Liga BetPlay
· Apertura - 19
May 02, 2026 23:00
S. Cubides
(ast. Jopito)
53'
Y. Moreno
90'+4
(pen.)
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Jaguares a 46% win probability (draw 28%, Cucuta 24%). The final result was Jaguares 2–0 Cucuta.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
3
5
Shots on target
2
1.45
Actual xG
0.36
2
Saves
3
52%
Possession
48%
6
Corners
4
14
Tackles
4
5
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
14'
J. Peralta
/
L. Hernandez
J. Lovera
39'
J. Lovera
/ C. Ordonez
46'
46'
S. Orozco
/
V. Mejia
⚽S. Cubides
· ast. Jopito
53'
J. Maza
55'
A. Renteria
/ J. Mejia
60'
S. Cubides
/ D. Rodriguez Urango
60'
C. Henao
62'
W. De La Rosa
65'
67'
J. Agudelo
/
K. Londono
J. Mejia
72'
Jopito
/ Y. Moreno
74'
W. De La Rosa
/ D. Lopez
81'
84'
A. Ballesteros
/
F. Castaneda
84'
S. Tamara
/
L. Berdugo
90'+3
D. Calcaterra
⚽Y. Moreno
(pen.)
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
46.61%
Jaguares ←
28.83%
X
24.56%
Cucuta
we assigned to the actual result (Jaguares)
46.61%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.23
1.45
+0.22
0.73
0.36
-0.37
Jaguares dominated by xG (1.45 vs 0.36).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
12
F. Mosquera
G
F. Mosquera
G
15
Jáder Maza
D
Jáder Maza
D
29
C. Henao
D
C. Henao
D
6
J. Lovera
45'
D
J. Lovera
45'
D
25
D
13
J. Hinestroza
M
J. Hinestroza
M
21
R. Bustamante
M
R. Bustamante
M
24
S. Cubides
1 ⚽
60'
M
S. Cubides
1 ⚽
60'
M
10
C. Álvarez
1 👟
74'
M
C. Álvarez
1 👟
74'
M
20
W. De La Rosa
82'
M
W. De La Rosa
82'
M
11
A. Rentería
60'
F
A. Rentería
60'
F
Bench
22
C. Ordonez
45'
D
26
D. López
8'
F
D. López
8'
F
1
D. Martínez
G
D. Martínez
G
8
D. Rodríguez
30'
F
D. Rodríguez
30'
F
23
Fabián Mosquera
M
16
J. Mejia
30'
F
J. Mejia
30'
F
19
Yairo Moreno
1 ⚽
16'
M
24
Federico Abadía
G
Federico Abadía
G
80
Omar Albornoz
D
Omar Albornoz
D
44
D
3
D. Calcaterra
D
D. Calcaterra
D
26
Y. Abonía
D
Y. Abonía
D
11
E. Arízalas
M
E. Arízalas
M
5
V. Mejía
45'
M
V. Mejía
45'
M
16
K. Londoño
67'
M
K. Londoño
67'
M
23
F. Castañeda
84'
M
F. Castañeda
84'
M
90
Luifer Hernández
14'
F
Luifer Hernández
14'
F
7
L. Berdugo
84'
F
L. Berdugo
84'
F
Bench
2
A. Ballesteros
13'
D
9
J. Peralta
76'
F
J. Peralta
76'
F
Best on the pitch
S. Cubides
M · Jaguares
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 12 pass
R. Bustamante
M · Jaguares
7.90
1 shots
· 65 pass
C. Henao
D · Jaguares
7.30
· 36 pass
Yairo Moreno
M · Jaguares
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 8 pass
C. Ordonez
D · Jaguares
7.20
· 15 pass
V. Mejía
M · Cucuta
7.20
· 24 pass
Jaguares — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Mosquera | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Jáder Maza | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 29% | 1 | 1 | — |
| C. Henao | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 34% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Lovera | D | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 25 | 17% | — | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 34% | 2 | — | — | |
| J. Hinestroza | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 42 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Bustamante | M | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 65 | 60% | 5 | — | — |
| S. Cubides | M | 60 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| C. Álvarez | M | 74 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 34 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| W. De La Rosa | M | 82 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | 2 | 1 | — |
| A. Rentería | F | 60 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 11% | — | — | — |
| C. Ordonez | D | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
| D. López | F | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| D. Rodríguez | F | 30 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| J. Mejia | F | 30 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| Yairo Moreno | M | 16 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
Cucuta — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Federico Abadía | G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Omar Albornoz | D | 90 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 34 | 28% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 44 | 35% | 1 | — | — | |
| D. Calcaterra | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 28% | — | 1 | — |
| Y. Abonía | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Arízalas | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| V. Mejía | M | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Londoño | M | 67 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 25 | 24% | — | — | — |
| F. Castañeda | M | 84 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 33 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Luifer Hernández | F | 14 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| L. Berdugo | F | 84 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 32% | — | — | — |
| A. Ballesteros | D | 13 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| J. Peralta | F | 76 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Jaguares vs Cucuta?
The final score was Jaguares 2–0 Cucuta.
What did the model predict before Jaguares vs Cucuta?
The model assigned 46% probability to a Jaguares win, 28% to a draw, and 24% to an Cucuta win.