L. Monzon
41'
C. Barrios
(ast. G. Paiva)
66'
15'
(ast. A. Roa)
P. Gomez
(og)
85'
L. Monzon
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Junior a 52% win probability (draw 24%, Once Caldas 23%). The final result was Junior 2–2 Once Caldas. In 2 previous meetings, Junior have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Once Caldas.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
9
5
Shots on target
5
1.07
Actual xG
0.74
3
Saves
3
52%
Possession
48%
5
Corners
11
20
Tackles
13
8
🟨 Yellow cards
3
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
15'
ast. A. Roa ·
P. Gomez⚽
28'
R. Mejia
F. S. Angel Bernal
29'
⚽L. Monzon
41'
B. Castrillon
43'
F. S. Angel Bernal
/ J. Rivas
46'
54'
J. Quinones
/
A. Roa
Y. Chara
/ J. Canchimbo
56'
B. Castrillon
/ C. Barrios
56'
L. Muriel
/ T. Gutierrez
64'
65'
M. Zuleta
/
J. A. Zapata Ramirez
65'
E. Navarro
/
J. Patino
⚽C. Barrios
· ast. G. Paiva
66'
70'
J. Riquett
G. Paiva
/ C. Bacca
76'
T. Gutierrez
78'
84'
J. Cardona
/
J. Riquett
85'
(og)
L. Monzon⚽
J. Pestana
87'
J. Rivas
90'+2
L. Monzon
90'+6
J. Rivas
90'+9
J. Rivas
90'+9
90'+9
M. Zuleta
C. Bacca
90'+11
90'+13
(missed pen.)
D. Moreno⚽
Pre-match prediction
52.59%
Junior
24.01%
X ←
23.4%
Once
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
24.01%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.61
1.07
-0.54
0.86
0.74
-0.12
Junior dominated by xG (1.07 vs 0.74).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Mauro Silveira
G
Mauro Silveira
G
26
Yeison Suárez
D
Yeison Suárez
D
33
Lucas Monzón
2 ⚽
D
Lucas Monzón
2 ⚽
D
24
Jean Carlos Pestaña
D
Jean Carlos Pestaña
D
3
Edwin Herrera
D
Edwin Herrera
D
80
Fabián Ángel
45'
M
Fabián Ángel
45'
M
14
Juan David Ríos
M
Juan David Ríos
M
88
Bryan Castrillón
56'
M
Bryan Castrillón
56'
M
10
L. Muriel
64'
M
L. Muriel
64'
M
8
Yimmi Chará
56'
M
Yimmi Chará
56'
M
9
Guillermo Paiva
1 👟
76'
F
Guillermo Paiva
1 👟
76'
F
Bench
38
Andrés Schmalbach
M
Andrés Schmalbach
M
70
Carlos Bacca
27'
F
Carlos Bacca
27'
F
77
Cristian Barrios
1 ⚽
47'
F
Cristian Barrios
1 ⚽
47'
F
5
Daniel Rivera
M
Daniel Rivera
M
19
Daniel Soccaras
D
Daniel Soccaras
D
30
Jefersson Martínez
G
Jefersson Martínez
G
22
Jesús Rivas
54'
M
Jesús Rivas
54'
M
21
Joel Canchimbo
47'
F
Joel Canchimbo
47'
F
29
T. Gutiérrez
39'
F
T. Gutiérrez
39'
F
99
J. Parra
G
J. Parra
G
33
Juan Patiño
65'
D
Juan Patiño
65'
D
18
Jeider Riquett
84'
D
Jeider Riquett
84'
D
16
J. Castaño
D
J. Castaño
D
22
J. Cuesta
D
J. Cuesta
D
9
Pipe Gómez
1 ⚽
M
Pipe Gómez
1 ⚽
M
88
Robert Mejía
M
Robert Mejía
M
20
A. Roa
1 👟
54'
M
A. Roa
1 👟
54'
M
14
J. Zapata
65'
M
J. Zapata
65'
M
17
D. Moreno
F
D. Moreno
F
10
Luis Sánchez
F
Luis Sánchez
F
Bench
4
E. Navarro
38'
D
E. Navarro
38'
D
21
Helieyker Guzman
F
Helieyker Guzman
F
5
Iván Rojas
M
Iván Rojas
M
15
J. Alvarado
M
J. Alvarado
M
12
James Aguirre
G
James Aguirre
G
2
J. Cardona
19'
D
J. Cardona
19'
D
42
J. Quiñónes
49'
M
J. Quiñónes
49'
M
28
M. Zuleta
38'
M
M. Zuleta
38'
M
19
T. García
M
T. García
M
Best on the pitch
Cristian Barrios
F · Junior
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 7 pass
Juan David Ríos
M · Junior
7.70
· 55 pass
J. Castaño
D · Once
7.30
2 shots
· 27 pass
Pipe Gómez
M · Once
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 38 pass
Guillermo Paiva
F · Junior
7.20
1 👟
2 shots
· 31 pass
J. Parra
G · Once
7.20
· 18 pass
Junior — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mauro Silveira | G | 103 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Yeison Suárez | D | 103 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 40 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Lucas Monzón | D | 103 | 6.90 | 2 | — | 1 | 34 | 28% | — | 1 | — |
| Jean Carlos Pestaña | D | 103 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 26% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Edwin Herrera | D | 103 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | 6 | — | — |
| Fabián Ángel | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 19% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Juan David Ríos | M | 103 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 55 | 46% | 4 | — | — |
| Bryan Castrillón | M | 56 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 16% | 1 | 1 | — |
| L. Muriel | M | 64 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 19 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Yimmi Chará | M | 56 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Guillermo Paiva | F | 76 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 2 | 31 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Carlos Bacca | F | 27 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
| Cristian Barrios | F | 47 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Jesús Rivas | M | 54 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Joel Canchimbo | F | 47 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| T. Gutiérrez | F | 39 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 13% | — | 1 | — |
Once Caldas — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Parra | G | 103 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Juan Patiño | D | 65 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Jeider Riquett | D | 84 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Castaño | D | 103 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 27 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Cuesta | D | 103 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| Pipe Gómez | M | 103 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 38 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| Robert Mejía | M | 103 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 46 | 41% | 2 | 1 | — |
| A. Roa | M | 54 | 6.30 | — | 1 | — | 26 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Zapata | M | 65 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Moreno | F | 103 | 7.00 | — | — | 3 | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Luis Sánchez | F | 103 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 27% | — | — | — |
| E. Navarro | D | 38 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Cardona | D | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| J. Quiñónes | M | 49 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 14% | — | — | — |
| M. Zuleta | M | 38 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Junior vs Once Caldas?
The final score was Junior 2–2 Once Caldas.
What did the model predict before Junior vs Once Caldas?
The model assigned 52% probability to a Junior win, 24% to a draw, and 23% to an Once Caldas win.