Järfälla - Arlanda
Svenska Cupen
June 23, 2026 19:30
⚡ Pre-match analysis
24.04%
Win
Järfälla
19.82%
Draw
56.13%
Win
Arlanda
1.59
2.87
Expected xG
Most likely result
1–2
(7.6%)
2+ goals
77%
3+ goals
82%
Model prediction
Arlanda
56.13%
Probability
100.0%
1X2 accuracy · 1 predictions (3 months)
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Arlanda a 56% win probability, against 19% for a draw and 24% for Järfälla. Expected goals are 1.6 for Järfälla and 2.9 for Arlanda (total 4.5), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–2 at 7.6% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Järfälla have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Arlanda.
Season Stats
3W
2D
7L
6W
5D
1L
Averages per game
1.4
Goals
1.8
2.1
Conceded
0.8
Percentages
83%
O 1.5
67%
67%
O 2.5
42%
58%
BTTS
58%
17%
Clean Sht
42%
ℹ
Based on the last 12 matches across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
59%
O 1.5
59%
O 2.5
42%
O 3.5
42%
BTTS
2W
0D
4L
· at home
4W
2D
0L
· away
1.3
gls/g
2.2
2.2
Conceded
0.7
33%
Win %
67%
33%
Win or Draw
100%
67%
O 1.5
50%
67%
O 2.5
50%
50%
O 3.5
33%
33%
BTTS
50%
33%
Clean Sht
50%
33%
Failed to Score
33%
last 6
ℹ
Home/away records across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.
Score Matrix
↕ Järfälla
Arlanda →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.9% |
| 1 | 1.8% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 3.0% |
| 2 | 1.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.4% |
| 3 | 0.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
Recent form
Playing profile
Järfälla
Attack
44
Defence
40
Form
43
Arlanda
Attack
36
Defence
74
Form
58
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
0
Draw
1
13 Jun 2026
2–3
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Järfälla vs Arlanda?
The model gives Järfälla a 24% win probability, 19% for a draw, and 56% for an Arlanda win.
How many goals are expected in Järfälla vs Arlanda?
Expected goals: Järfälla 1.6, Arlanda 2.9 (total 4.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Järfälla vs Arlanda?
1–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 7.6%.