Jagiellonia 1–0 Zaglebie Lubin — pre-match prediction — Ekstraklasa — May 23, 2026

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Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 34 May 23, 2026 17:30

Jagiellonia

#1 · 0 pts

1 – 0

Final score

Zaglebie Lubin

#13 · 0 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Jagiellonia

A. Pululu 32' (pen.)

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Jagiellonia a 60% win probability (draw 23%, Zaglebie Lubin 15%). The final result was Jagiellonia 1–0 Zaglebie Lubin. In 1 previous meetings, Jagiellonia have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Zaglebie Lubin.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

2.04

Actual xG

2.29

Saves

55%

Possession

45%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

29'

I. Orlikowski

⚽A. Pululu (pen.)

32'

G. Montoia

39'

46'

L. Lucic / M. Grzybek ↕

46'

A. Radwanski / J. Ligocki ↕

↕ G. Montoia / B. Wdowik

63'

69'

A. Radwanski

72'

M. Dziewiatowski / D. Dabrowski ↕

72'

J. Sypek / I. Orlikowski ↕

75'

(missed pen.) M. Regula⚽

↕ B. Vital / A. Konstantopoulos

76'

↕ J. Imaz / E. Kozlowski

84'

↕ A. Pozo / M. Nahuel

84'

↕ A. Pululu / S. Bazdar

84'

M. Kosidis / J. Corluka ↕

90'+3

M. Nalepa

Pre-match prediction

60.95%

Jagiellonia ←

23.8%

15.25%

Zaglebie

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Jagiellonia) 60.95% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Jagiellonia

1.57

2.04

+0.47

Zaglebie

0.56

2.29

+1.73

xG dominance was balanced (2.04 – 2.29). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Jagiellonia	0	0
2	Gornik Zabrze	0	0
3	Korona Kielce	0	0
4	Piast Gliwice	0	0
5	GKS Katowice	0	0
6	Motor Lublin	0	0
7	Slask Wroclaw	0	0
8	Wisla Plock	0	0
9	Pogon Szczecin	0	0
10	Wisla Krakow	0	0
11	Legia Warszawa	0	0
12	Lech Poznan	0	0
13	Zaglebie Lubin	0	0
14	Cracovia Krakow	0	0
15	Widzew Łódź	0	0
16	Radomiak Radom	0	0
17	Raków Częstochowa	0	0
18	Wieczysta Kraków	0	0

