Liga BetPlay
· Clausura - 2
August 02, 2026 22:45
7'
(ast. A. Morelos)
M. Moreno
19'
(ast. M. Uribe)
A. Sarmiento
32'
(ast. A. Roman)
A. Morelos
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atletico Nacional a 39% win probability (draw 26%, Jaguares 34%). The final result was Jaguares 0–3 Atletico Nacional. In 1 previous meetings, Jaguares have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Atletico Nacional.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
9
7
Shots on target
6
0.87
Actual xG
0.76
3
Saves
7
39%
Possession
61%
7
Corners
4
8
Tackles
7
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
7'
ast. A. Morelos ·
M. Moreno⚽
19'
ast. M. Uribe ·
A. Sarmiento⚽
32'
ast. A. Roman ·
A. Morelos⚽
D. Lopez
/ J. Maza
39'
Jopito
/ J. Malagon
39'
C. Henao
56'
J. Hinestroza
58'
67'
A. Roman
72'
C. Arango
/
A. Morelos
73'
J. Rengifo
/
E. Cardona
73'
N. Rodriguez
/
M. Moreno
73'
S. Velasquez
/
A. Sarmiento
J. Hinestroza
/ C. Cantillo
74'
W. De La Rosa
/ J. Beltran
74'
81'
K. Parra Atehortua
/
M. Uribe
E. Martinez
/ D. Zuluaga
85'
87'
Pre-match prediction
34.11%
Jaguares
26.51%
X
39.39%
Atletico ←
we assigned to the actual result (Atletico Nacional)
39.39%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.12
0.87
-0.25
1.25
0.76
-0.49
xG dominance was balanced (0.87 – 0.76).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
12
F. Mosquera
G
F. Mosquera
G
4
J. Franco
D
J. Franco
D
29
C. Henao
D
C. Henao
D
5
R. Colpa
D
R. Colpa
D
14
Edwin Martinez
86'
D
Edwin Martinez
86'
D
21
R. Bustamante
M
R. Bustamante
M
13
J. Hinestroza
74'
M
J. Hinestroza
74'
M
7
W. De La Rosa
74'
M
W. De La Rosa
74'
M
10
C. Álvarez
39'
M
C. Álvarez
39'
M
17
D. López
39'
M
D. López
39'
M
9
J. Mejia
F
J. Mejia
F
Bench
19
C. Cantillo
16'
M
C. Cantillo
16'
M
1
D. Martínez
G
D. Martínez
G
28
D. Zuluaga
11'
M
D. Zuluaga
11'
M
16
E. Beltrán
16'
F
E. Beltrán
16'
F
15
Jáder Maza
51'
M
Jáder Maza
51'
M
3
J. Malagón
51'
D
J. Malagón
51'
D
18
Luis Jiménez
D
Luis Jiménez
D
24
S. Cubides
F
S. Cubides
F
34
Franco Armani
G
Franco Armani
G
20
Milton Casco
D
Milton Casco
D
16
William Tesillo
D
William Tesillo
D
28
Simon Garcia
D
Simon Garcia
D
6
A. Román
1 👟
67'
D
A. Román
1 👟
67'
D
8
Matheus Uribe
1 👟
81'
M
Matheus Uribe
1 👟
81'
M
21
J. Campuzano
M
J. Campuzano
M
29
A. Sarmiento
1 ⚽
73'
M
A. Sarmiento
1 ⚽
73'
M
10
E. Cardona
73'
M
E. Cardona
73'
M
7
M. Moreno
1 ⚽
73'
M
M. Moreno
1 ⚽
73'
M
9
A. Morelos
1 ⚽
1 👟
72'
F
A. Morelos
1 ⚽
1 👟
72'
F
Bench
26
Andres Marin
D
Andres Marin
D
17
Cristian Arango
18'
F
Cristian Arango
18'
F
19
J. Rengifo
17'
F
J. Rengifo
17'
F
30
K. Parra
9'
M
K. Parra
9'
M
25
Luis Marquinez
G
Luis Marquinez
G
35
Matias Lozano
M
Matias Lozano
M
3
Neider Parra
D
Neider Parra
D
13
Nicolás Rodríguez
17'
F
Nicolás Rodríguez
17'
F
33
Samuel Velásquez
17'
M
Samuel Velásquez
17'
M
Best on the pitch
Franco Armani
G · Atletico
8.60
· 39 pass
A. Morelos
F · Atletico
7.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots
· 24 pass
M. Moreno
M · Atletico
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 21 pass
A. Sarmiento
M · Atletico
7.50
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 15 pass
J. Campuzano
M · Atletico
7.50
· 68 pass
Milton Casco
D · Atletico
7.50
· 35 pass
Jaguares — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Mosquera | G | 90 | 5.30 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Franco | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 17% | — | — | — |
| C. Henao | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 37 | 30% | 2 | 1 | — |
| R. Colpa | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Edwin Martinez | D | 86 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Bustamante | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 36 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Hinestroza | M | 74 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 40 | 36% | — | 1 | — |
| W. De La Rosa | M | 74 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| C. Álvarez | M | 39 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| D. López | M | 39 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| J. Mejia | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| C. Cantillo | M | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| D. Zuluaga | M | 11 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| E. Beltrán | F | 16 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Jáder Maza | M | 51 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| J. Malagón | D | 51 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
Atletico Nacional — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franco Armani | G | 90 | 8.60 | — | — | — | 39 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Milton Casco | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 35 | 34% | 3 | — | — |
| William Tesillo | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 65 | 58% | 1 | — | — |
| Simon Garcia | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 57 | 51% | — | — | — |
| A. Román | D | 67 | 6.50 | — | 1 | — | 27 | 23% | — | — | 1 |
| Matheus Uribe | M | 81 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 20 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Campuzano | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 68 | 65% | — | — | — |
| A. Sarmiento | M | 73 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 3 | 15 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Cardona | M | 73 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 49 | 41% | — | — | — |
| M. Moreno | M | 73 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 21 | 19% | — | — | — |
| A. Morelos | F | 72 | 7.90 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Cristian Arango | F | 18 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| J. Rengifo | F | 17 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| K. Parra | M | 9 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Nicolás Rodríguez | F | 17 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Samuel Velásquez | M | 17 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Jaguares vs Atletico Nacional?
The final score was Jaguares 0–3 Atletico Nacional.
What did the model predict before Jaguares vs Atletico Nacional?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Jaguares win, 26% to a draw, and 39% to an Atletico Nacional win.