Luis Jimenez
(ast. Rafael Bustamante)
40'
Johan Beltrán
(ast. Rafael Bustamante)
67'
Darwin Lopez
90'+3
77'
(ast. Luis Sandoval)
Adrián Parra
87'
(ast. Ever Valencia)
Adrián Parra
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Deportes Tolima a 44% win probability (draw 23%, Jaguares 32%). The final result was Jaguares 3–2 Deportes Tolima. In 1 previous meetings, Jaguares have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Deportes Tolima.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
18
5
Shots on target
6
0.39
Actual xG
1.53
4
Saves
2
39%
Possession
61%
0
Corners
8
12
Tackles
8
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
Royscer Rafael Colpa Bolano
19'
28'
Juan Jose Mera Gonzalez
/
Sebastian Guzman
37'
Ever Valencia
⚽Luis Jimenez
· ast. Rafael Bustamante
40'
45'
Edwar López
/
Shean Barbosa
52'
Brayan Rovira
58'
Luis Sandoval
/
Sergio Aguayo
Andrés Rentería
/ Darwin Lopez
64'
Cristian Alvarez
/ Johan Beltrán
64'
Johar Mejia
/ Santiago Cubides
64'
⚽Johan Beltrán
· ast. Rafael Bustamante
67'
68'
Luis Sandoval
77'
ast. Luis Sandoval ·
Adrián Parra⚽
79'
Jader Valencia
/
Brayan Rovira
Wilfrido De la Rosa
/ Jose Yanez
81'
Juan Esteban Franco
/ Andres Felipe Alfonso Ciprian
85'
87'
ast. Ever Valencia ·
Adrián Parra⚽
⚽Darwin Lopez
90'+3
Johan Beltrán
90'+5
Santiago Cubides
90'
Pre-match prediction
32.33%
Jaguares ←
23.31%
X
44.36%
Deportes
we assigned to the actual result (Jaguares)
32.33%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.40
0.39
-1.01
1.71
1.53
-0.18
Deportes Tolima dominated by xG (1.53 vs 0.39).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
12
Franklin Mosquera
G
Franklin Mosquera
G
18
Luis Jiménez
1 ⚽
D
Luis Jiménez
1 ⚽
D
29
Carlos Henao
D
Carlos Henao
D
6
Jonathan Lovera
D
Jonathan Lovera
D
4
Juan Franco
85'
D
Juan Franco
85'
D
21
Rafael Bustamante
2 👟
M
Rafael Bustamante
2 👟
M
5
Royscer Colpa
M
Royscer Colpa
M
9
Johar Mejía
64'
M
Johar Mejía
64'
M
10
Cristian Alvarez
64'
M
Cristian Alvarez
64'
M
7
Wilfrido De la Rosa
81'
M
Wilfrido De la Rosa
81'
M
11
Andrés Rentería
64'
F
Andrés Rentería
64'
F
Bench
2
Andrés Felipe Alfonso Ciprian
5'
M
Andrés Felipe Alfonso Ciprian
5'
M
17
Darwin Lopez
1 ⚽
26'
F
Darwin Lopez
1 ⚽
26'
F
28
Diego Zuluaga
M
Diego Zuluaga
M
27
F. Gracia
M
F. Gracia
M
16
Johan Beltrán
1 ⚽
26'
F
Johan Beltrán
1 ⚽
26'
F
24
Santiago Cubides
26'
F
Santiago Cubides
26'
F
1
Neto Volpi
G
Neto Volpi
G
30
Shean Barbosa
45'
D
Shean Barbosa
45'
D
80
Brayan Rovira
79'
D
Brayan Rovira
79'
D
2
A. Angulo
D
A. Angulo
D
14
Homer Martinez
D
Homer Martinez
D
33
Jherson Mosquera
D
Jherson Mosquera
D
32
S. Guzmán
28'
M
S. Guzmán
28'
M
20
Junior Hernández
M
Junior Hernández
M
8
Ever Valencia
1 👟
M
Ever Valencia
1 👟
M
15
F
24
Adrián Parra
2 ⚽
F
Adrián Parra
2 ⚽
F
Bench
28
Edwar López
45'
F
Edwar López
45'
F
11
Jader Valencia
11'
F
Jader Valencia
11'
F
5
Juan Mera
62'
D
Juan Mera
62'
D
9
Luis Sandoval
1 👟
32'
F
Luis Sandoval
1 👟
32'
F
13
Miguel Ortega
G
Miguel Ortega
G
16
V. Reyes
M
V. Reyes
M
Best on the pitch
Adrián Parra
F · Deportes
9.63
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 39 pass
Rafael Bustamante
M · Jaguares
8.41
2 👟
· 36 pass
Darwin Lopez
F · Jaguares
7.77
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 10 pass
Ever Valencia
M · Deportes
7.40
1 👟
5 shots
· 49 pass
Luis Jiménez
