Liga BetPlay
· Clausura - 4
August 10, 2026 01:10
D. Lopez
(ast. C. Cantillo)
73'
70'
(ast. A. Colorado)
A. Roa
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Once Caldas a 48% win probability (draw 26%, Jaguares 25%). The final result was Jaguares 1–1 Once Caldas. In 1 previous meetings, Jaguares have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Once Caldas.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
14
3
Shots on target
5
0.55
Actual xG
1.73
4
Saves
2
43%
Possession
57%
2
Corners
5
6
Tackles
6
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
17'
J. Alvarado
J. Arcila
40'
46'
P. Gomez
/
D. Moreno
46'
J. Nieto
/
J. Alvarado
J. Maza
48'
58'
D. Londono
A. Renteria
/ J. Mejia
67'
Jopito
/ J. Beltran
67'
W. De La Rosa
/ C. Cantillo
68'
R. Bustamante
/ D. Lopez
68'
70'
ast. A. Colorado ·
A. Roa⚽
⚽D. Lopez
· ast. C. Cantillo
73'
D. Lopez
73'
75'
J. Patino
/
A. Correa
J. Arcila
/ E. Martinez
76'
80'
M. Zuleta
/
M. Barrios
80'
J. Quinones
/
A. Roa
J. Beltran
81'
90'+1
J. Cardona
Pre-match prediction
25.12%
Jaguares
26.44%
X ←
48.44%
Once
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
26.44%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.86
0.55
-0.31
1.40
1.73
+0.33
Once Caldas dominated by xG (1.73 vs 0.55).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
12
F. Mosquera
G
F. Mosquera
G
23
Juan Pérez
76'
D
Juan Pérez
76'
D
29
C. Henao
D
C. Henao
D
3
J. Malagón
D
J. Malagón
D
4
J. Franco
D
J. Franco
D
15
Jáder Maza
M
Jáder Maza
M
21
R. Bustamante
68'
M
R. Bustamante
68'
M
5
R. Colpa
M
R. Colpa
M
7
W. De La Rosa
68'
M
W. De La Rosa
68'
M
11
A. Rentería
67'
F
A. Rentería
67'
F
10
C. Álvarez
67'
F
C. Álvarez
67'
F
Bench
19
C. Cantillo
1 👟
22'
M
C. Cantillo
1 👟
22'
M
17
D. López
1 ⚽
22'
F
D. López
1 ⚽
22'
F
1
D. Martínez
G
D. Martínez
G
28
D. Zuluaga
M
D. Zuluaga
M
16
E. Beltrán
23'
F
E. Beltrán
23'
F
14
Edwin Martinez
14'
D
Edwin Martinez
14'
D
31
Gildardo Ramirez
F
Gildardo Ramirez
F
13
J. Hinestroza
M
J. Hinestroza
M
9
J. Mejia
23'
F
J. Mejia
23'
F
99
J. Parra
G
J. Parra
G
3
A. Correa
75'
D
A. Correa
75'
D
30
D. Londoño
D
D. Londoño
D
2
J. Cardona
D
J. Cardona
D
22
J. Cuesta
D
J. Cuesta
D
20
A. Roa
1 ⚽
80'
M
A. Roa
1 ⚽
80'
M
15
J. Alvarado
45'
M
J. Alvarado
45'
M
23
A. Colorado
1 👟
M
A. Colorado
1 👟
M
7
M. Barrios
80'
F
M. Barrios
80'
F
17
D. Moreno
45'
F
D. Moreno
45'
F
29
E. Torres
F
E. Torres
F
Bench
21
H. Guzman
F
H. Guzman
F
16
J. Castaño
D
J. Castaño
D
33
J. Patiño
15'
D
J. Patiño
15'
D
42
J. Quiñónes
10'
M
J. Quiñónes
10'
M
25
Juan Gallego
G
Juan Gallego
G
5
Juan Pablo Nieto
45'
M
Juan Pablo Nieto
45'
M
28
M. Zuleta
10'
M
M. Zuleta
10'
M
9
Pipe Gómez
45'
F
Pipe Gómez
45'
F
19
T. García
M
T. García
M
Best on the pitch
A. Roa
M · Once
8.00
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 49 pass
D. López
F · Jaguares
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 4 pass
J. Malagón
D · Jaguares
7.30
· 47 pass
J. Franco
D · Jaguares
7.30
1 shots
· 26 pass
J. Alvarado
M · Once
7.30
1 shots
· 39 pass
C. Cantillo
M · Jaguares
7.20
1 👟
1 shots
· 7 pass
Jaguares — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Mosquera | G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Juan Pérez | D | 76 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 16% | — | 1 | — |
| C. Henao | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 33 | 29% | — | — | — |
| J. Malagón | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 47 | 43% | — | — | — |
| J. Franco | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Jáder Maza | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
| R. Bustamante | M | 68 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Colpa | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 33% | — | — | — |
| W. De La Rosa | M | 68 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Rentería | F | 67 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 15% | — | — | — |
| C. Álvarez | F | 67 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 33 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Cantillo | M | 22 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| D. López | F | 22 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| E. Beltrán | F | 23 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
| Edwin Martinez | D | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Mejia | F | 23 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Once Caldas — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Parra | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 41 | 31% | — | — | — |
| A. Correa | D | 75 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 37% | — | — | — |
| D. Londoño | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 49 | 46% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Cardona | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 22% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Cuesta | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 30% | — | — | — |
| A. Roa | M | 80 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 4 | 49 | 45% | — | — | — |
| J. Alvarado | M | 45 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 35% | 2 | 1 | — |
| A. Colorado | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 48 | 42% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Barrios | F | 80 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 19% | — | — | — |
| D. Moreno | F | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| E. Torres | F | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 20% | — | — | — |
| J. Patiño | D | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| J. Quiñónes | M | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Juan Pablo Nieto | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 32% | — | — | — |
| M. Zuleta | M | 10 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Pipe Gómez | F | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Jaguares vs Once Caldas?
The final score was Jaguares 1–1 Once Caldas.
What did the model predict before Jaguares vs Once Caldas?
The model assigned 25% probability to a Jaguares win, 26% to a draw, and 48% to an Once Caldas win.