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← Ettan - Norra

Järfälla - Vasalund

Ettan - Norra November 08, 2026 15:00
Järfälla
#15 · 24 pts
vs
Vasalund
#13 · 31 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
66.03%
Win
Järfälla
15.2%
Draw
18.77%
Win
Vasalund
2.84
Expected xG
1.18
Most likely outcome
Järfälla
66.03%
Probability
59.6%
1X2 accuracy · 47 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (8.63%)
1X2 Result
1 66%
X 15%
2 19%
Double Chance
1X 81%
X2 34%
12 85%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 85%
Over 2.5 61%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Järfälla a 66% win probability, against 15% for a draw and 18% for Vasalund. Expected goals are 2.8 for Järfälla and 1.2 for Vasalund (total 4.0), with a 84% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.63% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Järfälla have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Vasalund.

Season Stats

Järfälla
2W 3D 10L
Vasalund
4W 4D 7L
Averages per game
1.3
Goals
1.4
2.3
Conceded
2.1
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
87%
73%
O 2.5
60%
67%
BTTS
67%
7%
Clean Sht
20%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Ettan - Norra. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
55%
O 3.5
65%
BTTS
Järfälla
1W 1D 8L · at home
Vasalund
2W 3D 5L · away
1.4
gls/g
1.4
3.0
Conceded
1.9
10%
Win %
20%
20%
Win or Draw
50%
100%
O 1.5
90%
90%
O 2.5
60%
70%
O 3.5
40%
60%
BTTS
70%
10%
Clean Sht
20%
30%
Failed to Score
10%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Järfälla Vasalund →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.8% 2.1% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% —
1 5.1% 6.0% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
2 7.3% 8.5% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 6.9% 8.1% 4.8% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
4 4.9% 5.7% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
5 2.8% 3.3% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%

Recent form

Järfälla Järfälla
D Enköping 1–1
D Hammarby Talang 2–2
W Arlanda 1–3
L Umeå FC 1–2
D Stocksund 1–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 19%
Vasalund Vasalund
W IF Karlstad 2–1
L Sollentuna 2–0
L AFC Eskilstuna 0–4
D Karlberg 3–3
L Arlanda 1–4
Away clean sheet (120 days) 22%

Playing profile

Järfälla Järfälla
Attack
46
Defence
57
Form
42
Vasalund Vasalund
Attack
25
Defence
43
Form
35
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Järfälla
0
Draw
1
Vasalund
3 Jun 2026 Ettan - Norra 1–3

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Stockholm Internazionale Stockholm Internazionale 29 64
2 Arlanda Arlanda 29 54
3 AFC Eskilstuna AFC Eskilstuna 29 53
4 Enköping Enköping 29 52
5 Hammarby Talang Hammarby Talang 29 49
6 FBK Karlstad FBK Karlstad 29 49
7 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad 29 44
8 Umeå FC Umeå FC 29 42
9 Gefle IF Gefle IF 29 38
10 Karlberg Karlberg 29 37
11 Assyriska FF Assyriska FF 29 35
12 Sollentuna Sollentuna 29 31
13 Vasalund Vasalund 29 31
14 Piteå Piteå 29 27
15 Järfälla Järfälla 29 24
16 Stocksund Stocksund 29 15
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Järfälla vs Vasalund?
The model gives Järfälla a 66% win probability, 15% for a draw, and 18% for an Vasalund win.
How many goals are expected in Järfälla vs Vasalund?
Expected goals: Järfälla 2.8, Vasalund 1.2 (total 4.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 84%.
What is the most likely score in Järfälla vs Vasalund?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.63%.