World Cup
· Group Stage - 3
June 26, 2026 01:00
Daizen Maeda
(ast. Ritsu Doan)
56'
62'
(ast. Viktor Gyökeres)
Anthony Elanga
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Japan a 49% win probability (draw 27%, Sweden 23%). The final result was Japan 1–1 Sweden.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
11
3
Shots on target
5
4
Saves
2
52%
Possession
48%
2
Corners
8
13
Tackles
6
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
32'
Isak Hien
37'
Lucas Bergvall
/
Isak Hien
Ko Itakura
/ Shogo Taniguchi
39'
⚽Daizen Maeda
· ast. Ritsu Doan
56'
62'
ast. Viktor Gyökeres ·
Anthony Elanga⚽
Ayase Ueda
/ Koki Ogawa
66'
Ritsu Doan
/ Junya Ito
67'
75'
Daniel Svensson
/
Alexander Bernhardsson
75'
Ken Sema
/
Elliot Stroud
Keito Nakamura
/ Yuto Nagatomo
75'
Ayumu Seko
/ Tsuyoshi Watanabe
75'
Shogo Taniguchi
77'
85'
Viktor Gyökeres
87'
Carl Starfelt
/
Victor Lindelöf
88'
Benjamin Nygren
/
Gabriel Gudmundsson
Pre-match prediction
49.18%
Japan
27.5%
X ←
23.32%
Sweden
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
27.5%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.99
—
—
1.04
—
—
Lineups
1
Z. Suzuki
G
Z. Suzuki
G
21
H. Ito
D
H. Ito
D
4
K. Itakura
39'
D
K. Itakura
39'
D
20
A. Seko
75'
D
A. Seko
75'
D
13
Keito Nakamura
75'
F
Keito Nakamura
75'
F
7
A. Tanaka
M
A. Tanaka
M
15
D. Kamada
M
D. Kamada
M
2
Y. Sugawara
D
Y. Sugawara
D
11
D. Maeda
1 ⚽
F
D. Maeda
1 ⚽
F
18
A. Ueda
66'
F
A. Ueda
66'
F
10
R. Dōan
1 👟
67'
M
R. Dōan
1 👟
67'
M
Bench
14
J. Ito
23'
F
J. Ito
23'
F
25
J. Suzuki
D
J. Suzuki
D
9
K. Goto
F
K. Goto
F
19
Koki Ogawa
24'
F
Koki Ogawa
24'
F
12
K. Osako
G
K. Osako
G
24
K. Sano
M
K. Sano
M
26
K. Shiogai
F
K. Shiogai
F
6
S. Machino
F
S. Machino
F
3
S. Taniguchi
51'
D
S. Taniguchi
51'
D
23
T. Hayakawa
G
T. Hayakawa
G
22
T. Tomiyasu
D
T. Tomiyasu
D
16
T. Watanabe
15'
D
T. Watanabe
15'
D
5
Y. Nagatomo
15'
D
Y. Nagatomo
15'
D
17
Y. Suzuki
M
Y. Suzuki
M
1
J. Widell Zetterström
G
J. Widell Zetterström
G
3
V. Lindelöf
87'
D
V. Lindelöf
87'
D
4
I. Hien
37'
D
I. Hien
37'
D
2
G. Lagerbielke
D
G. Lagerbielke
D
5
G. Gudmundsson
88'
D
G. Gudmundsson
88'
D
18
Y. Ayari
M
Y. Ayari
M
24
E. Stroud
75'
D
E. Stroud
75'
D
21
A. Bernhardsson
75'
F
A. Bernhardsson
75'
F
11
A. Elanga
1 ⚽
F
A. Elanga
1 ⚽
F
9
A. Isak
F
A. Isak
F
17
V. Gyökeres
1 👟
F
V. Gyökeres
1 👟
F
Bench
10
B. Nygren
2'
F
B. Nygren
2'
F
22
B. Zeneli
M
B. Zeneli
M
15
C. Starfelt
3'
D
C. Starfelt
3'
D
8
D. Svensson
15'
D
D. Svensson
15'
D
20
E. Smith
D
E. Smith
D
25
G. Nilsson
F
G. Nilsson
F
14
H. Ekdal
D
H. Ekdal
D
6
H. Johansson
D
H. Johansson
D
16
J. Karlström
M
J. Karlström
M
23
K. Nordfeldt
G
K. Nordfeldt
G
13
K. Sema
15'
M
K. Sema
15'
M
7
L. Bergvall
53'
M
L. Bergvall
53'
M
19
M. Svanberg
M
M. Svanberg
M
26
T. Ali
F
T. Ali
F
12
V. Johansson
G
V. Johansson
G
Best on the pitch
A. Elanga
F · Sweden
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 25 pass
D. Maeda
F · Japan
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 11 pass
R. Dōan
M · Japan
7.30
1 👟
1 shots
· 28 pass
G. Gudmundsson
D · Sweden
7.13
· 46 pass
Z. Suzuki
G · Japan
7.09
· 25 pass
D. Kamada
M · Japan
7.06
· 77 pass
Japan — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Suzuki | G | 90 | 7.09 | — | — | 0 | 25 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| H. Ito | D | 90 | 7.05 | — | — | 0 | 38 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Itakura | D | 39 | 6.92 | — | — | 0 | 29 | 27% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Seko | D | 75 | 6.77 | — | — | 0 | 38 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Keito Nakamura | F | 75 | 6.64 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 24% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Tanaka | M | 90 | 6.89 | — | — | 1 | 76 | 68% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Kamada | M | 90 | 7.06 | — | — | 0 | 77 | 66% | 0 | — | — |
| Y. Sugawara | D | 90 | 6.68 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Maeda | F | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 11 | 11% | 4 | — | — |
| A. Ueda | F | 66 | 6.44 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Dōan | M | 67 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 28 | 24% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Ito | F | 23 | 6.53 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Koki Ogawa | F | 24 | 6.31 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Taniguchi | D | 51 | 6.17 | — | — | 0 | 31 | 29% | 0 | 1 | — |
| T. Watanabe | D | 15 | 6.57 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Nagatomo | D | 15 | 6.88 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
Sweden — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Widell Zetterström | G | 90 | 6.16 | — | — | 0 | 35 | 15% | 0 | — | — |
| V. Lindelöf | D | 87 | 6.81 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 43% | 0 | — | — |
| I. Hien | D | 37 | 6.96 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 22% | 0 | 1 | — |
| G. Lagerbielke | D | 90 | 6.71 | — | — | 2 | 55 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Gudmundsson | D | 88 | 7.13 | — | — | 0 | 46 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Ayari | M | 90 | 6.86 | — | — | 0 | 27 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Stroud | D | 75 | 6.62 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 20% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Bernhardsson | F | 75 | 6.27 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Elanga | F | 90 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 25 | 19% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Isak | F | 90 | 6.39 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| V. Gyökeres | F | 90 | 6.28 | — | 1 | 1 | 17 | 8% | 0 | 1 | — |
| B. Nygren | F | 2 | 6.63 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Starfelt | D | 3 | 6.48 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Svensson | D | 15 | 6.54 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Sema | M | 15 | 6.44 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Bergvall | M | 53 | 6.77 | — | — | 0 | 27 | 25% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Japan vs Sweden?
The final score was Japan 1–1 Sweden.
What did the model predict before Japan vs Sweden?
The model assigned 49% probability to a Japan win, 27% to a draw, and 23% to an Sweden win.