Japan - Venezuela
Friendlies Internazionali
September 28, 2026 12:25
⚡ Pre-match analysis
39.85%
Win
Japan
30.3%
Draw
29.85%
Win
Venezuela
1.88
0.96
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(11.35%)
1X2 Result
1
40%
X
30%
2
30%
Double Chance
1X
70%
X2
60%
12
70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
52%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Japan a 39% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Venezuela. Expected goals are 1.9 for Japan and 1.0 for Venezuela (total 2.8), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 11.35% probability.
Season Stats
3W
0D
0L
1W
0D
1L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
1.5
0.0
Conceded
1.0
5.3
Shots OT
2.0
4.7
Corners
2.0
47%
Poss.
48%
Percentages
0%
O 1.5
100%
0%
O 2.5
50%
0%
BTTS
50%
100%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ
Based on the last 3 matches in Friendlies Internazionali. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Japan
Venezuela →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.8% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | — |
| 1 | 10.9% | 10.6% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 10.3% | 9.9% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 6.4% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | — |
| 4 | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Japan
Attack
42
Defence
84
Form
75
Venezuela
Attack
36
Defence
67
Form
66
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Unavailable
Japan
Injured
Injured
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Japan vs Venezuela?
The model gives Japan a 39% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 29% for an Venezuela win.
How many goals are expected in Japan vs Venezuela?
Expected goals: Japan 1.9, Venezuela 1.0 (total 2.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Japan vs Venezuela?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.35%.