Liga BetPlay
· Apertura - 17
April 17, 2026 23:00
Andres Renteria
38'
Andres Renteria
56'
33'
Andrey Estupiñán
42'
(ast. Edwin Velasco)
Wilson Morelo
90'
(ast. Mayer Gil)
Enrique Serje
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Deportivo Pasto a 41% win probability (draw 31%, Jaguares 27%). The final result was Jaguares 2–3 Deportivo Pasto.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
9
8
Shots on target
5
1.47
Actual xG
1.08
1
Saves
8
48%
Possession
52%
4
Corners
2
9
Tackles
7
3
🟨 Yellow cards
6
Match Events
Jonathan Lovera
24'
33'
Andrey Estupiñán⚽
⚽Andres Renteria
38'
42'
ast. Edwin Velasco ·
Wilson Morelo⚽
Johan Hinestroza
/ Rafael Bustamante
46'
Bladimir Angulo
/ Darwin Lopez
46'
49'
Jonathan Perlaza
50'
Matías Pisano
53'
Diego Chávez
54'
Nicolas Gil
⚽Andres Renteria
56'
58'
61'
Yeiler Góez
/
Harrinson Mancilla
Darwin Lopez
62'
62'
Joider Micolta
/
Matías Pisano
62'
Enrique Serje
/
Diego Chávez
Yairo Moreno
/ Kahiser Lenis
67'
Andres Renteria
/ Johar Mejía
75'
75'
Mayer Gil
/
Jonathan Perlaza
75'
Santiago Córdoba
/
Wilson Morelo
82'
Mateo Garavito
Cristian Alvarez
/ Juan Camargo
83'
84'
Enrique Serje
Rafael Bustamante
85'
90'
ast. Mayer Gil ·
Enrique Serje⚽
Pre-match prediction
27.36%
Jaguares
31.31%
X
41.33%
Deportivo ←
we assigned to the actual result (Deportivo Pasto)
41.33%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.09
1.47
+0.38
1.39
1.08
-0.31
Jaguares dominated by xG (1.47 vs 1.08).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
12
F. Mosquera
G
15
J. Maza
D
6
J. Lovera
D
29
C. Henao
D
14
Bladimir Angulo
45'
D
25
D
23
Fabián Mosquera
M
13
J. Hinestroza
45'
M
J. Hinestroza
45'
M
19
Yairo Moreno
67'
M
10
Cristian Alvarez
83'
F
11
A. Rentería
2 ⚽
75'
F
A. Rentería
2 ⚽
75'
F
Bench
22
C. Ordonez
D
26
Darwin Lopez
45'
F
1
Diego Martínez
G
16
J. Mejia
15'
F
21
Rafael Bustamante
45'
M
7
W. De La Rosa
F
12
Geovanni Banguera
G
Geovanni Banguera
G
21
1 👟
D
5
Nicolas Gil Uribe
D
Nicolas Gil Uribe
D
2
F. Torijano
D
33
Mateo Garavito
D
Mateo Garavito
D
10
Diego Chávez
62'
M
Diego Chávez
62'
M
32
Matías Pisano
62'
M
Matías Pisano
62'
M
15
Harrinson Mancilla
61'
M
Harrinson Mancilla
61'
M
7
Jonathan Perlaza
75'
F
Jonathan Perlaza
75'
F
11
Andrey Estupiñán
1 ⚽
F
Andrey Estupiñán
1 ⚽
F
19
Wilson Morelo
1 ⚽
75'
F
Wilson Morelo
1 ⚽
75'
F
Bench
8
Enrique Serje
1 ⚽
28'
M
Enrique Serje
1 ⚽
28'
M
27
Hervin Goyes
F
Hervin Goyes
F
6
Johan Caicedo
M
Johan Caicedo
M
16
Mayer Gil
1 👟
15'
M
Mayer Gil
1 👟
15'
M
29
Santiago Córdoba
15'
F
Santiago Córdoba
15'
F
23
Yeiler Góez
29'
M
Yeiler Góez
29'
M
Best on the pitch
A. Rentería
F · Jaguares
7.60
2 ⚽
5 shots
· 17 pass
Enrique Serje
M · Deportivo
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 15 pass
Fabián Mosquera
M · Jaguares
7.30
2 shots
· 43 pass
Andrey Estupiñán
F · Deportivo
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 30 pass
Cristian Alvarez
F · Jaguares
7.20
1 shots
· 23 pass
Rafael Bustamante
M · Jaguares
7.20
· 16 pass
Jaguares — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Mosquera | G | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 16% | — | — | — |
| J. Maza | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 44 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Lovera | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 38 | 32% | — | 1 | — |
| C. Henao | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Bladimir Angulo | D | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 21% | 1 | — | — | |
| Fabián Mosquera | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 43 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Hinestroza | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Yairo Moreno | M | 67 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| Cristian Alvarez | F | 83 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 18% | — | — | — |
| A. Rentería | F | 75 | 7.60 | 2 | — | 5 | 17 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Darwin Lopez | F | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 7 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Mejia | F | 15 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Rafael Bustamante | M | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | 2 | 1 | — |
Deportivo Pasto — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geovanni Banguera | G | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 18 | 13% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 35 | 29% | 1 | — | — | |
| Nicolas Gil Uribe | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 43 | 39% | 1 | 1 | — |
| F. Torijano | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 27 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Mateo Garavito | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 25% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Diego Chávez | M | 62 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 33 | 26% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Matías Pisano | M | 62 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 31% | — | 1 | — |
| Harrinson Mancilla | M | 61 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Jonathan Perlaza | F | 75 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 20% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Andrey Estupiñán | F | 90 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 30 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Wilson Morelo | F | 75 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 26 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Enrique Serje | M | 28 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 15 | 14% | — | 1 | — |
| Mayer Gil | M | 15 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Santiago Córdoba | F | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Yeiler Góez | M | 29 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Jaguares vs Deportivo Pasto?
The final score was Jaguares 2–3 Deportivo Pasto.
What did the model predict before Jaguares vs Deportivo Pasto?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Jaguares win, 31% to a draw, and 41% to an Deportivo Pasto win.