Liga BetPlay
· Clausura - 2
August 02, 2026 03:15
90'+1
(ast. A. Estupinan)
R. Contreras
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Junior a 42% win probability (draw 29%, Millonarios 28%). The final result was Junior 0–1 Millonarios. In 1 previous meetings, Junior have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Millonarios.
Match statistics
4
Total shots
9
1
Shots on target
3
0.36
Actual xG
0.55
2
Saves
1
56%
Possession
44%
2
Corners
7
25
Tackles
22
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
J. Rios
21'
22'
J. Guerrero
J. Pena
24'
F. Fydriszewski
/ G. Paiva
60'
J. Rios
/ F. S. Angel Bernal
60'
C. Barrios
/ J. Canchimbo
60'
67'
L. Castro
/
D. Ruiz
67'
A. Estupinan
/
S. Valencia
70'
L. Castro
B. Castrillon
/ K. Perez
73'
77'
S. Viveros
/
M. Garcia
77'
D. Banguero
/
F. Chaverra
G. Celis
/ D. Villarreal
80'
86'
S. Barreiro
/
A. Llinas
90'+1
ast. A. Estupinan ·
R. Contreras⚽
90'+3
R. Contreras
M. Silveira
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
42.01%
Junior
29.23%
X
28.76%
Millonarios ←
we assigned to the actual result (Millonarios)
28.76%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.11
0.36
-0.75
0.87
0.55
-0.32
xG dominance was balanced (0.36 – 0.55).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
M. Silveira
G
M. Silveira
G
26
Y. Súarez
D
Y. Súarez
D
5
D. Rivera
D
D. Rivera
D
98
Jermein Peña
D
Jermein Peña
D
3
E. Herrera
D
E. Herrera
D
28
G. Celis
80'
M
G. Celis
80'
M
14
J. Ríos
60'
M
J. Ríos
60'
M
88
B. Castrillón
73'
M
B. Castrillón
73'
M
10
L. Muriel
M
L. Muriel
M
77
C. Barrios
60'
M
C. Barrios
60'
M
19
F. Fydriszewski
60'
F
F. Fydriszewski
60'
F
Bench
6
D. Villarreal
10'
M
D. Villarreal
10'
M
80
F. Ángel
30'
M
F. Ángel
30'
M
9
G. Paiva
30'
F
G. Paiva
30'
F
24
Jean Carlos Pestaña
D
Jean Carlos Pestaña
D
30
J. Martínez
G
J. Martínez
G
21
Joel Canchimbo
30'
F
Joel Canchimbo
30'
F
20
J. Sarmiento
M
J. Sarmiento
M
18
K. Pérez
17'
F
K. Pérez
17'
F
1
J. Burrai
G
J. Burrai
G
22
Sebastián Valencia Isaza
67'
D
Sebastián Valencia Isaza
67'
D
17
Jorge Arias
D
Jorge Arias
D
6
S. Mosquera
D
S. Mosquera
D
26
A. Llinás
86'
D
A. Llinás
86'
D
34
Jhonier Guerrero
D
Jhonier Guerrero
D
10
D. Ruiz
67'
M
D. Ruiz
67'
M
18
R. Ureña
M
R. Ureña
M
19
M. García
78'
M
M. García
78'
M
13
F. Chaverra
77'
M
F. Chaverra
77'
M
27
R. Contreras
1 ⚽
F
R. Contreras
1 ⚽
F
Bench
11
A. Estupiñán
1 👟
23'
F
A. Estupiñán
1 👟
23'
F
20
D. Banguero
13'
D
D. Banguero
13'
D
25
D. Quintero
M
D. Quintero
M
14
D. Silva
M
D. Silva
M
23
L. Castro
23'
F
L. Castro
23'
F
3
M. Diaz Samuel
D
M. Diaz Samuel
D
4
S. Barreiro
10'
D
S. Barreiro
10'
D
30
Sebastián del Castillo
12'
M
Sebastián del Castillo
12'
M
Best on the pitch
Jermein Peña
D · Junior
7.60
· 76 pass
R. Ureña
M · Millonarios
7.30
· 54 pass
R. Contreras
F · Millonarios
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 22 pass
J. Burrai
G · Millonarios
7.30
· 12 pass
Jorge Arias
D · Millonarios
7.30
· 38 pass
D. Rivera
D · Junior
7.20
· 53 pass
Junior — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Silveira | G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 29 | 25% | — | 1 | — |
| Y. Súarez | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 45 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Rivera | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 53 | 51% | 2 | — | — |
| Jermein Peña | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 76 | 66% | 5 | 1 | — |
| E. Herrera | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 56 | 50% | 7 | — | — |
| G. Celis | M | 80 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 48 | 40% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Ríos | M | 60 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 61 | 56% | 2 | 1 | — |
| B. Castrillón | M | 73 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 24 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Muriel | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 3 | 29 | 21% | — | — | — |
| C. Barrios | M | 60 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 11% | — | — | — |
| F. Fydriszewski | F | 60 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| D. Villarreal | M | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| F. Ángel | M | 30 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Paiva | F | 30 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Joel Canchimbo | F | 30 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Pérez | F | 17 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 12% | — | — | — |
Millonarios — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Burrai | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Sebastián Valencia Isaza | D | 67 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| Jorge Arias | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 29% | 4 | — | — |
| S. Mosquera | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Llinás | D | 86 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 28% | 3 | — | — |
| Jhonier Guerrero | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 23% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D. Ruiz | M | 67 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 39 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Ureña | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 54 | 45% | 2 | — | — |
| M. García | M | 78 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 38% | 3 | — | — |
| F. Chaverra | M | 77 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 29 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Contreras | F | 90 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 22 | 12% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Estupiñán | F | 23 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Banguero | D | 13 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Castro | F | 23 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
| S. Barreiro | D | 10 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Sebastián del Castillo | M | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Junior vs Millonarios?
The final score was Junior 0–1 Millonarios.
What did the model predict before Junior vs Millonarios?
The model assigned 42% probability to a Junior win, 29% to a draw, and 28% to an Millonarios win.