Liga BetPlay
· Clausura - 12
September 27, 2026 03:20
Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez, Barranquilla
✓Model correct — prediction Junior
Teófilo Gutiérrez
75'
(pen.)
Hayen Palacios
79'
(og)
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Junior a 58% win probability (draw 18%, Independiente Medellin 22%). The final result was Junior 2–0 Independiente Medellin. In 1 previous meetings, Junior have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Independiente Medellin.
Match statistics
19
Total shots
9
9
Shots on target
4
4
Saves
8
64%
Possession
36%
2
Corners
6
3
Tackles
10
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
16'
17'
Keiner David Klinger Vasquez
26'
Baldomero Perlaza
/
Halam Stiven Loboa Diaz
26'
Carlos Alberto Lucumi Gonzalez
/
Jeison Medina
42'
Agustín Martegani
Bryan Castrillón
/ Jannenson Sarmiento
45'
Jermein Pena
58'
Francisco Fydriszewski
/ Harold Rivera
63'
Guillermo Celis
/ Guillermo Paiva
63'
66'
Nivaldo Yunior Erazo Hernandez
/
Agustín Martegani
66'
Diego Moreno
/
John Montano
72'
72'
Kevin Andres Mantilla Camargo
⚽Teófilo Gutiérrez
(pen.)
75'
Teófilo Gutiérrez
/ Yimmi Chará
77'
⚽Hayen Palacios
(og)
79'
79'
Luis Escorcia
/
Kevin Andres Mantilla Camargo
Jermein Pena
/ Daniel Socarras
84'
Mauro Silveira
/ Jefferson Martínez
90'+2
90'+5
Hayen Palacios
Harold Rivera
90'+5
90'+7
Yony González
/
Didier Moreno
Pre-match prediction
58.75%
Junior ←
18.67%
X
22.58%
Independiente
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Junior)
58.75%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.82
—
—
1.52
—
—
Lineups
1
Mauro Silveira
89'
G
Mauro Silveira
89'
G
26
Yeison Suárez
D
Yeison Suárez
D
23
Pablo Ortíz
D
Pablo Ortíz
D
5
Daniel Rivera
D
Daniel Rivera
D
98
Jermein Peña
84'
D
Jermein Peña
84'
D
80
Fabián Ángel
M
Fabián Ángel
M
88
Bryan Castrillón
45'
M
Bryan Castrillón
45'
M
28
Guillermo Celis
63'
M
Guillermo Celis
63'
M
19
F. Fydriszewski
63'
M
F. Fydriszewski
63'
M
25
Déiber Caicedo
M
Déiber Caicedo
M
29
T. Gutiérrez
1 ⚽
77'
F
T. Gutiérrez
1 ⚽
77'
F
Bench
77
Cristian Barrios
F
Cristian Barrios
F
34
Daniel Socarras
6'
D
Daniel Socarras
6'
D
6
D. Villarreal
M
D. Villarreal
M
9
G. Paiva
27'
F
G. Paiva
27'
F
7
Harold Rivera
27'
M
Harold Rivera
27'
M
30
Jefersson Martínez
1'
G
Jefersson Martínez
1'
G
14
J. Ríos
M
J. Ríos
M
20
J. Sarmiento
45'
M
J. Sarmiento
45'
M
8
Yimmi Chará
13'
M
Yimmi Chará
13'
M
25
Eder Chaux
G
Eder Chaux
G
26
Esneyder Mena
D
Esneyder Mena
D
19
Alfonso Simarra
D
Alfonso Simarra
D
4
Kevin Mantilla
79'
D
Kevin Mantilla
79'
D
30
H. Palacios
1 ⚽
D
H. Palacios
1 ⚽
D
20
John Edwin Montaño
66'
M
John Edwin Montaño
66'
M
6
Didier Moreno
M
Didier Moreno
M
16
Halam Loboa
26'
M
Halam Loboa
26'
M
34
Keiner Klinger
17'
M
Keiner Klinger
17'
M
9
Jeison Medina
26'
F
Jeison Medina
26'
F
21
Agustín Martegani
66'
F
Agustín Martegani
66'
F
Bench
14
Baldomero Perlaza
64'
M
Baldomero Perlaza
64'
M
32
Carlos Lucumi
64'
F
Carlos Lucumi
64'
F
31
Diego Moreno
24'
M
Diego Moreno
24'
M
5
Joaquin Varela
D
Joaquin Varela
D
39
Luis Escorcia
11'
D
Luis Escorcia
11'
D
24
Nivaldo Erazo
24'
M
Nivaldo Erazo
24'
M
1
Salvador Ichazo
G
Salvador Ichazo
G
11
Yony González
1'
F
Yony González
1'
F
Best on the pitch
Eder Chaux
G · Independiente
7.52
· 36 pass
Jermein Peña
D · Junior
7.43
1 shots
· 49 pass
T. Gutiérrez
F · Junior
7.33
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 38 pass
Yeison Suárez
D · Junior
7.28
1 shots
· 50 pass
Mauro Silveira
G · Junior
7.24
· 17 pass
Pablo Ortíz
D · Junior
7.06
· 55 pass
