Liga 1
· Clausura - 12
October 17, 2026 22:00
✓Model correct — prediction Juan Pablo II College
Erinson Ramirez
45'+2
Álvaro Rojas
90'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Juan Pablo II College a 67% win probability (draw 15%, Sport Boys 16%). The final result was Juan Pablo II College 2–0 Sport Boys. In 1 previous meetings, Juan Pablo II College have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Sport Boys.
Match statistics
17
Total shots
17
8
Shots on target
2
1.45
Actual xG
0.63
2
Saves
6
44%
Possession
56%
5
Corners
5
11
Tackles
14
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
Nilton Ramirez
27'
28'
Percy Liza
⚽Erinson Ramirez
45'+2
45'+3
Mathias Llontop
45'+3
Jostin Alarcon
45'
Gustavo Dulanto
53'
Rolando Diaz
/
Percy Liza
Nilton Ramirez
/ Jack·Duran
60'
65'
Miguel Trauco
/
Luis Urruti
Janio Pósito
66'
Janio Pósito
/ Mateo Rodríguez
71'
Erinson Ramirez
/ Héctor Bazán
72'
Juan Pablo Goicochea
/ Christian Flores
82'
83'
Federico Illanes
/
Jostin Alarcon
⚽Álvaro Rojas
90'
Pre-match prediction
67.85%
Juan ←
15.5%
X
16.64%
Sport
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Juan Pablo II College)
67.85%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.11
1.45
-1.66
1.32
0.63
-0.69
Juan Pablo II College dominated by xG (1.45 vs 0.63).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
23
M. Vega
G
M. Vega
G
19
P. Reyna
D
P. Reyna
D
60
P. Míguez
D
P. Míguez
D
31
J. Toledo
D
J. Toledo
D
2
H. Ancajima
D
H. Ancajima
D
37
Á. Rojas
1 ⚽
M
Á. Rojas
1 ⚽
M
3
A. Sánchez
M
A. Sánchez
M
15
N. Ramírez
60'
M
N. Ramírez
60'
M
79
J. Goicochea
82'
F
J. Goicochea
82'
F
89
J. Pósito
71'
F
J. Pósito
71'
F
18
E. Ramírez
1 ⚽
72'
F
E. Ramírez
1 ⚽
72'
F
Bench
7
A. Hendricks
F
A. Hendricks
F
8
C. Flores
8'
M
C. Flores
8'
M
71
C. Villanueva
M
C. Villanueva
M
80
Eren Melih Doğan
M
Eren Melih Doğan
M
20
H. Bazán
18'
M
H. Bazán
18'
M
12
I. Quispe
G
I. Quispe
G
14
J. Carhuallanqui
M
J. Carhuallanqui
M
28
J. Durán
30'
M
J. Durán
30'
M
97
M. RodrÃguez
19'
F
M. RodrÃguez
19'
F
22
D. Melián
G
D. Melián
G
13
M. Llontop
D
M. Llontop
D
55
G. Dulanto
D
G. Dulanto
D
3
C. Zambrano
D
C. Zambrano
D
17
E. Saba
D
E. Saba
D
10
J. Alarcón
83'
M
J. Alarcón
83'
M
24
O. Mora
M
O. Mora
M
11
L. Urruti
65'
M
L. Urruti
65'
M
77
Y. Celi
M
Y. Celi
M
30
P. Liza
53'
M
P. Liza
53'
M
32
P. Erustes
F
P. Erustes
F
Bench
5
F. Illanes
7'
M
F. Illanes
7'
M
61
J. Nolasco
G
J. Nolasco
G
47
M. Trauco
25'
D
M. Trauco
25'
D
36
Nicolas Paz
M
Nicolas Paz
M
29
N. Loyola
D
N. Loyola
D
4
R. Alfani
D
R. Alfani
D
14
R. Díaz
37'
F
R. Díaz
37'
F
Best on the pitch
Á. Rojas
M · Juan
8.20
1 ⚽
5 shots
· 21 pass
E. Ramírez
F · Juan
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 18 pass
H. Ancajima
D · Juan
7.58
· 39 pass
P. Reyna
D · Juan
7.54
· 36 pass
P. Míguez
D · Juan
7.32
2 shots
· 31 pass
D. Melián
G · Sport
7.17
· 21 pass
Juan Pablo II College — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Vega | G | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 0 | 22 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
| P. Reyna | D | 90 | 7.54 | — | — | 0 | 36 | 30% | 4 | — | — |
| P. Míguez | D | 90 | 7.32 | — | — | 2 | 31 | 30% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Toledo | D | 90 | 7.16 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Ancajima | D | 90 | 7.58 | — | — | 0 | 39 | 34% | 0 | — | — |
| Á. Rojas | M | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 5 | 21 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Sánchez | M | 90 | 6.59 | — | — | 3 | 35 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Ramírez | M | 60 | 6.58 | — | — | 0 | 25 | 21% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Goicochea | F | 82 | 6.36 | — | — | 0 | 16 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Pósito | F | 71 | 6.46 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 13% | 0 | 1 | — |
| E. Ramírez | F | 72 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 18 | 15% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Flores | M | 8 | 6.88 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| H. Bazán | M | 18 | 7.01 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Durán | M | 30 | 6.89 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| M. RodrÃguez | F | 19 | 6.80 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 2% | 2 | — | — |
Sport Boys — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Melián | G | 90 | 7.17 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 15% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Llontop | D | 90 | 5.64 | — | — | 0 | 22 | 16% | 0 | 1 | — |
| G. Dulanto | D | 90 | 6.22 | — | — | 0 | 50 | 40% | 1 | 1 | — |
| C. Zambrano | D | 90 | 6.59 | — | — | 0 | 48 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Saba | D | 90 | 6.69 | — | — | 0 | 46 | 40% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Alarcón | M | 83 | 6.39 | — | — | 3 | 34 | 28% | 1 | 1 | — |
| O. Mora | M | 90 | 5.95 | — | — | 2 | 58 | 48% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Urruti | M | 65 | 6.35 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 12% | 4 | — | — |
| Y. Celi | M | 90 | 6.97 | — | — | 4 | 40 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Liza | M | 53 | 5.89 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 2% | 0 | 1 | — |
| P. Erustes | F | 90 | 6.34 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 20% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Illanes | M | 7 | 6.07 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Trauco | D | 25 | 6.16 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Díaz | F | 37 | 6.55 | — | — | 4 | 19 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Juan Pablo II College vs Sport Boys?
The final score was Juan Pablo II College 2–0 Sport Boys.
What did the model predict before Juan Pablo II College vs Sport Boys?
The model assigned 67% probability to a Juan Pablo II College win, 15% to a draw, and 16% to an Sport Boys win.