Liga BetPlay
· Apertura - Final
June 03, 2026 02:30
Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez, Barranquilla
B. Castrillon
7'
L. Muriel
(ast. J. Guerrero)
36'
L. Muriel
53'
(pen.)
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Junior a 51% win probability (draw 23%, Atletico Nacional 24%). The final result was Junior 3–0 Atletico Nacional. In 2 previous meetings, Junior have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Atletico Nacional.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
8
8
Shots on target
3
1.76
Actual xG
0.57
3
Saves
5
42%
Possession
58%
6
Corners
3
15
Tackles
15
3
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
⚽B. Castrillon
7'
D. Rivera
16'
28'
J. Rengifo
⚽L. Muriel
· ast. J. Guerrero
36'
45'+6
A. Roman
⚽L. Muriel
(pen.)
53'
59'
C. Arango
/
J. Zapata
59'
A. Sarmiento
/
N. Rodriguez
J. Guerrero
62'
69'
A. Morelos
M. Silveira
70'
C. Barrios
/ J. Canchimbo
77'
J. Sarmiento
/ J. Rivas
77'
77'
M. Moreno
/
E. Bello
L. Muriel
/ G. Paiva
78'
83'
C. Arango
85'
N. Parra
/
S. Velasquez
85'
E. Cardona
/
J. Rengifo
J. Guerrero
/ E. Herrera
86'
B. Castrillon
/ T. Gutierrez
86'
90'+6
E. Cardona
Pre-match prediction
51.75%
Junior ←
23.51%
X
24.74%
Atletico
we assigned to the actual result (Junior)
51.75%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.70
1.76
+0.06
1.02
0.57
-0.45
Junior dominated by xG (1.76 vs 0.57).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
M. Silveira
G
M. Silveira
G
26
Y. Súarez
D
Y. Súarez
D
5
D. Rivera
D
D. Rivera
D
98
Jermein Peña
D
Jermein Peña
D
34
Jhonier Guerrero
1 👟
86'
D
Jhonier Guerrero
1 👟
86'
D
14
J. Ríos
M
J. Ríos
M
80
F. Ángel
M
F. Ángel
M
88
B. Castrillón
1 ⚽
86'
M
B. Castrillón
1 ⚽
86'
M
20
J. Sarmiento
77'
M
J. Sarmiento
77'
M
77
C. Barrios
77'
M
C. Barrios
77'
M
10
L. Muriel
2 ⚽
78'
F
L. Muriel
2 ⚽
78'
F
Bench
38
Andrés Schmalbach
M
Andrés Schmalbach
M
19
Daniel Socarras
D
Daniel Socarras
D
3
E. Herrera
10'
D
E. Herrera
10'
D
9
G. Paiva
18'
F
G. Paiva
18'
F
22
Jesús Rivas
19'
M
Jesús Rivas
19'
M
30
J. Martínez
G
J. Martínez
G
21
Joel Canchimbo
19'
F
Joel Canchimbo
19'
F
33
L. Monzón
D
L. Monzón
D
29
T. Gutiérrez
10'
F
T. Gutiérrez
10'
F
15
Harlen Castillo
G
Harlen Castillo
G
33
Samuel Velásquez
85'
D
Samuel Velásquez
85'
D
16
William Tesillo
D
William Tesillo
D
4
César Haydar
D
César Haydar
D
6
A. Román
D
A. Román
D
80
Juan Zapata
59'
M
Juan Zapata
59'
M
21
J. Campuzano
M
J. Campuzano
M
13
Nicolás Rodríguez
59'
M
Nicolás Rodríguez
59'
M
19
J. Rengifo
85'
M
J. Rengifo
85'
M
18
E. Bello
77'
M
E. Bello
77'
M
9
A. Morelos
F
A. Morelos
F
Bench
29
A. Sarmiento
37'
F
A. Sarmiento
37'
F
17
Cristian Arango
37'
F
Cristian Arango
37'
F
10
E. Cardona
11'
M
E. Cardona
11'
M
26
Elkin Rivero
M
Elkin Rivero
M
44
Kevin Cataño
G
Kevin Cataño
G
8
Matheus Uribe
M
Matheus Uribe
M
7
M. Moreno
19'
F
M. Moreno
19'
F
3
Neider Parra
11'
D
Neider Parra
11'
D
31
Xavi Rios
M
Xavi Rios
M
Best on the pitch
L. Muriel
F · Junior
8.20
2 ⚽
8 shots
· 12 pass
Jhonier Guerrero
D · Junior
7.70
1 👟
· 22 pass
C. Barrios
M · Junior
7.60
1 shots
· 27 pass
César Haydar
D · Atletico
7.50
· 60 pass
F. Ángel
M · Junior
7.30
· 19 pass
B. Castrillón
M · Junior
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 26 pass
Junior — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Silveira | G | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| Y. Súarez | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Rivera | D | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jermein Peña | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Jhonier Guerrero | D | 86 | 7.70 | — | 1 | — | 22 | 16% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Ríos | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Ángel | M | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | 6 | — | — |
| B. Castrillón | M | 86 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 26 | 20% | — | — | — |
| J. Sarmiento | M | 77 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 32 | 27% | — | — | — |
| C. Barrios | M | 77 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Muriel | F | 78 | 8.20 | 2 | — | 8 | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| E. Herrera | D | 10 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Paiva | F | 18 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Jesús Rivas | M | 19 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Joel Canchimbo | F | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Gutiérrez | F | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
Atletico Nacional — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harlen Castillo | G | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Samuel Velásquez | D | 85 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| William Tesillo | D | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 65 | 55% | 1 | — | — |
| César Haydar | D | 96 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 60 | 52% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Román | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 17% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Juan Zapata | M | 59 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Campuzano | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 44 | 39% | 3 | — | — |
| Nicolás Rodríguez | M | 59 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Rengifo | M | 85 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 25% | 2 | 1 | — |
| E. Bello | M | 77 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 14% | — | — | — |
| A. Morelos | F | 96 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 26% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Sarmiento | F | 37 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Cristian Arango | F | 37 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 4 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
| E. Cardona | M | 11 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| M. Moreno | F | 19 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Neider Parra | D | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Junior vs Atletico Nacional?
The final score was Junior 3–0 Atletico Nacional.
What did the model predict before Junior vs Atletico Nacional?
The model assigned 51% probability to a Junior win, 23% to a draw, and 24% to an Atletico Nacional win.