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Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 34 May 23, 2026 17:30
Jagiellonia
#6 · 12 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Zaglebie Lubin
#10 · 9 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Jagiellonia
A. Pululu 32' (pen.)
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Jagiellonia a 60% win probability (draw 23%, Zaglebie Lubin 15%). The final result was Jagiellonia 1–0 Zaglebie Lubin. In 1 previous meetings, Jagiellonia have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Zaglebie Lubin.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
11
4
Shots on target
5
2.04
Actual xG
2.29
5
Saves
3
55%
Possession
45%
6
Corners
1
9
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
29'
I. Orlikowski
⚽A. Pululu (pen.)
32'
G. Montoia
39'
46'
L. Lucic / M. Grzybek ↕
46'
A. Radwanski / J. Ligocki ↕
↕ G. Montoia / B. Wdowik
63'
69'
A. Radwanski
72'
M. Dziewiatowski / D. Dabrowski ↕
72'
J. Sypek / I. Orlikowski ↕
75'
(missed pen.) M. Regula⚽
↕ B. Vital / A. Konstantopoulos
76'
↕ J. Imaz / E. Kozlowski
84'
↕ A. Pozo / M. Nahuel
84'
↕ A. Pululu / S. Bazdar
84'
84'
M. Kosidis / J. Corluka ↕
90'+3
M. Nalepa
Pre-match prediction
60.95%
Jagiellonia ←
23.8%
X
15.25%
Zaglebie
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Jagiellonia) 60.95% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Jagiellonia
1.57
2.04
+0.47
Zaglebie
0.56
2.29
+1.73
xG dominance was balanced (2.04 – 2.29). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 7 18
2 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 7 16
3 Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa 7 15
4 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow 8 14
5 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 7 12
6 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 7 12
7 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 7 10
8 GKS Katowice GKS Katowice 6 9
9 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 6 9
10 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 6 9
11 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 7 8
12 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 7 8
13 Widzew Łódź Widzew Łódź 7 7
14 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw 8 6
15 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 8 5
16 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 6 5
17 Wieczysta Kraków Wieczysta Kraków 6 4
18 Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa 7 3
Lineups
Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 4-2-3-1
50 S. Abramowicz S. Abramowicz G 9.20
23 Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia 63' D 6.90
4 Yuki Kobayashi Yuki Kobayashi D 7.30
13 Bernardo Vital Bernardo Vital 76' D 6.70
15 N. Wojtuszek N. Wojtuszek D 6.90
86 B. Mazurek B. Mazurek M 7.70
6 T. Romanczuk T. Romanczuk M 6.70
77 K. Szmyt K. Szmyt M 7.90
11 Jesús Imaz Jesús Imaz 84' M 6.50
7 Pozo Pozo 84' M 6.70
10 Afimico Pululu Afimico Pululu 1 ⚽ 84' F 7.70
Bench
66
Adrian Damasiewicz G
44 A. Konstantopoulos A. Konstantopoulos 14' D 6.60
27 B. Wdowik B. Wdowik 27' D 7.30
8 D. Drachal D. Drachal M
9 Dimitris Rallis Dimitris Rallis F
85 Eryk Kozlowski Eryk Kozlowski 9' M 6.70