D · Jaguares
7.14
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 19 pass
Johan Beltrán
F · Jaguares
7.08
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 19 pass
Jaguares — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franklin Mosquera | G | 90 | 6.64 | — | — | 0 | 25 | 15% | 0 | — | — |
| Luis Jiménez | D | 90 | 7.14 | 1 | — | 1 | 19 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| Carlos Henao | D | 90 | 6.54 | — | — | 0 | 34 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| Jonathan Lovera | D | 90 | 6.56 | — | — | 0 | 43 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| Juan Franco | D | 85 | 5.99 | — | — | 0 | 22 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Rafael Bustamante | M | 90 | 8.41 | — | 2 | 0 | 36 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| Royscer Colpa | M | 90 | 6.39 | — | — | 0 | 23 | 22% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Johar Mejía | M | 64 | 6.42 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| Cristian Alvarez | M | 64 | 6.11 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
| Wilfrido De la Rosa | M | 81 | 5.64 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| Andrés Rentería | F | 64 | 6.21 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| Andrés Felipe Alfonso Ciprian | M | 5 | 6.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| Darwin Lopez | F | 26 | 7.77 | 1 | — | 2 | 10 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| Johan Beltrán | F | 26 | 7.08 | 1 | — | 1 | 19 | 17% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Santiago Cubides | F | 26 | 6.69 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 8% | 1 | 1 | — |
Deportes Tolima — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neto Volpi | G | 90 | 5.92 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 20% | 0 | — | — |
| Shean Barbosa | D | 45 | 6.08 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 8% | 3 | — | — |
| Brayan Rovira | D | 79 | 6.10 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 44% | 0 | 1 | — |
| A. Angulo | D | 90 | 6.49 | — | — | 2 | 59 | 57% | 0 | — | — |
| Homer Martinez | D | 90 | 6.59 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| Jherson Mosquera | D | 90 | 6.34 | — | — | 2 | 33 | 32% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Guzmán | M | 28 | 5.77 | — | — | 0 | 16 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| Junior Hernández | M | 90 | 6.39 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Ever Valencia | M | 90 | 7.40 | — | 1 | 5 | 49 | 39% | 1 | 1 | — |
| F | 0 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — | |
| Adrián Parra | F | 90 | 9.63 | 2 | — | 2 | 39 | 34% | 0 | — | — |
| Edwar López | F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 23% | 0 | — | — |
| Jader Valencia | F | 11 | 6.38 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Juan Mera | D | 62 | 6.00 | — | — | 0 | 40 | 31% | 0 | — | — |
| Luis Sandoval | F | 32 | 6.84 | — | 1 | 2 | 19 | 13% | 0 | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Jaguares vs Deportes Tolima?
The final score was Jaguares 3–2 Deportes Tolima.
What did the model predict before Jaguares vs Deportes Tolima?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Jaguares win, 23% to a draw, and 44% to an Deportes Tolima win.