Brasileirão Série D
· Regular Season - 9
May 30, 2026 21:00
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Joinville a 51% win probability (draw 28%, Guarany de Bagé 19%). The final result was Joinville 2–0 Guarany de Bagé. In 1 previous meetings, Joinville have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Guarany de Bagé.
Match statistics
Pre-match prediction
51.69%
Joinville ←
28.4%
X
19.91%
Guarany
we assigned to the actual result (Joinville)
51.69%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.48
—
—
0.32
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Joinville vs Guarany de Bagé?
The final score was Joinville 2–0 Guarany de Bagé.
What did the model predict before Joinville vs Guarany de Bagé?
The model assigned 51% probability to a Joinville win, 28% to a draw, and 19% to an Guarany de Bagé win.