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Liga BetPlay · Apertura - 19 May 04, 2026 00:45
Junior
#2 · 35 pts
4 – 3
Final score
Deportivo Pasto
#3 · 34 pts
G. Paiva (ast. J. Canchimbo) 54'
L. Muriel (ast. G. Paiva) 63'
J. Canchimbo (ast. T. Gutierrez) 70'
L. Muriel (ast. T. Gutierrez) 78'
17' M. Gil
56' (ast. M. Gil) A. Estupinan
82' (ast. E. C. Serje Orozco) J. Caicedo
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Junior a 49% win probability (draw 25%, Deportivo Pasto 24%). The final result was Junior 4–3 Deportivo Pasto.

Match statistics
6
Total shots
7
6
Shots on target
5
1.06
Actual xG
1.75
2
Saves
3
46%
Possession
54%
5
Corners
2
11
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
17'
M. Gil⚽
↕ C. Barrios / J. Canchimbo
46'
↕ B. Castrillon / G. Paiva
52'
↕ C. Bacca / T. Gutierrez
52'
↕ Y. Chara / J. Rivas
52'
⚽G. Paiva · ast. J. Canchimbo
54'
56'
ast. M. Gil · A. Estupinan⚽
⚽L. Muriel · ast. G. Paiva
63'
69'
D. Chavez
⚽J. Canchimbo · ast. T. Gutierrez
70'
75'
W. Morelo / D. Chavez ↕
76'
H. Goyes
⚽L. Muriel · ast. T. Gutierrez
78'
J. Pestana
81'
82'
ast. E. C. Serje Orozco · J. Caicedo⚽
↕ J. Rios / F. S. Angel Bernal
83'
J. Canchimbo
86'
86'
M. Gil
87'
L. Rueda / M. Gil ↕
Pre-match prediction
49.92%
Junior ←
25.14%
X
24.94%
Deportivo
we assigned to the actual result (Junior) 49.92% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Junior
1.48
1.06
-0.42
Deportivo
0.99
1.75
+0.76
Deportivo Pasto dominated by xG (1.75 vs 1.06). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 19 40
2 Junior Junior 19 35
3 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 19 34
4 America de Cali America de Cali 19 33
5 Once Caldas Once Caldas 19 33
6 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 19 31
7 Santa Fe Santa Fe 19 29
8 Internacional de Bogota Internacional de Bogota 19 28
9 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 19 27
10 Millonarios Millonarios 19 26
11 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 19 26
12 Águilas Doradas Águilas Doradas 19 26
13 Bucaramanga Bucaramanga 19 23
14 Llaneros Llaneros 19 22
15 Fortaleza FC Fortaleza FC 19 22
16 Jaguares Jaguares 19 18
17 Alianza Valledupar Alianza Valledupar 19 17
18 Chico Chico 19 17
19 Cucuta Cucuta 19 16
20 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 19 10
Lineups
Junior Junior 4-2-3-1
30 J. Martínez J. Martínez G 5.90
27 Jhon Navia Jhon Navia D 6.20
5 D. Rivera D. Rivera D 6.20
24 Jean Carlos Pestaña Jean Carlos Pestaña D 6.20
3
D 6.00
8 Yimmi Chará Yimmi Chará 52' M 6.70
14 J. Ríos J. Ríos 83' M 7.00
88 B. Castrillón B. Castrillón 52' M 6.70
10 L. Muriel L. Muriel 2 ⚽ M 8.90
77 C. Barrios C. Barrios 45' M 6.90
70 C. Bacca C. Bacca 52' F 6.50
Bench
9 G. Paiva G. Paiva 1 ⚽ 1 👟 38' F 8.30
22 Jesús Rivas Jesús Rivas 38' M 6.30
21 Joel Canchimbo Joel Canchimbo 1 ⚽ 1 👟 45' F 7.90
20 J. Sarmiento J. Sarmiento M
1 M. Silveira M. Silveira G
29 T. Gutiérrez T. Gutiérrez 2 👟 38' F 7.50
Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 4-4-2
1
G 6.00
21
D 5.90
5 N. Gil N. Gil D 5.90
8 E. Serje E. Serje 1 👟 D 6.00
27 Hervin Goyes Hervin Goyes D 5.70
16 M. Gil M. Gil 1 ⚽ 1 👟 87' M 8.20
23 Y. Góez Y. Góez M 6.70
6 J. Caicedo J. Caicedo 1 ⚽ M 7.50
18
M 6.20
10 D. Chávez D. Chávez 75' F 6.60
11 A. Estupiñán A. Estupiñán 1 ⚽ F 7.70
Bench
12 Geovanni Banguera Geovanni Banguera G
15 H. Mancilla H. Mancilla M
19 Wilson Morelo Wilson Morelo 15' F 6.60
Best on the pitch
L. Muriel
L. Muriel
M · Junior
8.90
2 ⚽
3 shots · 12 pass
G. Paiva
G. Paiva
F · Junior
8.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 6 pass
M. Gil
M. Gil
M · Deportivo
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 15 pass
Joel Canchimbo
Joel Canchimbo
F · Junior
7.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 6 pass
A. Estupiñán
A. Estupiñán
F · Deportivo
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots · 25 pass
J. Caicedo
J. Caicedo
M · Deportivo
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots · 29 pass
Junior Junior — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Martínez G 90 5.90 — — — 19 12% — — —
Jhon Navia D 90 6.20 — — 1 19 15% — — —
D. Rivera D 90 6.20 — — — 42 32% 2 — —
Jean Carlos Pestaña D 90 6.20 — — — 33 30% 2 1 —
D 90 6.00 — — — 30 24% 2 — —
Yimmi Chará M 52 6.70 — — — 27 21% — — —
J. Ríos M 83 7.00 — — — 40 32% 3 — —
B. Castrillón M 52 6.70 — — — 9 9% — — —
L. Muriel M 90 8.90 2 — 3 12 11% 1 — —
C. Barrios M 45 6.90 — — — 15 9% 1 — —
C. Bacca F 52 6.50 — — — 2 1% — — —
G. Paiva F 38 8.30 1 1 1 6 3% — — —
Jesús Rivas M 38 6.30 — — — 14 7% — — —
Joel Canchimbo F 45 7.90 1 1 1 6 5% — 1 —
T. Gutiérrez F 38 7.50 — 2 — 4 4% — — —
Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.00 — — — 25 12% — — —
D 90 5.90 — — 1 31 19% 2 — —
N. Gil D 90 5.90 — — — 29 23% — — —
E. Serje D 90 6.00 — 1 — 39 30% 1 — —
Hervin Goyes D 90 5.70 — — — 27 24% 1 1 —
M. Gil M 87 8.20 1 1 1 15 11% 1 1 —
Y. Góez M 90 6.70 — — 1 54 45% 1 — —
J. Caicedo M 90 7.50 1 — 2 29 25% 2 — —
M 90 6.20 — — — 17 13% — — —
D. Chávez F 75 6.60 — — — 38 30% — 1 —
A. Estupiñán F 90 7.70 1 — 2 25 20% 3 — —
Wilson Morelo F 15 6.60 — — — 3 3% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Junior vs Deportivo Pasto?
The final score was Junior 4–3 Deportivo Pasto.
What did the model predict before Junior vs Deportivo Pasto?
The model assigned 49% probability to a Junior win, 25% to a draw, and 24% to an Deportivo Pasto win.