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✗Model wrong — prediction Junior, result Draw
Jesús Rivas 25'
Francisco Fydriszewski (ast. Guillermo Paiva) 71'
19' Cristián Dájome
74' (ast. Facundo Boné) Fabricio Sanguinetti
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Junior a 65% win probability (draw 16%, Internacional de Bogota 17%). The final result was Junior 2–2 Internacional de Bogota. In 1 previous meetings, Junior have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Internacional de Bogota.

Match statistics
19
Total shots
18
4
Shots on target
4
1.69
Actual xG
1.81
2
Saves
2
52%
Possession
48%
6
Corners
7
13
Tackles
16
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
19'
Cristián Dájome⚽
⚽Jesús Rivas
25'
29'
Miguel Angel Amaya Peña / Mateo Rodas ↕
47'
Dewar Victoria
59'
Facundo Boné / Diego Duarte ↕
↕ Luis Muriel / Francisco Fydriszewski
59'
↕ Teófilo Gutiérrez / Guillermo Paiva
60'
Yeison Abelardo Suarez Vasquez
60'
⚽Francisco Fydriszewski · ast. Guillermo Paiva
71'
↕ Déiber Caicedo / Bryan Castrillón
73'
↕ Kevin Pérez / Yimmi Chará
73'
74'
ast. Facundo Boné · Fabricio Sanguinetti⚽
80'
Ruben Manjarres / Dewar Victoria ↕
80'
Johan Caballero / Cristián Dájome ↕
↕ Jesús Rivas / Harold Rivera
86'
Jermein Pena
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
65.99%
Junior
16.45%
X ←
17.55%
Internacional
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 16.45% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Junior
2.81
1.69
-1.12
Internacional
1.30
1.81
+0.52
xG dominance was balanced (1.69 – 1.81). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 19 40
2 Junior Junior 19 35
3 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 19 34
4 America de Cali America de Cali 19 33
5 Once Caldas Once Caldas 19 33
6 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 19 31
7 Santa Fe Santa Fe 19 29
8 Internacional de Bogota Internacional de Bogota 19 28
9 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 19 27
10 Millonarios Millonarios 19 26
11 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 19 26
12 Águilas Doradas Águilas Doradas 19 26
13 Bucaramanga Bucaramanga 19 23
14 Llaneros Llaneros 19 22
15 Fortaleza FC Fortaleza FC 19 22
16 Jaguares Jaguares 19 18
17 Alianza Valledupar Alianza Valledupar 19 17
18 Chico Chico 19 17
19 Cucuta Cucuta 19 16
20 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 19 10
Lineups
Junior Junior 4-2-3-1
30 Jefersson Martínez Jefersson Martínez G 6.53
26 Yeison Suárez Yeison Suárez D 6.12
23 Pablo Ortíz Pablo Ortíz D 6.59
98 Jermein Peña Jermein Peña D 6.46
34 Daniel Socarras Daniel Socarras D 5.97
22 Jesús Rivas Jesús Rivas 1 ⚽ 86' M 8.20
80 Fabián Ángel Fabián Ángel M 6.32
25 Déiber Caicedo Déiber Caicedo 73' M 6.43
18 Kevin Pérez Kevin Pérez 73' M 6.65
10 Luis Muriel Luis Muriel 59' M 6.16
29 T. Gutiérrez T. Gutiérrez 60' F 6.80
Bench
88 Bryan Castrillón Bryan Castrillón 17' F 7.11
5 Daniel Rivera Daniel Rivera M 0.00
19 F. Fydriszewski F. Fydriszewski 1 ⚽ 31' F 7.60
28 Guillermo Celis Guillermo Celis M 0.00
9 Guillermo Paiva Guillermo Paiva 1 👟 30' F 7.18
7 Harold Rivera Harold Rivera 4' M 6.00
