Liga BetPlay
· Apertura - 15
April 04, 2026 03:30
Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez, Barranquilla
L. Muriel
88'
(pen.)
31'
(ast. A. Correa)
Titi
72'
(ast. J. Dinenno)
Titi
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Junior a 42% win probability (draw 31%, Deportivo Cali 26%). The final result was Junior 1–2 Deportivo Cali.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
12
2
Shots on target
4
1.25
Actual xG
1.70
2
Saves
2
70%
Possession
30%
11
Corners
4
6
Tackles
17
2
🟨 Yellow cards
6
Match Events
Juan David Ríos
6'
12'
Felipe Aguilar
Jermein Peña
16'
20'
23'
Ronaldo Pájaro
25'
Julián Quiñones
31'
ast. A. Correa ·
Titi⚽
B. Castrillon
/ K. Perez
46'
C. Barrios
/ G. Paiva
46'
J. Pena
/ D. Rivera
46'
46'
A. Colorado
/
R. Pajaro
T. Gutierrez
/ L. Muriel
54'
57'
Alejandro Rodríguez
59'
Matias Orozco
J. Sarmiento
/ J. Canchimbo
66'
69'
E. Reynoso
/
A. Hurtado
69'
D. Giraldo
/
M. Orozco
72'
ast. J. Dinenno ·
Titi⚽
81'
J. Tello
/
A. Correa
82'
Juan José Tello
⚽L. Muriel
(pen.)
88'
90'+2
Luis Orejuela
/
J. Dinenno
Pre-match prediction
42.59%
Junior
31.25%
X
26.15%
Deportivo ←
we assigned to the actual result (Deportivo Cali)
26.15%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.39
1.25
-0.14
1.14
1.70
+0.56
Deportivo Cali dominated by xG (1.70 vs 1.25).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Mauro Silveira
G
Mauro Silveira
G
26
Yeison Suárez
D
Yeison Suárez
D
33
D
98
Jermein Peña
45'
D
Jermein Peña
45'
D
34
Jhonier Guerrero
D
Jhonier Guerrero
D
22
Jesús Rivas
M
Jesús Rivas
M
14
Juan David Ríos
M
Juan David Ríos
M
88
Bryan Castrillón
45'
M
Bryan Castrillón
45'
M
20
Jannenson Sarmiento
66'
M
Jannenson Sarmiento
66'
M
77
Cristian Barrios
45'
M
Cristian Barrios
45'
M
29
T. Gutiérrez
53'
F
T. Gutiérrez
53'
F
Bench
5
Daniel Rivera
45'
M
Daniel Rivera
45'
M
9
G. Paiva
45'
F
G. Paiva
45'
F
30
Jefersson Martínez
G
Jefersson Martínez
G
21
Joel Canchimbo
24'
F
Joel Canchimbo
24'
F
18
Kevin Pérez
45'
F
Kevin Pérez
45'
F
10
L. Muriel
1 ⚽
37'
F
L. Muriel
1 ⚽
37'
F
38
Alejandro Rodríguez
G
3
A. Correa
1 👟
80'
D
4
Fernando Álvarez
D
21
Julián Quiñones
D
2
F. Aguilar
D
F. Aguilar
D
27
F. Viafara
D
18
A. Hurtado
69'
M
A. Hurtado
69'
M
39
Matias Orozco
69'
M
6
Ronaldo Pájaro
45'
M
9
J. Dinenno
1 👟
89'
F
23
S. Rodríguez
2 ⚽
F
S. Rodríguez
2 ⚽
F
Bench
8
Daniel Giraldo
21'
M
10
Emanuel Reynoso
21'
M
33
J. Galindo
F
26
Juan José Tello
10'
D
13
Yani Quintero
M
Best on the pitch
S. Rodríguez
F · Deportivo
8.70
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 18 pass
L. Muriel
F · Junior
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 8 pass
Joel Canchimbo
F · Junior
7.50
· 6 pass
Mauro Silveira
G · Junior
7.30
· 24 pass
Matias Orozco
M · Deportivo
7.20
1 shots
· 22 pass
A. Correa
D · Deportivo
7.20
1 👟
1 shots
· 13 pass
Junior — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mauro Silveira | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Yeison Suárez | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 27% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 26% | — | — | — | |
| Jermein Peña | D | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | — | 1 | — |
| Jhonier Guerrero | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 46 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Jesús Rivas | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 66 | 52% | 1 | — | — |
| Juan David Ríos | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 73 | 56% | — | 1 | — |
| Bryan Castrillón | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Jannenson Sarmiento | M | 66 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Cristian Barrios | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Gutiérrez | F | 53 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Daniel Rivera | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Paiva | F | 45 | 5.70 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Joel Canchimbo | F | 24 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Kevin Pérez | F | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 21% | — | — | — |
| L. Muriel | F | 37 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
Deportivo Cali — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Rodríguez | G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Correa | D | 80 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 13 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Fernando Álvarez | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Julián Quiñones | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 3% | 1 | 1 | — |
| F. Aguilar | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 9% | — | 1 | — |
| F. Viafara | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Hurtado | M | 69 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Matias Orozco | M | 69 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 18% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Ronaldo Pájaro | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Dinenno | F | 89 | 6.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| S. Rodríguez | F | 90 | 8.70 | 2 | — | 3 | 18 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Daniel Giraldo | M | 21 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Emanuel Reynoso | M | 21 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Juan José Tello | D | 10 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 2 | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Junior vs Deportivo Cali?
The final score was Junior 1–2 Deportivo Cali.
What did the model predict before Junior vs Deportivo Cali?
The model assigned 42% probability to a Junior win, 31% to a draw, and 26% to an Deportivo Cali win.