Liga BetPlay
· Apertura - 19
May 04, 2026 00:45
G. Paiva
(ast. J. Canchimbo)
54'
L. Muriel
(ast. G. Paiva)
63'
J. Canchimbo
(ast. T. Gutierrez)
70'
L. Muriel
(ast. T. Gutierrez)
78'
17'
M. Gil
56'
(ast. M. Gil)
A. Estupinan
82'
(ast. E. C. Serje Orozco)
J. Caicedo
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Junior a 49% win probability (draw 25%, Deportivo Pasto 24%). The final result was Junior 4–3 Deportivo Pasto.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
7
6
Shots on target
5
1.06
Actual xG
1.75
2
Saves
3
46%
Possession
54%
5
Corners
2
11
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
17'
M. Gil⚽
C. Barrios
/ J. Canchimbo
46'
B. Castrillon
/ G. Paiva
52'
C. Bacca
/ T. Gutierrez
52'
Y. Chara
/ J. Rivas
52'
⚽G. Paiva
· ast. J. Canchimbo
54'
56'
ast. M. Gil ·
A. Estupinan⚽
⚽L. Muriel
· ast. G. Paiva
63'
69'
D. Chavez
⚽J. Canchimbo
· ast. T. Gutierrez
70'
75'
W. Morelo
/
D. Chavez
76'
H. Goyes
⚽L. Muriel
· ast. T. Gutierrez
78'
J. Pestana
81'
82'
ast. E. C. Serje Orozco ·
J. Caicedo⚽
J. Rios
/ F. S. Angel Bernal
83'
J. Canchimbo
86'
86'
M. Gil
87'
L. Rueda
/
M. Gil
Pre-match prediction
49.92%
Junior ←
25.14%
X
24.94%
Deportivo
we assigned to the actual result (Junior)
49.92%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.48
1.06
-0.42
0.99
1.75
+0.76
Deportivo Pasto dominated by xG (1.75 vs 1.06).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
30
Jefersson Martínez
G
Jefersson Martínez
G
27
Jhon Navia
D
Jhon Navia
D
5
Daniel Rivera
D
Daniel Rivera
D
24
Jean Carlos Pestaña
D
Jean Carlos Pestaña
D
3
D
8
Yimmi Chará
52'
M
Yimmi Chará
52'
M
14
Juan David Ríos
83'
M
Juan David Ríos
83'
M
88
Bryan Castrillón
52'
M
Bryan Castrillón
52'
M
10
L. Muriel
2 ⚽
M
L. Muriel
2 ⚽
M
77
Cristian Barrios
45'
M
Cristian Barrios
45'
M
70
Carlos Bacca
52'
F
Carlos Bacca
52'
F
Bench
9
Guillermo Paiva
1 ⚽
1 👟
38'
F
Guillermo Paiva
1 ⚽
1 👟
38'
F
20
Jannenson Sarmiento
M
Jannenson Sarmiento
M
22
Jesús Rivas
38'
M
Jesús Rivas
38'
M
21
Joel Canchimbo
1 ⚽
1 👟
45'
F
Joel Canchimbo
1 ⚽
1 👟
45'
F
1
Mauro Silveira
G
Mauro Silveira
G
29
T. Gutiérrez
2 👟
38'
F
T. Gutiérrez
2 👟
38'
F
1
G
21
D
5
Nicolas Gil Uribe
D
Nicolas Gil Uribe
D
8
Enrique Serje
1 👟
D
Enrique Serje
1 👟
D
27
Hervin Goyes
D
Hervin Goyes
D
16
Mayer Gil
1 ⚽
1 👟
87'
M
Mayer Gil
1 ⚽
1 👟
87'
M
23
Yeiler Góez
M
Yeiler Góez
M
6
J. Caicedo
1 ⚽
M
J. Caicedo
1 ⚽
M
18
M
10
Diego Chávez
75'
F
Diego Chávez
75'
F
11
A. Estupiñán
1 ⚽
F
A. Estupiñán
1 ⚽
F
Bench
12
Geovanni Banguera
G
Geovanni Banguera
G
15
Harrinson Mancilla
M
Harrinson Mancilla
M
19
Wilson Morelo
15'
F
Wilson Morelo
15'
F
Best on the pitch
L. Muriel
M · Junior
8.90
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 12 pass
Guillermo Paiva
F · Junior
8.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 6 pass
Mayer Gil
M · Deportivo
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 15 pass
Joel Canchimbo
F · Junior
7.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 6 pass
A. Estupiñán
F · Deportivo
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 25 pass
J. Caicedo
M · Deportivo
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 29 pass
Junior — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jefersson Martínez | G | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Jhon Navia | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Daniel Rivera | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 42 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| Jean Carlos Pestaña | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 33 | 30% | 2 | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 30 | 24% | 2 | — | — | |
| Yimmi Chará | M | 52 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 27 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Juan David Ríos | M | 83 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 40 | 32% | 3 | — | — |
| Bryan Castrillón | M | 52 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
| L. Muriel | M | 90 | 8.90 | 2 | — | 3 | 12 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Cristian Barrios | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Carlos Bacca | F | 52 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Guillermo Paiva | F | 38 | 8.30 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Jesús Rivas | M | 38 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Joel Canchimbo | F | 45 | 7.90 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| T. Gutiérrez | F | 38 | 7.50 | — | 2 | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
Deportivo Pasto — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 25 | 12% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 19% | 2 | — | — | |
| Nicolas Gil Uribe | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Enrique Serje | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | 1 | — | 39 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Hervin Goyes | D | 90 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 27 | 24% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Mayer Gil | M | 87 | 8.20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 11% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Yeiler Góez | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Caicedo | M | 90 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 29 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | — | — | — | |
| Diego Chávez | F | 75 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 38 | 30% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Estupiñán | F | 90 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 25 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| Wilson Morelo | F | 15 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Junior vs Deportivo Pasto?
The final score was Junior 4–3 Deportivo Pasto.
What did the model predict before Junior vs Deportivo Pasto?
The model assigned 49% probability to a Junior win, 25% to a draw, and 24% to an Deportivo Pasto win.