72 K. Jóźwiak K. Jóźwiak M
31 Leon Flach Leon Flach M
19 Matías Nahuel Matías Nahuel 9' M 6.90
14 S. Baždar S. Baždar 9' F 6.60
21 Sergio Lozano Sergio Lozano M
17 Y. Sylla Y. Sylla F
Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 5-4-1
1 J. Burić J. Burić G 6.60
16 J. Ćorluka J. Ćorluka 84' D 6.60
4 D. Michalski D. Michalski D 6.30
25 M. Nalepa M. Nalepa D 6.90
31 I. Orlikowski I. Orlikowski 72' D 6.00
13 M. Grzybek M. Grzybek 45' D 6.30
44 M. Reguła M. Reguła M 6.20
39 F. Kocaba F. Kocaba M 6.30
8 D. Dąbrowski D. Dąbrowski 72' M 7.20
84 Jakub Ligocki Jakub Ligocki 45' M 6.30
17 Levente Szabó Levente Szabó F 6.30
Bench
18 A. Radwański A. Radwański 45' M 7.00
11 A. Woźniak A. Woźniak M
19 J. Sypek J. Sypek 18' M 7.30
35 Luka Lučić Luka Lučić 45' D 7.20
20 M. Dziewiatowski M. Dziewiatowski 18' M 7.00
9 M. Kosidis M. Kosidis 9' F 6.70
88 M. Mlinarić M. Mlinarić F
12 Rafał Gikiewicz Rafał Gikiewicz G
7 Sebastian Kowalczyk Sebastian Kowalczyk M
21 Seweryn Marek Seweryn Marek M
6 Tomasz Makowski Tomasz Makowski M
Best on the pitch
S. Abramowicz
S. Abramowicz
G · Jagiellonia
9.20
· 28 pass
K. Szmyt
K. Szmyt
M · Jagiellonia
7.90
· 17 pass
Afimico Pululu
Afimico Pululu
F · Jagiellonia
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 10 pass
B. Mazurek
B. Mazurek
M · Jagiellonia
7.70
1 shots · 33 pass
Yuki Kobayashi
Yuki Kobayashi
D · Jagiellonia
7.30
· 52 pass
B. Wdowik
B. Wdowik
D · Jagiellonia
7.30
· 8 pass
Jagiellonia Jagiellonia — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. Abramowicz G 90 9.20 — — — 28 18% — — —
Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia D 63 6.90 — — — 34 26% 1 1 —
Yuki Kobayashi D 90 7.30 — — — 52 49% — — —
Bernardo Vital D 76 6.70 — — 2 57 45% — — —
N. Wojtuszek D 90 6.90 — — — 54 49% 1 — —
B. Mazurek M 90 7.70 — — 1 33 28% 2 — —
T. Romanczuk M 90 6.70 — — — 50 43% — — —
K. Szmyt M 90 7.90 — — — 17 16% — — —
Jesús Imaz M 84 6.50 — — 5 26 19% 1 — —
Pozo M 84 6.70 — — — 15 12% — — —
Afimico Pululu F 84 7.70 1 — 1 10 5% — — —
A. Konstantopoulos D 14 6.60 — — — 2 1% — — —
B. Wdowik D 27 7.30 — — — 8 5% 2 — —
Eryk Kozlowski M 9 6.70 — — — 2 1% — — —
Matías Nahuel M 9 6.90 — — — 4 2% — — —
S. Baždar F 9 6.60 — — — 1 1% 2 — —
Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Burić G 90 6.60 — — — 18 13% — — —
J. Ćorluka D 84 6.60 — — 1 25 18% 1 — —
D. Michalski D 90 6.30 — — — 41 32% — — —
M. Nalepa D 90 6.90 — — — 35 29% — 1 —
I. Orlikowski D 72 6.00 — — — 32 26% — 1 —
M. Grzybek D 45 6.30 — — 1 12 9% — — —
M. Reguła M 90 6.20 — — 3 12 9% 1 — —
F. Kocaba M 90 6.30 — — — 25 17% 1 — —
D. Dąbrowski M 72 7.20 — — 1 31 26% 3 — —
Jakub Ligocki M 45 6.30 — — 1 4 3% 2 — —
Levente Szabó F 90 6.30 — — 3 19 10% — — —
A. Radwański M 45 7.00 — — — 19 15% 1 1 —
J. Sypek M 18 7.30 — — — 4 4% — — —
Luka Lučić D 45 7.20 — — — 19 18% 2 — —
M. Dziewiatowski M 18 7.00 — — — 9 6% 2 — —
M. Kosidis F 9 6.70 — — 1 1 — 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Jagiellonia vs Zaglebie Lubin?
The final score was Jagiellonia 1–0 Zaglebie Lubin.
What did the model predict before Jagiellonia vs Zaglebie Lubin?
The model assigned 60% probability to a Jagiellonia win, 23% to a draw, and 15% to an Zaglebie Lubin win.