Johor Darul Takzim FC - Buriram United
AFC Champions League
September 15, 2026 14:15
⚡ Pre-match analysis
36.68%
Win
Johor Darul Takzim FC
32.2%
Draw
31.11%
Win
Buriram United
1.42
0.83
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(12.38%)
1X2 Result
1
37%
X
32%
2
31%
Double Chance
1X
69%
X2
63%
12
68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
77%
Over 2.5
57%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Johor Darul Takzim FC a 36% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 31% for Buriram United. Expected goals are 1.4 for Johor Darul Takzim FC and 0.8 for Buriram United (total 2.2), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.38% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Johor Darul Takzim FC have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Buriram United.
Season Stats
4W
2D
5L
4W
4D
3L
Averages per game
1.1
Goals
1.2
1.0
Conceded
1.1
3.0
Shots OT
3.0
5.0
Corners
6.0
53%
Poss.
53%
Percentages
64%
O 1.5
73%
45%
O 2.5
45%
45%
BTTS
45%
36%
Clean Sht
45%
ℹ
Based on the last 11 matches in AFC Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
20%
O 3.5
40%
BTTS
3W
2D
0L
· at home
1W
2D
2L
· away
1.4
gls/g
0.6
0.4
Conceded
1.2
60%
Win %
20%
100%
Win or Draw
60%
40%
O 1.5
60%
40%
O 2.5
40%
40%
O 3.5
0%
40%
BTTS
40%
60%
Clean Sht
40%
40%
Failed to Score
40%
last 5
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Johor Darul Takzim FC
Buriram United →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.6% | 8.8% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | — |
| 1 | 15.0% | 12.4% | 5.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | — |
| 2 | 10.6% | 8.8% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | — |
| 3 | 5.0% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — |
| 4 | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Johor Darul Takzim FC
Attack
28
Defence
53
Form
40
Buriram United
Attack
26
Defence
50
Form
38
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
0
Draw
1
16 Sep 2025
1–2
East Region
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Kashima
|
0 | 0 |
| 2 |
Vissel Kobe
|
0 | 0 |
| 3 |
Kashiwa Reysol
|
0 | 0 |
| 4 |
Kyoto Sanga
|
0 | 0 |
| 5 |
Jeonbuk Motors
|
0 | 0 |
| 6 |
Daejeon Citizen
|
0 | 0 |
| 7 |
Pohang Steelers
|
0 | 0 |
| 8 |
Buriram United
|
0 | 0 |
| 9 |
Port FC
|
0 | 0 |
| 10 |
Ratchaburi
|
0 | 0 |
| 11 |
SHANGHAI SIPG
|
0 | 0 |
| 12 |
Beijing Guoan
|
0 | 0 |
| 13 |
Newcastle Jets
|
0 | 0 |
| 14 |
Johor Darul Takzim FC
|
0 | 0 |
| 15 |
Gamba Osaka
|
0 | 0 |
| 16 |
Công An Nhân Dân
|
0 | 0 |
What's at stake · East Region
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #14 | #8 |
| → Johor Darul Takzim FC | #1 | #9 |
| → Draw | #2 | #1 |
| → Buriram United | #14 | #1 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Johor Darul Takzim FC vs Buriram United?
The model gives Johor Darul Takzim FC a 36% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 31% for an Buriram United win.
How many goals are expected in Johor Darul Takzim FC vs Buriram United?
Expected goals: Johor Darul Takzim FC 1.4, Buriram United 0.8 (total 2.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Johor Darul Takzim FC vs Buriram United?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.38%.