Liga BetPlay
· Apertura - 19
May 02, 2026 23:00
S. Cubides
(ast. Jopito)
53'
Y. Moreno
90'+4
(pen.)
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Jaguares a 46% win probability (draw 28%, Cucuta 24%). The final result was Jaguares 2–0 Cucuta.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
3
5
Shots on target
2
1.45
Actual xG
0.36
2
Saves
3
52%
Possession
48%
6
Corners
4
14
Tackles
4
5
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
14'
J. Peralta
/
L. Hernandez
J. Lovera
39'
J. Lovera
/ C. Ordonez
46'
46'
S. Orozco
/
V. Mejia
⚽S. Cubides
· ast. Jopito
53'
J. Maza
55'
A. Renteria
/ J. Mejia
60'
S. Cubides
/ D. Rodriguez Urango
60'
C. Henao
62'
W. De La Rosa
65'
67'
J. Agudelo
/
K. Londono
J. Mejia
72'
Jopito
/ Y. Moreno
74'
W. De La Rosa
/ D. Lopez
81'
84'
A. Ballesteros
/
F. Castaneda
84'
S. Tamara
/
L. Berdugo
90'+3
D. Calcaterra
⚽Y. Moreno
(pen.)
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
46.61%
Jaguares ←
28.83%
X
24.56%
Cucuta
we assigned to the actual result (Jaguares)
46.61%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.23
1.45
+0.22
0.73
0.36
-0.37
Jaguares dominated by xG (1.45 vs 0.36).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
12
Franklin Mosquera
G
Franklin Mosquera
G
15
Jáder Maza
D
Jáder Maza
D
29
Carlos Henao
D
Carlos Henao
D
6
Jonathan Lovera
45'
D
Jonathan Lovera
45'
D
25
D
13
J. Hinestroza
M
J. Hinestroza
M
21
Rafael Bustamante
M
Rafael Bustamante
M
24
Santiago Cubides
1 ⚽
60'
M
Santiago Cubides
1 ⚽
60'
M
10
Cristian Alvarez
1 👟
74'
M
Cristian Alvarez
1 👟
74'
M
20
Wilfrido De la Rosa
82'
M
Wilfrido De la Rosa
82'
M
11
A. Rentería
60'
F
A. Rentería
60'
F
Bench
22
C. Ordonez
45'
D
26
Darwin Lopez
8'
F
Darwin Lopez
8'
F
1
Diego Martínez
G
Diego Martínez
G
8
Duvan Rodríguez
30'
F
Duvan Rodríguez
30'
F
23
Fabián Mosquera
M
16
Johar Mejía
30'
F
Johar Mejía
30'
F
19
Yairo Moreno
1 ⚽
16'
M
24
Federico Abadía
G
Federico Abadía
G
80
Omar Albornoz
D
Omar Albornoz
D
44
D
3
Diego Calcaterra
D
Diego Calcaterra
D
26
Yair Joao Abonia Vasquez
D
Yair Joao Abonia Vasquez
D
11
Eduar Arízalas
M
Eduar Arízalas
M
5
Victor Mejia
45'
M
Victor Mejia
45'
M
16
Kevin Londoño
67'
M
Kevin Londoño
67'
M
23
Frank Castañeda
84'
M
Frank Castañeda
84'
M
90
L. Hernández
14'
F
L. Hernández
14'
F
7
Leider Berdugo
84'
F
Leider Berdugo
84'
F
Bench
2
A. Ballesteros
13'
D
9
Jaime Peralta
76'
F
Jaime Peralta
76'
F
Best on the pitch
Santiago Cubides
M · Jaguares
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 12 pass
Rafael Bustamante
M · Jaguares
7.90
1 shots
· 65 pass
Carlos Henao
D · Jaguares
7.30
· 36 pass
Yairo Moreno
M · Jaguares
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 8 pass
C. Ordonez
D · Jaguares
7.20
· 15 pass
Victor Mejia
M · Cucuta
7.20
· 24 pass
Jaguares — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franklin Mosquera | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Jáder Maza | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 29% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Carlos Henao | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 34% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jonathan Lovera | D | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 25 | 17% | — | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 34% | 2 | — | — | |
| J. Hinestroza | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 42 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| Rafael Bustamante | M | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 65 | 60% | 5 | — | — |
| Santiago Cubides | M | 60 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Cristian Alvarez | M | 74 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 34 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Wilfrido De la Rosa | M | 82 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | 2 | 1 | — |
| A. Rentería | F | 60 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 11% | — | — | — |
| C. Ordonez | D | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Darwin Lopez | F | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Duvan Rodríguez | F | 30 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Johar Mejía | F | 30 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| Yairo Moreno | M | 16 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
Cucuta — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Federico Abadía | G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Omar Albornoz | D | 90 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 34 | 28% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 44 | 35% | 1 | — | — | |
| Diego Calcaterra | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 28% | — | 1 | — |
| Yair Joao Abonia Vasquez | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Eduar Arízalas | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Victor Mejia | M | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Kevin Londoño | M | 67 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 25 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Frank Castañeda | M | 84 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 33 | 27% | — | — | — |
| L. Hernández | F | 14 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Leider Berdugo | F | 84 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 32% | — | — | — |
| A. Ballesteros | D | 13 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Jaime Peralta | F | 76 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Jaguares vs Cucuta?
The final score was Jaguares 2–0 Cucuta.
What did the model predict before Jaguares vs Cucuta?
The model assigned 46% probability to a Jaguares win, 28% to a draw, and 24% to an Cucuta win.