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Järfälla - Arlanda

Svenska Cupen June 23, 2026 19:30
vs
⚡ Pre-match analysis
24.04%
Win
Järfälla
19.82%
Draw
56.13%
Win
Arlanda
1.59
Expected xG
2.87
Most likely result 1–2 (7.6%)
2+ goals
77%
3+ goals
82%
Model prediction
Arlanda
56.13%
Probability
100.0%
1X2 accuracy · 1 predictions (3 months)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Arlanda a 56% win probability, against 19% for a draw and 24% for Järfälla. Expected goals are 1.6 for Järfälla and 2.9 for Arlanda (total 4.5), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–2 at 7.6% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Järfälla have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Arlanda.

Season Stats

Järfälla
3W 2D 7L
Arlanda
6W 5D 1L
Averages per game
1.4
Goals
1.8
2.1
Conceded
0.8
Percentages
83%
O 1.5
67%
67%
O 2.5
42%
58%
BTTS
58%
17%
Clean Sht
42%
Based on the last 12 matches across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
59%
O 1.5
59%
O 2.5
42%
O 3.5
42%
BTTS
Järfälla
2W 0D 4L · at home
Arlanda
4W 2D 0L · away
1.3
gls/g
2.2
2.2
Conceded
0.7
33%
Win %
67%
33%
Win or Draw
100%
67%
O 1.5
50%
67%
O 2.5
50%
50%
O 3.5
33%
33%
BTTS
50%
33%
Clean Sht
50%
33%
Failed to Score
33%
last 6
Home/away records across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.

Score Matrix

↕ Järfälla Arlanda →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.2% 3.3% 4.8% 4.6% 3.3% 1.9%
1 1.8% 5.3% 7.6% 7.3% 5.2% 3.0%
2 1.5% 4.2% 6.0% 5.8% 4.1% 2.4%
3 0.8% 2.2% 3.2% 3.0% 2.2% 1.3%
4 0.3% 0.9% 1.3% 1.2% 0.9% 0.5%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2%

Recent form

No data available
Home clean sheet (120 days) 30%
No data available
Away clean sheet (120 days) 33%

Playing profile

Järfälla Järfälla
Attack
44
Defence
40
Form
43
Arlanda Arlanda
Attack
36
Defence
74
Form
58
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Järfälla
0
Draw
1
Arlanda
13 Jun 2026 Ettan - Norra 2–3
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Järfälla vs Arlanda?
The model gives Järfälla a 24% win probability, 19% for a draw, and 56% for an Arlanda win.
How many goals are expected in Järfälla vs Arlanda?
Expected goals: Järfälla 1.6, Arlanda 2.9 (total 4.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Järfälla vs Arlanda?
1–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 7.6%.