Liga BetPlay
· Apertura - Final
June 03, 2026 02:30
Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez, Barranquilla
B. Castrillon
7'
L. Muriel
(ast. J. Guerrero)
36'
L. Muriel
53'
(pen.)
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Junior a 51% win probability (draw 23%, Atletico Nacional 24%). The final result was Junior 3–0 Atletico Nacional. In 3 previous meetings, Junior have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 3 wins for Atletico Nacional.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
8
8
Shots on target
3
1.76
Actual xG
0.57
3
Saves
5
42%
Possession
58%
6
Corners
3
15
Tackles
15
3
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
⚽B. Castrillon
7'
D. Rivera
16'
28'
J. Rengifo
⚽L. Muriel
· ast. J. Guerrero
36'
45'+6
A. Roman
⚽L. Muriel
(pen.)
53'
59'
C. Arango
/
J. Zapata
59'
A. Sarmiento
/
N. Rodriguez
J. Guerrero
62'
69'
A. Morelos
M. Silveira
70'
C. Barrios
/ J. Canchimbo
77'
J. Sarmiento
/ J. Rivas
77'
77'
M. Moreno
/
E. Bello
L. Muriel
/ G. Paiva
78'
83'
C. Arango
85'
N. Parra
/
S. Velasquez
85'
E. Cardona
/
J. Rengifo
J. Guerrero
/ E. Herrera
86'
B. Castrillon
/ T. Gutierrez
86'
90'+6
E. Cardona
Pre-match prediction
51.75%
Junior ←
23.51%
X
24.74%
Atletico
we assigned to the actual result (Junior)
51.75%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.70
1.76
+0.06
1.02
0.57
-0.45
Junior dominated by xG (1.76 vs 0.57).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
Mauro Silveira
G
Mauro Silveira
G
26
Yeison Suárez
D
Yeison Suárez
D
5
Daniel Rivera
D
Daniel Rivera
D
98
Jermein Peña
D
Jermein Peña
D
34
Jhonier Guerrero
1 👟
86'
D
Jhonier Guerrero
1 👟
86'
D
14
Juan David Ríos
M
Juan David Ríos
M
80
Fabián Ángel
M
Fabián Ángel
M
88
Bryan Castrillón
1 ⚽
86'
M
Bryan Castrillón
1 ⚽
86'
M
20
J. Sarmiento
77'
M
J. Sarmiento
77'
M
77
Cristian Barrios
77'
M
Cristian Barrios
77'
M
10
Luis Muriel
2 ⚽
78'
F
Luis Muriel
2 ⚽
78'
F
Bench
38
Andrés Schmalbach
M
Andrés Schmalbach
M
19
Daniel Socarras
D
Daniel Socarras
D
3
E. Herrera
10'
D
E. Herrera
10'
D
9
Guillermo Paiva
18'
F
Guillermo Paiva
18'
F
30
Jefersson Martínez
G
Jefersson Martínez
G
22
Jesús Rivas
19'
M
Jesús Rivas
19'
M
21
Joel Canchimbo
19'
F
Joel Canchimbo
19'
F
33
L. Monzón
D
L. Monzón
D
29
T. Gutiérrez
10'
F
T. Gutiérrez
10'
F
15
H. Castillo
G
H. Castillo
G
33
Samuel Velásquez
85'
D
Samuel Velásquez
85'
D
16
William Tesillo
D
William Tesillo
D
4
César Haydar
D
César Haydar
D
6
Andrés Román
D
Andrés Román
D
80
Juan Zapata
59'
M
Juan Zapata
59'
M
21
Jorman Campuzano
M
Jorman Campuzano
M
13
Nicolás Rodríguez
59'
M
Nicolás Rodríguez
59'
M
19
Juan Manuel Rengifo
85'
M
Juan Manuel Rengifo
85'
M
18
E. Bello
77'
M
E. Bello
77'
M
9
Alfredo Morelos
F
Alfredo Morelos
F
Bench
29
Andrés Sarmiento
37'
F
Andrés Sarmiento
37'
F
17
C. Arango
37'
F
C. Arango
37'
F
10
Edwin Cardona
11'
M
Edwin Cardona
11'
M
26
Elkin Rivero
M
Elkin Rivero
M
44
Kevin Cataño
G
Kevin Cataño
G
8
Matheus Uribe
M
Matheus Uribe
M
7
M. Moreno
19'
F
M. Moreno
19'
F
3
Neider Parra
11'
D
Neider Parra
11'
D
31
Xavi Rios
M
Xavi Rios
M
Best on the pitch
Luis Muriel
F · Junior
8.20
2 ⚽
8 shots
· 12 pass
Jhonier Guerrero
D · Junior
7.70
1 👟
· 22 pass
Cristian Barrios
M · Junior
7.60
1 shots
· 27 pass
César Haydar
D · Atletico
7.50
· 60 pass
Fabián Ángel
M · Junior
7.30
· 19 pass
Bryan Castrillón
M · Junior
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 26 pass
Junior — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mauro Silveira | G | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| Yeison Suárez | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Daniel Rivera | D | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jermein Peña | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Jhonier Guerrero | D | 86 | 7.70 | — | 1 | — | 22 | 16% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Juan David Ríos | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Fabián Ángel | M | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | 6 | — | — |
| Bryan Castrillón | M | 86 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 26 | 20% | — | — | — |
| J. Sarmiento | M | 77 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 32 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Cristian Barrios | M | 77 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Luis Muriel | F | 78 | 8.20 | 2 | — | 8 | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| E. Herrera | D | 10 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
| Guillermo Paiva | F | 18 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Jesús Rivas | M | 19 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Joel Canchimbo | F | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Gutiérrez | F | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
Atletico Nacional — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Castillo | G | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Samuel Velásquez | D | 85 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| William Tesillo | D | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 65 | 55% | 1 | — | — |
| César Haydar | D | 96 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 60 | 52% | 3 | — | — |
| Andrés Román | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 17% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Juan Zapata | M | 59 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| Jorman Campuzano | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 44 | 39% | 3 | — | — |
| Nicolás Rodríguez | M | 59 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Juan Manuel Rengifo | M | 85 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 25% | 2 | 1 | — |
| E. Bello | M | 77 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Alfredo Morelos | F | 96 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 26% | — | 1 | — |
| Andrés Sarmiento | F | 37 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| C. Arango | F | 37 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 4 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
| Edwin Cardona | M | 11 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| M. Moreno | F | 19 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Neider Parra | D | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Junior vs Atletico Nacional?
The final score was Junior 3–0 Atletico Nacional.
What did the model predict before Junior vs Atletico Nacional?
The model assigned 51% probability to a Junior win, 23% to a draw, and 24% to an Atletico Nacional win.