JOS Watergraafsmeer - NAC Breda
KNVB Beker
October 27, 2026 17:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
34.52%
Win
JOS Watergraafsmeer
31.0%
Draw
34.48%
Win
NAC Breda
4.5
4.5
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
2–1
(7.75%)
1X2 Result
1
35%
X
31%
2
34%
Double Chance
1X
66%
X2
66%
12
69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
78%
Over 2.5
56%
✓ 77.3% hit rate (22 picks)
The ForzaPitch prediction gives JOS Watergraafsmeer a 34% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 34% for NAC Breda. Expected goals are 4.5 for JOS Watergraafsmeer and 4.5 for NAC Breda (total 9.0), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 7.75% probability.
Season Stats
1W
1D
0L
0W
0D
1L
Averages per game
4.0
Goals
1.0
3.0
Conceded
4.0
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
100%
BTTS
100%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 2 matches in KNVB Beker. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ JOS Watergraafsmeer
NAC Breda →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% |
Recent form
Playing profile
JOS Watergraafsmeer
Attack
100
Defence
23
Form
57
NAC Breda
Attack
55
Defence
47
Form
56
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win JOS Watergraafsmeer vs NAC Breda?
The model gives JOS Watergraafsmeer a 34% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 34% for an NAC Breda win.
How many goals are expected in JOS Watergraafsmeer vs NAC Breda?
Expected goals: JOS Watergraafsmeer 4.5, NAC Breda 4.5 (total 9.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in JOS Watergraafsmeer vs NAC Breda?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 7.75%.