Liga BetPlay
· Apertura - 17
April 17, 2026 23:00
Andres Renteria
38'
Andres Renteria
56'
33'
Andrey Estupiñán
42'
(ast. Edwin Velasco)
Wilson Morelo
90'
(ast. Mayer Gil)
Enrique Serje
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Deportivo Pasto a 41% win probability (draw 31%, Jaguares 27%). The final result was Jaguares 2–3 Deportivo Pasto.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
9
8
Shots on target
5
1.47
Actual xG
1.08
1
Saves
8
48%
Possession
52%
4
Corners
2
9
Tackles
7
3
🟨 Yellow cards
6
Match Events
Jonathan Lovera
24'
33'
Andrey Estupiñán⚽
⚽Andres Renteria
38'
42'
ast. Edwin Velasco ·
Wilson Morelo⚽
Johan Hinestroza
/ Rafael Bustamante
46'
Bladimir Angulo
/ Darwin Lopez
46'
49'
Jonathan Perlaza
50'
Matías Pisano
53'
Diego Chávez
54'
Nicolas Gil
⚽Andres Renteria
56'
58'
61'
Yeiler Góez
/
Harrinson Mancilla
Darwin Lopez
62'
62'
Joider Micolta
/
Matías Pisano
62'
Enrique Serje
/
Diego Chávez
Yairo Moreno
/ Kahiser Lenis
67'
Andres Renteria
/ Johar Mejía
75'
75'
Mayer Gil
/
Jonathan Perlaza
75'
Santiago Córdoba
/
Wilson Morelo
82'
Mateo Garavito
Cristian Alvarez
/ Juan Camargo
83'
84'
Enrique Serje
Rafael Bustamante
85'
90'
ast. Mayer Gil ·
Enrique Serje⚽
Pre-match prediction
27.36%
Jaguares
31.31%
X
41.33%
Deportivo ←
we assigned to the actual result (Deportivo Pasto)
41.33%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.09
1.47
+0.38
1.39
1.08
-0.31
Jaguares dominated by xG (1.47 vs 1.08).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
12
F. Mosquera
G
F. Mosquera
G
15
Jáder Maza
D
Jáder Maza
D
6
J. Lovera
D
J. Lovera
D
29
C. Henao
D
C. Henao
D
14
Bladimir Angulo
45'
D
25
D
23
Fabián Mosquera
M
13
J. Hinestroza
45'
M
J. Hinestroza
45'
M
19
Yairo Moreno
67'
M
10
C. Álvarez
83'
F
C. Álvarez
83'
F
11
A. Rentería
2 ⚽
75'
F
A. Rentería
2 ⚽
75'
F
Bench
22
C. Ordonez
D
26
D. López
45'
F
D. López
45'
F
1
D. Martínez
G
D. Martínez
G
16
J. Mejia
15'
F
J. Mejia
15'
F
21
R. Bustamante
45'
M
R. Bustamante
45'
M
7
W. De La Rosa
F
W. De La Rosa
F
12
Geovanni Banguera
G
Geovanni Banguera
G
21
1 👟
D
5
N. Gil
D
N. Gil
D
2
F. Torijano
D
33
M. Garavito
D
M. Garavito
D
10
D. Chávez
62'
M
D. Chávez
62'
M
32
M. Pisano
62'
M
M. Pisano
62'
M
15
H. Mancilla
61'
M
H. Mancilla
61'
M
7
Jonathan Perlaza
75'
F
Jonathan Perlaza
75'
F
11
A. Estupiñán
1 ⚽
F
A. Estupiñán
1 ⚽
F
19
Wilson Morelo
1 ⚽
75'
F
Wilson Morelo
1 ⚽
75'
F
Bench
8
E. Serje
1 ⚽
28'
M
E. Serje
1 ⚽
28'
M
27
Hervin Goyes
F
Hervin Goyes
F
6
J. Caicedo
M
J. Caicedo
M
16
M. Gil
1 👟
15'
M
M. Gil
1 👟
15'
M
29
Santiago Córdoba
15'
F
Santiago Córdoba
15'
F
23
Y. Góez
29'
M
Y. Góez
29'
M
Best on the pitch
A. Rentería
F · Jaguares
7.60
2 ⚽
5 shots
· 17 pass
E. Serje
M · Deportivo
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 15 pass
Fabián Mosquera
M · Jaguares
7.30
2 shots
· 43 pass
A. Estupiñán
F · Deportivo
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 30 pass
C. Álvarez
F · Jaguares
7.20
1 shots
· 23 pass
R. Bustamante
M · Jaguares
7.20
· 16 pass
Jaguares — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Mosquera | G | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Jáder Maza | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 44 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Lovera | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 38 | 32% | — | 1 | — |
| C. Henao | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Bladimir Angulo | D | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 21% | 1 | — | — | |
| Fabián Mosquera | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 43 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Hinestroza | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Yairo Moreno | M | 67 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Álvarez | F | 83 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 18% | — | — | — |
| A. Rentería | F | 75 | 7.60 | 2 | — | 5 | 17 | 15% | — | — | — |
| D. López | F | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 7 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Mejia | F | 15 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| R. Bustamante | M | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | 2 | 1 | — |
Deportivo Pasto — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geovanni Banguera | G | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 18 | 13% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 35 | 29% | 1 | — | — | |
| N. Gil | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 43 | 39% | 1 | 1 | — |
| F. Torijano | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 27 | 21% | — | — | — |
| M. Garavito | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 25% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D. Chávez | M | 62 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 33 | 26% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Pisano | M | 62 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 31% | — | 1 | — |
| H. Mancilla | M | 61 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Jonathan Perlaza | F | 75 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 20% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Estupiñán | F | 90 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 30 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Wilson Morelo | F | 75 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 26 | 22% | — | — | — |
| E. Serje | M | 28 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 15 | 14% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Gil | M | 15 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Santiago Córdoba | F | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Y. Góez | M | 29 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Jaguares vs Deportivo Pasto?
The final score was Jaguares 2–3 Deportivo Pasto.
What did the model predict before Jaguares vs Deportivo Pasto?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Jaguares win, 31% to a draw, and 41% to an Deportivo Pasto win.