Jamaica - Mexico
CONCACAF Nations League
November 09, 2026 22:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
34.8%
Win
Jamaica
44.34%
Draw
20.86%
Win
Mexico
0.63
0.41
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
0–0
(35.11%)
1X2 Result
✓ 83.3% hit rate (24 picks)
1
35%
X
44%
2
21%
Double Chance
✓ 95.8% hit rate (24 picks)
1X
79%
X2
65%
12
56%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
43%
Over 2.5
9%
✓ 71.4% hit rate (42 picks)
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Jamaica a 34% win probability, against 44% for a draw and 20% for Mexico. Expected goals are 0.6 for Jamaica and 0.4 for Mexico (total 1.0), with a 43% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–0 at 35.11% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Jamaica have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Mexico.
Score Matrix
↕ Jamaica
Mexico →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 35.6% | 14.5% | 3.0% | 0.4% | — | — |
| 1 | 22.2% | 9.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% | — | — |
| 2 | 6.9% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 3 | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — | — | — |
| 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Jamaica
Attack
29
Defence
66
Form
56
Mexico
Attack
27
Defence
69
Form
48
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
0
Draw
1
23 Jun 2024
0–1
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Jamaica vs Mexico?
The model gives Jamaica a 34% win probability, 44% for a draw, and 20% for an Mexico win.
How many goals are expected in Jamaica vs Mexico?
Expected goals: Jamaica 0.6, Mexico 0.4 (total 1.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 43%.
What is the most likely score in Jamaica vs Mexico?
0–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 35.11%.