Lineups

Jagiellonia 4-2-3-1

Sławomir Abramowicz G 9.20

Guilherme Montóia 63' D 6.90

Yuki Kobayashi D 7.30

Bernardo Vital 76' D 6.70

Norbert Wojtuszek D 6.90

Bartosz Mazurek M 7.70

T. Romanczuk M 6.70

Kajetan Szmyt M 7.90

Jesús Imaz 84' M 6.50

Pozo 84' M 6.70

Afimico Pululu 1 ⚽ 84' F 7.70

Bench

Adrian Damasiewicz G

Apostolos Konstantopoulos 14' D 6.60

Bartłomiej Wdowik 27' D 7.30

Dawid Drachal M

Dimitris Rallis F

Eryk Kozłowski 9' M 6.70

Kamil Jóźwiak M

Leon Flach M

Matías Nahuel 9' M 6.90

Samed Baždar 9' F 6.60

Sergio Lozano M

Youssuf Sylla F

Zaglebie Lubin 5-4-1

Jasmin Burić G 6.60

Josip Ćorluka 84' D 6.60

Damian Michalski D 6.30

M. Nalepa D 6.90

Igor Orlikowski 72' D 6.00

Mateusz Grzybek 45' D 6.30

Marcel Regula M 6.20

Filip Kocaba M 6.30

Damian Dąbrowski 72' M 7.20

Jakub Ligocki 45' M 6.30

Levente Szabó F 6.30

Bench

A. Radwański 45' M 7.00

Arkadiusz Wozniak M

Jakub Sypek 18' M 7.30

Luka Lučić 45' D 7.20

Mateusz Dziewiatowski 18' M 7.00

Michalis Kosidis 9' F 6.70

Mihael Mlinarić F

Rafał Gikiewicz G

Sebastian Kowalczyk M

Seweryn Marek M

Tomasz Makowski M

Best on the pitch

Sławomir Abramowicz

G · Jagiellonia

9.20

· 28 pass

Kajetan Szmyt

M · Jagiellonia

7.90

· 17 pass

Afimico Pululu

F · Jagiellonia

7.70

1 ⚽

1 shots · 10 pass

Bartosz Mazurek

M · Jagiellonia

7.70

1 shots · 33 pass

Yuki Kobayashi

D · Jagiellonia

7.30

· 52 pass

Bartłomiej Wdowik

D · Jagiellonia

7.30

· 8 pass

Jagiellonia — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Sławomir Abramowicz	G	90	9.20	—	—	—	28	18%	—	—	—
Guilherme Montóia	D	63	6.90	—	—	—	34	26%	1	1	—
Yuki Kobayashi	D	90	7.30	—	—	—	52	49%	—	—	—
Bernardo Vital	D	76	6.70	—	—	2	57	45%	—	—	—
Norbert Wojtuszek	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	54	49%	1	—	—
Bartosz Mazurek	M	90	7.70	—	—	1	33	28%	2	—	—
T. Romanczuk	M	90	6.70	—	—	—	50	43%	—	—	—
Kajetan Szmyt	M	90	7.90	—	—	—	17	16%	—	—	—
Jesús Imaz	M	84	6.50	—	—	5	26	19%	1	—	—
Pozo	M	84	6.70	—	—	—	15	12%	—	—	—
Afimico Pululu	F	84	7.70	1	—	1	10	5%	—	—	—
Apostolos Konstantopoulos	D	14	6.60	—	—	—	2	1%	—	—	—
Bartłomiej Wdowik	D	27	7.30	—	—	—	8	5%	2	—	—
Eryk Kozłowski	M	9	6.70	—	—	—	2	1%	—	—	—
Matías Nahuel	M	9	6.90	—	—	—	4	2%	—	—	—
Samed Baždar	F	9	6.60	—	—	—	1	1%	2	—	—

Zaglebie Lubin — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Jasmin Burić	G	90	6.60	—	—	—	18	13%	—	—	—
Josip Ćorluka	D	84	6.60	—	—	1	25	18%	1	—	—
Damian Michalski	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	41	32%	—	—	—
M. Nalepa	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	35	29%	—	1	—
Igor Orlikowski	D	72	6.00	—	—	—	32	26%	—	1	—
Mateusz Grzybek	D	45	6.30	—	—	1	12	9%	—	—	—
Marcel Regula	M	90	6.20	—	—	3	12	9%	1	—	—
Filip Kocaba	M	90	6.30	—	—	—	25	17%	1	—	—
Damian Dąbrowski	M	72	7.20	—	—	1	31	26%	3	—	—
Jakub Ligocki	M	45	6.30	—	—	1	4	3%	2	—	—
Levente Szabó	F	90	6.30	—	—	3	19	10%	—	—	—
A. Radwański	M	45	7.00	—	—	—	19	15%	1	1	—
Jakub Sypek	M	18	7.30	—	—	—	4	4%	—	—	—
Luka Lučić	D	45	7.20	—	—	—	19	18%	2	—	—
Mateusz Dziewiatowski	M	18	7.00	—	—	—	9	6%	2	—	—
Michalis Kosidis	F	9	6.70	—	—	1	1	—	1	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Jagiellonia vs Zaglebie Lubin?

The final score was Jagiellonia 1–0 Zaglebie Lubin.

What did the model predict before Jagiellonia vs Zaglebie Lubin?

The model assigned 60% probability to a Jagiellonia win, 23% to a draw, and 15% to an Zaglebie Lubin win.