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Jamaica - Honduras

CONCACAF Nations League September 29, 2026 02:00
vs
⚡ Pre-match analysis
69.29%
Win
Jamaica
18.03%
Draw
12.68%
Win
Honduras
2.5
Expected xG
0.94
Most likely outcome
Jamaica
69.29%
Probability

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–0 (10.1%)
1X2 Result
1 69%
X 18%
2 13%
Double Chance
1X 87%
X2 31%
12 82%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 84%
Over 2.5 61%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Jamaica a 69% win probability, against 18% for a draw and 12% for Honduras. Expected goals are 2.5 for Jamaica and 0.9 for Honduras (total 3.4), with a 84% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–0 at 10.1% probability.

Season Stats

Jamaica
1W 0D 0L
Honduras
0W 0D 1L
Averages per game
3.0
Goals
2.0
2.0
Conceded
3.0
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
100%
BTTS
100%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 1 matches in CONCACAF Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Score Matrix

↕ Jamaica Honduras →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.2% 3.0% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% —
1 8.0% 7.5% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3% —
2 10.1% 9.4% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.4% 7.9% 3.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 5.3% 4.9% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% —
5 2.6% 2.5% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% —

Recent form

W Guatemala 3–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 20%
L Suriname 2–3
Away clean sheet (120 days) 23%

Playing profile

Jamaica Jamaica
Attack
36
Defence
66
Form
60
Honduras Honduras
Attack
32
Defence
47
Form
39
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Jamaica vs Honduras?
The model gives Jamaica a 69% win probability, 18% for a draw, and 12% for an Honduras win.
How many goals are expected in Jamaica vs Honduras?
Expected goals: Jamaica 2.5, Honduras 0.9 (total 3.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 84%.
What is the most likely score in Jamaica vs Honduras?
2–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.1%.