World Cup
· Group Stage - 3
June 28, 2026 04:00
✓Model correct — prediction Argentina
M. Tamari
(ast. E. Haddad)
55'
19'
G. Lo Celso
(pen.)
31'
L. Martinez
80'
L. Messi
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Argentina a 67% win probability (draw 18%, Jordan 13%). The final result was Jordan 1–3 Argentina.
Match statistics
3
Total shots
11
1
Shots on target
4
0.74
Actual xG
2.14
1
Saves
0
27%
Possession
73%
1
Corners
6
16
Tackles
10
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
M. Abu Taha
17'
19'
G. Lo Celso⚽
31'
(pen.)
L. Martinez⚽
O. Al Fakhouri
/ M. Al Mardi
46'
A. Azaizeh
/ M. Tamari
46'
⚽M. Tamari
· ast. E. Haddad
55'
60'
T. Almada
/
G. Lo Celso
60'
L. Messi
/
L. Martinez
61'
A. Mac Allister
/
N. Paz
Y. Al Arab
64'
71'
V. Barco
/
G. Simeone
N. Al Rashdan
/ A. Jamous
76'
80'
L. Messi⚽
82'
J. Lopez
/
J. Alvarez
Shararh
90'+5
H. Abu Dahab
/ S. Obaid
90'
A. Olwan
/ Shararh
90'
Pre-match prediction
13.78%
Jordan
18.51%
X
67.71%
Argentina ←
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Argentina)
67.71%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.71
0.74
+0.03
2.74
2.14
-0.6
Argentina dominated by xG (2.14 vs 0.74).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Yazid Abu Layla
G
Yazid Abu Layla
G
4
Husam Ali Mohammad Abudahab
D
Husam Ali Mohammad Abudahab
D
5
Yazan Al Arab
D
Yazan Al Arab
D
3
Abdallah Naseeb
D
Abdallah Naseeb
D
20
Mohannad Abu Taha
M
Mohannad Abu Taha
M
8
Noor Al Rawabdeh
M
Noor Al Rawabdeh
M
21
Nizar Al Rashdan
76'
M
23
Ehsan Haddad
1 👟
M
Ehsan Haddad
1 👟
M
9
Ali Olwan
F
Ali Olwan
F
24
Ali Al Azaizeh
45'
F
11
Odeh Al Fakhouri
45'
F
Odeh Al Fakhouri
45'
F
Bench
26
A. Badawi
D
A. Badawi
D
22
Abdallah Al Fakhouri
G
Abdallah Al Fakhouri
G
6
Amer Jamous
16'
M
15
Ibrahim Sadeh
M
16
M. Abualnadi
D
M. Abualnadi
D
18
M. Abu Ghoush
D
M. Abu Ghoush
D
13
Mahmoud Al Mardi
47'
F
Mahmoud Al Mardi
47'
F
25
Mohammad Al Daoud
M
Mohammad Al Daoud
M
2
Mohammad Ali Hasheesh
D
Mohammad Ali Hasheesh
D
7
Mohammed Abu Zurayq
2'
F
10
Mousa Tamari
1 ⚽
47'
F
Mousa Tamari
1 ⚽
47'
F
12
Noureddin Bani Attiah
G
Noureddin Bani Attiah
G
14
Rajaei Ayed
M
Rajaei Ayed
M
19
Saad Al Rousan
D
17
Saleem Obaid
2'
D
Saleem Obaid
2'
D
23
E. Martínez
G
E. Martínez
G
3
N. Tagliafico
D
N. Tagliafico
D
2
M. Senesi
D
M. Senesi
D
19
N. Otamendi
D
N. Otamendi
D
14
E. Palacios
D
E. Palacios
D
11
G. Lo Celso
1 ⚽
60'
M
G. Lo Celso
1 ⚽
60'
M
5
L. Paredes
M
L. Paredes
M
18
N. Paz
61'
M
N. Paz
61'
M
17
G. Simeone
71'
M
G. Simeone
71'
M
9
J. Álvarez
82'
F
J. Álvarez
82'
F
22
Lautaro Martínez
1 ⚽
60'
F
Lautaro Martínez
1 ⚽
60'
F
Bench
20
A. Mac Allister
31'
M
A. Mac Allister
31'
M
13
C. Romero
D
C. Romero
D
24
E. Fernández
M
E. Fernández
M
25
F. Medina
D
F. Medina
D
4
G. Montiel
D
G. Montiel
D
12
G. Rulli
G
G. Rulli
G
21
J. López
10'
F
J. López
10'
F
1
J. Musso
G
J. Musso
G
6
Lisandro Martínez
D
Lisandro Martínez
D
10
L. Messi
1 ⚽
32'
F
L. Messi
1 ⚽
32'
F
15
N. González
F
N. González
F
26
N. Molina
D
N. Molina
D
7
R. De Paul
M
R. De Paul
M
16
T. Almada
32'
M
T. Almada
32'
M
8
V. Barco
21'
M
V. Barco
21'
M
Best on the pitch
L. Messi
F · Argentina
8.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 18 pass
G. Lo Celso
M · Argentina
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 46 pass
Mousa Tamari
F · Jordan
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 12 pass
L. Paredes
M · Argentina
7.00
· 162 pass
N. Otamendi
D · Argentina
6.90
1 shots
· 94 pass
Ali Al Azaizeh
F · Jordan
6.90
1 shots
· 7 pass
Jordan — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yazid Abu Layla | G | 92 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Husam Ali Mohammad Abudahab | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 22% | 4 | — | — |
| Yazan Al Arab | D | 92 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 38% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Abdallah Naseeb | D | 92 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 33 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| Mohannad Abu Taha | M | 92 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 20 | 9% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Noor Al Rawabdeh | M | 92 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 40 | 28% | 4 | — | — |
| Nizar Al Rashdan | M | 76 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Ehsan Haddad | M | 92 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 24 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Ali Olwan | F | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Ali Al Azaizeh | F | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| Odeh Al Fakhouri | F | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Amer Jamous | M | 16 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Mahmoud Al Mardi | F | 47 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Abu Zurayq | F | 2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Mousa Tamari | F | 47 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Saleem Obaid | D | 2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Argentina — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Martínez | G | 92 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 15% | — | — | — |
| N. Tagliafico | D | 92 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 53 | 47% | — | — | — |
| M. Senesi | D | 92 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 71 | 67% | — | — | — |
| N. Otamendi | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 94 | 90% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Palacios | D | 92 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 85 | 81% | 3 | — | — |
| G. Lo Celso | M | 60 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 46 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Paredes | M | 92 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 162 | 151% | — | — | — |
| N. Paz | M | 61 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 50% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Simeone | M | 71 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 38 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Álvarez | F | 82 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Lautaro Martínez | F | 60 | 6.50 | 1 | — | 3 | 23 | 18% | — | — | — |
| A. Mac Allister | M | 31 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 39 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| J. López | F | 10 | 6.50 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — |
| L. Messi | F | 32 | 8.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| T. Almada | M | 32 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 30% | — | — | — |
| V. Barco | M | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Jordan vs Argentina?
The final score was Jordan 1–3 Argentina.
What did the model predict before Jordan vs Argentina?
The model assigned 13% probability to a Jordan win, 18% to a draw, and 67% to an Argentina win.