikowski 72' D 6.00
13 M. Grzybek M. Grzybek 45' D 6.30
44 M. Reguła M. Reguła M 6.20
39 F. Kocaba F. Kocaba M 6.30
8 D. Dąbrowski D. Dąbrowski 72' M 7.20
84 Jakub Ligocki Jakub Ligocki 45' M 6.30
17 L. Szabó L. Szabó F 6.30
Bench
18 A. Radwański A. Radwański 45' M 7.00
11 A. Woźniak A. Woźniak M
19 J. Sypek J. Sypek 18' M 7.30
35 Luka Lučić Luka Lučić 45' D 7.20
20 M. Dziewiatowski M. Dziewiatowski 18' M 7.00
9 M. Kosidis M. Kosidis 9' F 6.70
88 M. Mlinarić M. Mlinarić F
12 Rafał Gikiewicz Rafał Gikiewicz G
7 Sebastian Kowalczyk Sebastian Kowalczyk M
21 Seweryn Marek Seweryn Marek M
6 Tomasz Makowski Tomasz Makowski M
Best on the pitch
S. Abramowicz
S. Abramowicz
G · Jagiellonia
9.20
· 28 pass
K. Szmyt
K. Szmyt
M · Jagiellonia
7.90
· 17 pass
Afimico Pululu
Afimico Pululu
F · Jagiellonia
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 10 pass
B. Mazurek
B. Mazurek
M · Jagiellonia
7.70
1 shots · 33 pass
Y. Kobayashi
Y. Kobayashi
D · Jagiellonia
7.30
· 52 pass
B. Wdowik
B. Wdowik
D · Jagiellonia
7.30
· 8 pass
Jagiellonia Jagiellonia — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. Abramowicz G 90 9.20 — — — 28 18% — — —
Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia D 63 6.90 — — — 34 26% 1 1 —
Y. Kobayashi D 90 7.30 — — — 52 49% — — —
Bernardo Vital D 76 6.70 — — 2 57 45% — — —
N. Wojtuszek D 90 6.90 — — — 54 49% 1 — —
B. Mazurek M 90 7.70 — — 1 33 28% 2 — —
T. Romanczuk M 90 6.70 — — — 50 43% — — —
K. Szmyt M 90 7.90 — — — 17 16% — — —
Jesús Imaz M 84 6.50 — — 5 26 19% 1 — —
Pozo M 84 6.70 — — — 15 12% — — —
Afimico Pululu F 84 7.70 1 — 1 10 5% — — —
A. Konstantopoulos D 14 6.60 — — — 2 1% — — —
B. Wdowik D 27 7.30 — — — 8 5% 2 — —
Eryk Kozlowski M 9 6.70 — — — 2 1% — — —
Matías Nahuel M 9 6.90 — — — 4 2% — — —
Samed Baždar F 9 6.60 — — — 1 1% 2 — —
Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Burić G 90 6.60 — — — 18 13% — — —
J. Ćorluka D 84 6.60 — — 1 25 18% 1 — —
D. Michalski D 90 6.30 — — — 41 32% — — —
M. Nalepa D 90 6.90 — — — 35 29% — 1 —
I. Orlikowski D 72 6.00 — — — 32 26% — 1 —
M. Grzybek D 45 6.30 — — 1 12 9% — — —
M. Reguła M 90 6.20 — — 3 12 9% 1 — —
F. Kocaba M 90 6.30 — — — 25 17% 1 — —
D. Dąbrowski M 72 7.20 — — 1 31 26% 3 — —
Jakub Ligocki M 45 6.30 — — 1 4 3% 2 — —
L. Szabó F 90 6.30 — — 3 19 10% — — —
A. Radwański M 45 7.00 — — — 19 15% 1 1 —
J. Sypek M 18 7.30 — — — 4 4% — — —
Luka Lučić D 45 7.20 — — — 19 18% 2 — —
M. Dziewiatowski M 18 7.00 — — — 9 6% 2 — —
M. Kosidis F 9 6.70 — — 1 1 — 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Jagiellonia vs Zaglebie Lubin?
The final score was Jagiellonia 1–0 Zaglebie Lubin.
What did the model predict before Jagiellonia vs Zaglebie Lubin?
The model assigned 60% probability to a Jagiellonia win, 23% to a draw, and 15% to an Zaglebie Lubin win.