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Junior - Deportivo Pereira

Liga BetPlay October 15, 2026 01:00
Junior
#2 · 35 pts
vs
Deportivo Pereira
#18 · 7 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
65.45%
Win
Junior
24.37%
Draw
10.18%
Win
Deportivo Pereira
1.42
Expected xG
0.33
Most likely outcome
Junior
65.45%
Probability
53.7%
1X2 accuracy · 41 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (25.07%)
1X2 Result
1 65%
X 24%
2 10%
Double Chance
1X 90%
X2 35%
12 76%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 69%
Over 2.5 42%
✓ 57.1% hit rate (28 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Junior a 65% win probability, against 24% for a draw and 10% for Deportivo Pereira. Expected goals are 1.4 for Junior and 0.3 for Deportivo Pereira (total 1.8), with a 68% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 25.07% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Junior have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Deportivo Pereira.

Season Stats

Junior
4W 6D 5L
Deportivo Pereira
2W 5D 8L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
0.6
1.4
Conceded
1.3
4.6
Shots OT
3.0
4.5
Corners
2.9
52%
Poss.
47%
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
47%
47%
O 2.5
33%
60%
BTTS
33%
20%
Clean Sht
27%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Liga BetPlay. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
45%
BTTS
Junior
3W 5D 2L · at home
Deportivo Pereira
1W 4D 5L · away
1.7
gls/g
0.6
1.3
Conceded
1.1
30%
Win %
10%
80%
Win or Draw
50%
80%
O 1.5
40%
50%
O 2.5
30%
30%
O 3.5
20%
60%
BTTS
30%
30%
Clean Sht
20%
20%
Failed to Score
70%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Junior Deportivo Pereira →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 17.4% 5.8% 1.0% 0.1% — —
1 24.7% 8.2% 1.4% 0.1% — —
2 17.5% 5.8% 1.0% 0.1% — —
3 8.3% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% — —
4 2.9% 1.0% 0.2% — — —
5 0.8% 0.3% — — — —

Recent form

Junior Junior
W Fortaleza FC 1–4
L Alianza Valledupar 1–0
D Jaguares 3–3
D Santa Fe 1–1
L America de Cali 4–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 16%
Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira
D Águilas Doradas 2–2
L Bucaramanga 1–3
D Millonarios 1–1
L Independiente Medellin 0–3
W Deportivo Pasto 1–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 33%

Playing profile

Junior Junior
Attack
41
Defence
60
Form
45
Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira
Attack
29
Defence
43
Form
36
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Junior
0
Draw
0
Deportivo Pereira
3 Feb 2026 Liga BetPlay 3–2

Apertura

# Team G Pts
1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 19 40
2 Junior Junior 19 35
3 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 19 34
4 America de Cali America de Cali 19 33
5 Once Caldas Once Caldas 19 33
6 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 19 31
7 Santa Fe Santa Fe 19 29
8 Internacional de Bogota Internacional de Bogota 19 28
9 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 19 27
10 Millonarios Millonarios 19 26
11 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 19 26
12 Águilas Doradas Águilas Doradas 19 26
13 Bucaramanga Bucaramanga 19 23
14 Llaneros Llaneros 19 22
15 Fortaleza FC Fortaleza FC 19 22
16 Jaguares Jaguares 19 18
17 Alianza Valledupar Alianza Valledupar 19 17
18 Chico Chico 19 17
19 Cucuta Cucuta 19 16
20 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 19 10

What's at stake · Apertura

Top 2 advance to the next round

Junior Deportivo Pereira
Current #2 #1
→ Junior #2 #20
→ Draw #2 #20
→ Deportivo Pereira #2 #20

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Junior vs Deportivo Pereira?
The model gives Junior a 65% win probability, 24% for a draw, and 10% for an Deportivo Pereira win.
How many goals are expected in Junior vs Deportivo Pereira?
Expected goals: Junior 1.4, Deportivo Pereira 0.3 (total 1.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 68%.
What is the most likely score in Junior vs Deportivo Pereira?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 25.07%.