Junior — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mauro Silveira | G | 89 | 7.24 | — | — | 0 | 17 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| Yeison Suárez | D | 90 | 7.28 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| Pablo Ortíz | D | 90 | 7.06 | — | — | 0 | 55 | 52% | 0 | — | — |
| Daniel Rivera | D | 90 | 6.69 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 47% | 0 | — | — |
| Jermein Peña | D | 84 | 7.43 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 45% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Fabián Ángel | M | 90 | 6.89 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 44% | 0 | — | — |
| Bryan Castrillón | M | 45 | 6.97 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 24% | 0 | — | — |
| Guillermo Celis | M | 63 | 6.29 | — | — | 0 | 34 | 31% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Fydriszewski | M | 63 | 6.85 | — | — | 4 | 9 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| Déiber Caicedo | M | 90 | 6.40 | — | — | 2 | 27 | 24% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Gutiérrez | F | 77 | 7.33 | 1 | — | 3 | 38 | 31% | 0 | — | — |
| Daniel Socarras | D | 6 | 6.58 | — | — | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| G. Paiva | F | 27 | 6.54 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| Harold Rivera | M | 27 | 6.40 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 9% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jefersson Martínez | G | 1 | 7.03 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Sarmiento | M | 45 | 6.71 | — | — | 3 | 30 | 25% | 0 | — | — |
| Yimmi Chará | M | 13 | 6.64 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
Independiente Medellin — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eder Chaux | G | 90 | 7.52 | — | — | 0 | 36 | 20% | 0 | — | — |
| Esneyder Mena | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Alfonso Simarra | D | 90 | 6.21 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 22% | 0 | — | — |
| Kevin Mantilla | D | 79 | 5.71 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 17% | 0 | 1 | — |
| H. Palacios | D | 90 | 4.93 | 1 | — | 1 | 15 | 9% | 1 | 1 | — |
| John Edwin Montaño | M | 66 | 5.94 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| Didier Moreno | M | 97 | 6.19 | — | — | 0 | 38 | 29% | 0 | — | — |
| Halam Loboa | M | 26 | 6.02 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Keiner Klinger | M | 17 | 5.23 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | 1 |
| Jeison Medina | F | 26 | 6.72 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| Agustín Martegani | F | 66 | 6.40 | — | — | 0 | 14 | 11% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Baldomero Perlaza | M | 64 | 6.36 | — | — | 0 | 30 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Carlos Lucumi | F | 64 | 6.45 | — | — | 3 | 9 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| Diego Moreno | M | 24 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 5 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| Luis Escorcia | D | 11 | 6.09 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| Nivaldo Erazo | M | 24 | 5.95 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Yony González | F | 1 | 6.31 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Junior vs Independiente Medellin?
The final score was Junior 2–0 Independiente Medellin.
What did the model predict before Junior vs Independiente Medellin?
The model assigned 58% probability to a Junior win, 18% to a draw, and 22% to an Independiente Medellin win.