Brasileirão Série D
· Regular Season - 4
April 25, 2026 23:00
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Joinville a 37% win probability (draw 31%, Santa Catarina 30%). The final result was Joinville 2–1 Santa Catarina.
Match statistics
Pre-match prediction
37.73%
Joinville ←
31.72%
X
30.54%
Santa
we assigned to the actual result (Joinville)
37.73%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Joinville
1.75
—
—
Santa
0.93
—
—
League Table
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Joinville vs Santa Catarina?
The final score was Joinville 2–1 Santa Catarina.
What did the model predict before Joinville vs Santa Catarina?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Joinville win, 31% to a draw, and 30% to an Santa Catarina win.