✗Model wrong — prediction Jaguares, result Alianza Valledupar wins
Andrés Rentería
(ast. Johan Beltrán)
15'
39'
(ast. J. Lasso)
Jair Castillo
72'
(ast. Wiston Fernández)
J. Lasso
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Jaguares a 55% win probability (draw 21%, Alianza Valledupar 22%). The final result was Jaguares 1–2 Alianza Valledupar. In 1 previous meetings, Jaguares have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Alianza Valledupar.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
16
6
Shots on target
8
6
Saves
5
57%
Possession
43%
7
Corners
6
18
Tackles
11
4
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽Andrés Rentería
· ast. Johan Beltrán
15'
Johan Beltrán
31'
Luis Jimenez
36'
39'
ast. J. Lasso ·
Jair Castillo⚽
Santiago Cubides
47'
49'
Kevin Moreno
Santiago Cubides
/ Darwin Lopez
56'
Johar Mejia
/ Duvan Rodriguez
63'
Johan Beltrán
/ Cristian Alvarez
64'
64'
Sebastián Quiñones
/
Kevin Moreno
65'
Wiston Fernández
/
Ever Meza
72'
ast. Wiston Fernández ·
J. Lasso⚽
80'
Leyner Palacios
/
Jesús Muñoz
80'
Charly Villegas González
/
Deinner Quiñones
Jerson Malagon
/ Wilfrido De la Rosa
80'
Luis Jimenez
/ Andres Felipe Alfonso Ciprian
80'
81'
Sebastián Quiñones
90'+3
Josy Pérez
/
Cristian Andrés Vergara Rivas
Andres Felipe Alfonso Ciprian
90'+7
Pre-match prediction
55.39%
Jaguares
21.85%
X
22.76%
Alianza ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Alianza Valledupar)
22.76%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.04
—
—
1.16
—
—
Lineups
1
Diego Martínez
G
Diego Martínez
G
18
Luis Jiménez
80'
D
Luis Jiménez
80'
D
29
Carlos Henao
D
Carlos Henao
D
3
Jerson Malagón
80'
D
Jerson Malagón
80'
D
14
E. Martínez
D
E. Martínez
D
21
Rafael Bustamante
M
Rafael Bustamante
M
5
Royscer Colpa
M
Royscer Colpa
M
9
Johar Mejía
63'
M
Johar Mejía
63'
M
16
Johan Beltrán
1 👟
64'
M
Johan Beltrán
1 👟
64'
M
24
Santiago Cubides
56'
M
Santiago Cubides
56'
M
11
A. Rentería
1 ⚽
F
A. Rentería
1 ⚽
F
Bench
2
Andrés Felipe Alfonso Ciprian
10'
M
Andrés Felipe Alfonso Ciprian
10'
M
19
C. Cantillo
M
C. Cantillo
M
10
Cristian Alvarez
26'
M
Cristian Alvarez
26'
M
17
Darwin Lopez
34'
F
Darwin Lopez
34'
F
28
Diego Zuluaga
M
Diego Zuluaga
M
8
Duvan Rodríguez
27'
F
Duvan Rodríguez
27'
F
27
Faber Gracia
M
Faber Gracia
M
12
Franklin Mosquera
G
Franklin Mosquera
G
7
Wilfrido De la Rosa
10'
F
Wilfrido De la Rosa
10'
F
40
E. Esteban
G
E. Esteban
G
32
Juan Viveros
D
Juan Viveros
D
22
Jesús Figueroa
D
Jesús Figueroa
D
3
Kevin Moreno
64'
D
Kevin Moreno
64'
D
23
Israel Alba
D
Israel Alba
D
33
Jhildrey Lasso
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
Jhildrey Lasso
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
7
Jair Castillo
1 ⚽
M
Jair Castillo
1 ⚽
M
6
Ever Meza
65'
M
Ever Meza
65'
M
10
Déinner Quiñones
80'
M
Déinner Quiñones
80'
M
8
Jesús Muñoz
80'
F
Jesús Muñoz
80'
F
18
Cristian Andres Vergara Rivas
89'
F
Cristian Andres Vergara Rivas
89'
F
Bench
13
A. Simancas
G
A. Simancas
G
14
Charly Villegas
10'
F
Charly Villegas
10'
F
25
J. Perez
1'
M
J. Perez
1'
M
88
Leyner Palacios
10'
M
Leyner Palacios
10'
M
55
Wiston Fernández
1 👟
25'
M
Wiston Fernández
1 👟
25'
M
Best on the pitch
Jair Castillo
M · Alianza
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 45 pass
Jhildrey Lasso
M · Alianza
8.10
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 37 pass
A. Rentería
F · Jaguares
7.52
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 23 pass
Diego Martínez
G · Jaguares
7.39
· 19 pass
Johan Beltrán
M · Jaguares
7.18
1 👟
1 shots
· 38 pass
Jesús Figueroa
D · Alianza
7.08
2 shots
· 28 pass
Jaguares — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diego Martínez | G | 90 | 7.39 | — | — | 0 | 19 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| Luis Jiménez | D | 80 | 5.85 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 23% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Carlos Henao | D | 90 | 6.55 | — | — | 3 | 43 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Jerson Malagón | D | 80 | 6.65 | — | — | 0 | 39 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Martínez | D | 90 | 6.23 | — | — | 0 | 38 | 27% | 3 | — | — |
| Rafael Bustamante | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 76 | 67% | 2 | — | — |
| Royscer Colpa | M | 90 | 6.64 | — | — | 0 | 61 | 57% | 5 | — | — |
| Johar Mejía | M | 63 | 6.25 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Johan Beltrán | M | 64 | 7.18 | — | 1 | 1 | 38 | 32% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Santiago Cubides | M | 56 | 6.48 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 20% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Rentería | F | 90 | 7.52 | 1 | — | 2 | 23 | 22% | 0 | — | — |
| Andrés Felipe Alfonso Ciprian | M | 10 | 5.92 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 15% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Cristian Alvarez | M | 26 | 6.08 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Darwin Lopez | F | 34 | 6.35 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| Duvan Rodríguez | F | 27 | 6.73 | — | — | 0 | 23 | 23% | 0 | — | — |
| Wilfrido De la Rosa | F | 10 | 6.36 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
Alianza Valledupar — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Esteban | G | 90 | 6.99 | — | — | 0 | 22 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| Juan Viveros | D | 90 | 6.82 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Jesús Figueroa | D | 90 | 7.08 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Kevin Moreno | D | 64 | 6.17 | — | — | 0 | 31 | 26% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Israel Alba | D | 90 | 6.52 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Jhildrey Lasso | M | 90 | 8.10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 37 | 28% | 0 | — | — |
| Jair Castillo | M | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 45 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| Ever Meza | M | 65 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Déinner Quiñones | M | 80 | 6.92 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 26% | 0 | — | — |
| Jesús Muñoz | F | 80 | 6.57 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 19% | 4 | — | — |
| Cristian Andres Vergara Rivas | F | 89 | 6.32 | — | — | 0 | 20 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| Charly Villegas | F | 10 | 6.40 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Perez | M | 1 | 6.25 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| Leyner Palacios | M | 10 | 6.42 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Wiston Fernández | M | 25 | 6.69 | — | 1 | 0 | 20 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Jaguares vs Alianza Valledupar?
The final score was Jaguares 1–2 Alianza Valledupar.
What did the model predict before Jaguares vs Alianza Valledupar?
The model assigned 55% probability to a Jaguares win, 21% to a draw, and 22% to an Alianza Valledupar win.