12 J. Acosta J. Acosta G 0.00
8 Yimmi Chará Yimmi Chará 17' M 5.94
1 Wuilker Faríñez Wuilker Faríñez G 6.29
13 Miguel Pernia Miguel Pernia D 6.06
26 Agustín Irazoque Agustín Irazoque D 6.63
4 D. Rodas D. Rodas 29' D 6.20
20 Joan Castro Joan Castro D 6.94
8 Dewar Victoria Dewar Victoria 80' M 6.40
5 Larry Vásquez Larry Vásquez M 5.84
7 Fabricio Sanguinetti Fabricio Sanguinetti 1 ⚽ M 6.84
11 Cristián Dájome Cristián Dájome 1 ⚽ 80' M 7.66
25 Ronaldo Julio Ronaldo Julio M 6.46
9 Diego Duarte Diego Duarte 59' F 6.70
Bench
10 Facundo Boné Facundo Boné 1 👟 31' F 7.07
23 Johan Caballero Johan Caballero 10' F 6.58
33 K. Cataño K. Cataño G 0.00
14 Mateo Santamaria Mateo Santamaria M 0.00
6 Miguel Amaya Miguel Amaya 61' D 6.32
24 Ruben Manjarres Ruben Manjarres 10' M 6.18
22 Sebastián Girado Sebastián Girado F 0.00
19 Yeider Garcia Yeider Garcia F 0.00
Best on the pitch
Jesús Rivas
Jesús Rivas
M · Junior
8.20
1 ⚽
8 shots · 35 pass
Cristián Dájome
Cristián Dájome
M · Internacional
7.66
1 ⚽
6 shots · 18 pass
F. Fydriszewski
F. Fydriszewski
F · Junior
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots · 6 pass
Guillermo Paiva
Guillermo Paiva
F · Junior
7.18
1 👟
1 shots · 16 pass
Bryan Castrillón
Bryan Castrillón
F · Junior
7.11
1 shots · 5 pass
Facundo Boné
Facundo Boné
F · Internacional
7.07
1 👟
1 shots · 7 pass
Junior Junior — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Jefersson Martínez G 90 6.53 — — 0 10 9% 1 — —
Yeison Suárez D 90 6.12 — — 1 45 37% 0 1 —
Pablo Ortíz D 90 6.59 — — 0 48 44% 0 — —
Jermein Peña D 90 6.46 — — 0 61 53% 0 1 —
Daniel Socarras D 90 5.97 — — 1 32 23% 0 — —
Jesús Rivas M 86 8.20 1 — 8 35 33% 3 — —
Fabián Ángel M 90 6.32 — — 1 36 33% 1 — —
Déiber Caicedo M 73 6.43 — — 0 12 10% 1 — —
Kevin Pérez M 73 6.65 — — 0 39 32% 3 — —
Luis Muriel M 59 6.16 — — 3 8 4% 0 — —
T. Gutiérrez F 60 6.80 — — 1 21 19% 0 — —
Bryan Castrillón F 17 7.11 — — 1 5 5% 0 — —
F. Fydriszewski F 31 7.60 1 — 2 6 4% 2 — —
Guillermo Paiva F 30 7.18 — 1 1 16 12% 2 — —
Harold Rivera M 4 6.00 — — 0 4 4% 0 — —
Yimmi Chará M 17 5.94 — — 0 4 4% 0 — —
Internacional de Bogota Internacional de Bogota — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Wuilker Faríñez G 90 6.29 — — 0 18 10% 0 — —
Miguel Pernia D 90 6.06 — — 0 29 19% 2 — —
Agustín Irazoque D 90 6.63 — — 1 30 27% 3 — —
D. Rodas D 29 6.20 — — 1 8 6% 0 — —
Joan Castro D 90 6.94 — — 2 38 33% 2 — —
Dewar Victoria M 80 6.40 — — 0 40 34% 1 1 —
Larry Vásquez M 90 5.84 — — 0 58 52% 0 — —
Fabricio Sanguinetti M 90 6.84 1 — 2 23 14% 1 — —
Cristián Dájome M 80 7.66 1 — 6 18 14% 0 — —
Ronaldo Julio M 90 6.46 — — 2 32 26% 5 — —
Diego Duarte F 59 6.70 — — 1 17 12% 0 — —
Facundo Boné F 31 7.07 — 1 1 7 6% 1 — —
Johan Caballero F 10 6.58 — — 1 5 5% 0 — —
Miguel Amaya D 61 6.32 — — 1 25 23% 0 — —
Ruben Manjarres M 10 6.18 — — 0 7 7% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Junior vs Internacional de Bogota?
The final score was Junior 2–2 Internacional de Bogota.
What did the model predict before Junior vs Internacional de Bogota?
The model assigned 65% probability to a Junior win, 16% to a draw, and 17% to an Internacional de Bogota win.