Liga BetPlay
· Clausura - 2
August 02, 2026 22:45
7'
(ast. A. Morelos)
M. Moreno
19'
(ast. M. Uribe)
A. Sarmiento
32'
(ast. A. Roman)
A. Morelos
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atletico Nacional a 39% win probability (draw 26%, Jaguares 34%). The final result was Jaguares 0–3 Atletico Nacional. In 1 previous meetings, Jaguares have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Atletico Nacional.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
9
7
Shots on target
6
0.87
Actual xG
0.76
3
Saves
7
39%
Possession
61%
7
Corners
4
8
Tackles
7
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
7'
ast. A. Morelos ·
M. Moreno⚽
19'
ast. M. Uribe ·
A. Sarmiento⚽
32'
ast. A. Roman ·
A. Morelos⚽
D. Lopez
/ J. Maza
39'
Jopito
/ J. Malagon
39'
C. Henao
56'
J. Hinestroza
58'
67'
A. Roman
72'
C. Arango
/
A. Morelos
73'
J. Rengifo
/
E. Cardona
73'
N. Rodriguez
/
M. Moreno
73'
S. Velasquez
/
A. Sarmiento
J. Hinestroza
/ C. Cantillo
74'
W. De La Rosa
/ J. Beltran
74'
81'
K. Parra Atehortua
/
M. Uribe
E. Martinez
/ D. Zuluaga
85'
87'
Pre-match prediction
34.11%
Jaguares
26.51%
X
39.39%
Atletico ←
we assigned to the actual result (Atletico Nacional)
39.39%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.12
0.87
-0.25
1.25
0.76
-0.49
xG dominance was balanced (0.87 – 0.76).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
12
Franklin Mosquera
G
Franklin Mosquera
G
4
Juan Franco
D
Juan Franco
D
29
Carlos Henao
D
Carlos Henao
D
5
Royscer Colpa
D
Royscer Colpa
D
14
E. Martínez
86'
D
E. Martínez
86'
D
21
Rafael Bustamante
M
Rafael Bustamante
M
13
J. Hinestroza
74'
M
J. Hinestroza
74'
M
7
Wilfrido De la Rosa
74'
M
Wilfrido De la Rosa
74'
M
10
Cristian Alvarez
39'
M
Cristian Alvarez
39'
M
17
Darwin Lopez
39'
M
Darwin Lopez
39'
M
9
Johar Mejía
F
Johar Mejía
F
Bench
19
C. Cantillo
16'
M
C. Cantillo
16'
M
1
Diego Martínez
G
Diego Martínez
G
28
Diego Zuluaga
11'
M
Diego Zuluaga
11'
M
15
Jáder Maza
51'
M
Jáder Maza
51'
M
3
Jerson Malagón
51'
D
Jerson Malagón
51'
D
16
Johan Beltrán
16'
F
Johan Beltrán
16'
F
18
Luis Jiménez
D
Luis Jiménez
D
24
Santiago Cubides
F
Santiago Cubides
F
34
Franco Armani
G
Franco Armani
G
20
Milton Casco
D
Milton Casco
D
16
William Tesillo
D
William Tesillo
D
28
S. Garcia
D
S. Garcia
D
6
Andrés Román
1 👟
67'
D
Andrés Román
1 👟
67'
D
8
Matheus Uribe
1 👟
81'
M
Matheus Uribe
1 👟
81'
M
21
Jorman Campuzano
M
Jorman Campuzano
M
29
Andrés Sarmiento
1 ⚽
73'
M
Andrés Sarmiento
1 ⚽
73'
M
10
Edwin Cardona
73'
M
Edwin Cardona
73'
M
7
M. Moreno
1 ⚽
73'
M
M. Moreno
1 ⚽
73'
M
9
Alfredo Morelos
1 ⚽
1 👟
72'
F
Alfredo Morelos
1 ⚽
1 👟
72'
F
Bench
26
Andres Marin
D
Andres Marin
D
17
C. Arango
18'
F
C. Arango
18'
F
19
Juan Manuel Rengifo
17'
F
Juan Manuel Rengifo
17'
F
30
Kevin Parra
9'
M
Kevin Parra
9'
M
25
Luis Marquinez
G
Luis Marquinez
G
35
Matias Lozano
M
Matias Lozano
M
3
Neider Parra
D
Neider Parra
D
13
Nicolás Rodríguez
17'
F
Nicolás Rodríguez
17'
F
33
Samuel Velásquez
17'
M
Samuel Velásquez
17'
M
Best on the pitch
Franco Armani
G · Atletico
8.60
· 39 pass
Alfredo Morelos
F · Atletico
7.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots
· 24 pass
M. Moreno
M · Atletico
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 21 pass
Andrés Sarmiento
M · Atletico
7.50
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 15 pass
Jorman Campuzano
M · Atletico
7.50
· 68 pass
Milton Casco
D · Atletico
7.50
· 35 pass
Jaguares — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franklin Mosquera | G | 90 | 5.30 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Juan Franco | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Carlos Henao | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 37 | 30% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Royscer Colpa | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Martínez | D | 86 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Rafael Bustamante | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 36 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Hinestroza | M | 74 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 40 | 36% | — | 1 | — |
| Wilfrido De la Rosa | M | 74 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Cristian Alvarez | M | 39 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Darwin Lopez | M | 39 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Johar Mejía | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| C. Cantillo | M | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Diego Zuluaga | M | 11 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Jáder Maza | M | 51 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Jerson Malagón | D | 51 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Johan Beltrán | F | 16 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Atletico Nacional — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franco Armani | G | 90 | 8.60 | — | — | — | 39 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Milton Casco | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 35 | 34% | 3 | — | — |
| William Tesillo | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 65 | 58% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Garcia | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 57 | 51% | — | — | — |
| Andrés Román | D | 67 | 6.50 | — | 1 | — | 27 | 23% | — | — | 1 |
| Matheus Uribe | M | 81 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 20 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Jorman Campuzano | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 68 | 65% | — | — | — |
| Andrés Sarmiento | M | 73 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 3 | 15 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Edwin Cardona | M | 73 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 49 | 41% | — | — | — |
| M. Moreno | M | 73 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 21 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Alfredo Morelos | F | 72 | 7.90 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 19% | — | — | — |
| C. Arango | F | 18 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Juan Manuel Rengifo | F | 17 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Kevin Parra | M | 9 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Nicolás Rodríguez | F | 17 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Samuel Velásquez | M | 17 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Jaguares vs Atletico Nacional?
The final score was Jaguares 0–3 Atletico Nacional.
What did the model predict before Jaguares vs Atletico Nacional?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Jaguares win, 26% to a draw, and 39% to an Atletico Nacional win.