Järfälla - IF Karlstad
Ettan - Norra
August 08, 2026 16:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
16.51%
Win
Järfälla
16.19%
Draw
67.3%
Win
IF Karlstad
1.07
2.7
Expected xG
Most likely outcome
IF Karlstad
67.3%
Probability
62.5%
1X2 accuracy · 8 predictions (3 months)
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–2
(9.05%)
1X2 Result
1
17%
X
16%
2
67%
Double Chance
1X
33%
X2
84%
12
84%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
82%
Over 2.5
59%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives IF Karlstad a 67% win probability, against 16% for a draw and 16% for Järfälla. Expected goals are 1.1 for Järfälla and 2.7 for IF Karlstad (total 3.8), with a 82% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–2 at 9.05% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Järfälla have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for IF Karlstad.
Season Stats
4W
3D
8L
10W
3D
2L
Averages per game
1.4
Goals
1.6
2.1
Conceded
0.7
Percentages
87%
O 1.5
67%
67%
O 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
33%
13%
Clean Sht
53%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in Ettan - Norra. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
43%
O 3.5
29%
BTTS
2W
0D
5L
· at home
4W
2D
1L
· away
1.1
gls/g
1.4
2.4
Conceded
0.7
29%
Win %
57%
29%
Win or Draw
86%
71%
O 1.5
57%
71%
O 2.5
29%
57%
O 3.5
29%
29%
BTTS
29%
29%
Clean Sht
57%
43%
Failed to Score
29%
last 7
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Järfälla
IF Karlstad →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.3% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 2.8% |
| 1 | 2.5% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 3.0% |
| 2 | 1.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| 3 | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| 5 | — | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Järfälla
Attack
44
Defence
44
Form
39
IF Karlstad
Attack
46
Defence
80
Form
64
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
0
Draw
1
18 Apr 2026
1–2
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Hammarby Talang
|
15 | 35 |
| 2 |
IF Karlstad
|
15 | 33 |
| 3 |
Stockholm Internazionale
|
15 | 30 |
| 4 |
Arlanda
|
15 | 29 |
| 5 |
Enköping
|
15 | 25 |
| 6 |
FBK Karlstad
|
15 | 24 |
| 7 |
AFC Eskilstuna
|
15 | 22 |
| 8 |
Karlberg
|
15 | 21 |
| 9 |
Assyriska FF
|
15 | 17 |
| 10 |
Gefle IF
|
15 | 17 |
| 11 |
Umeå FC
|
15 | 16 |
| 12 |
Vasalund
|
15 | 16 |
| 13 |
Järfälla
|
15 | 15 |
| 14 |
Sollentuna
|
15 | 14 |
| 15 |
Piteå
|
15 | 9 |
| 16 |
Stocksund
|
15 | 8 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Järfälla vs IF Karlstad?
The model gives Järfälla a 16% win probability, 16% for a draw, and 67% for an IF Karlstad win.
How many goals are expected in Järfälla vs IF Karlstad?
Expected goals: Järfälla 1.1, IF Karlstad 2.7 (total 3.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 82%.
What is the most likely score in Järfälla vs IF Karlstad?
1–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.05%.