Liga BetPlay
· Clausura - 6
August 24, 2026 03:15
G. Paiva
(ast. D. Socarras)
88'
79'
(ast. J. D. Cuesta Santos)
D. Moreno
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Junior a 40% win probability (draw 27%, Once Caldas 31%). The final result was Junior 1–1 Once Caldas. In 3 previous meetings, Junior have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Once Caldas.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
9
4
Shots on target
2
1.09
Actual xG
0.45
1
Saves
3
47%
Possession
53%
4
Corners
3
11
Tackles
11
5
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
C. Barrios
27'
42'
P. Gomez
B. Castrillon
/ J. Canchimbo
46'
C. Barrios
/ J. Sarmiento
46'
59'
J. Quinones
/
A. Roa
59'
M. Zuleta
/
J. A. Zapata Ramirez
K. Perez
/ F. Fydriszewski
63'
J. Rivas
65'
J. Rivas
/ G. Paiva
71'
72'
J. Alvarado
/
P. Gomez
76'
D. Moreno
/
E. Torres
76'
H. Guzman
/
M. Barrios
79'
ast. J. D. Cuesta Santos ·
D. Moreno⚽
82'
A. Correa
E. Herrera
83'
E. Herrera
/ D. Socarras
84'
⚽G. Paiva
· ast. D. Socarras
88'
90'+1
J. Quinones
J. Rios
90'+2
D. Socarras
90'+3
90'+6
D. Moreno
90'+6
A. Colorado
Pre-match prediction
40.82%
Junior
27.54%
X ←
31.64%
Once
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
27.54%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.19
1.09
-0.1
1.04
0.45
-0.59
Junior dominated by xG (1.09 vs 0.45).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
M. Silveira
G
M. Silveira
G
26
Y. Súarez
D
Y. Súarez
D
23
P. Ortíz
D
P. Ortíz
D
5
D. Rivera
D
D. Rivera
D
3
E. Herrera
83'
D
E. Herrera
83'
D
88
B. Castrillón
45'
M
B. Castrillón
45'
M
14
J. Ríos
M
J. Ríos
M
22
Jesús Rivas
71'
M
Jesús Rivas
71'
M
77
C. Barrios
45'
M
C. Barrios
45'
M
10
L. Muriel
F
L. Muriel
F
18
K. Pérez
63'
F
K. Pérez
63'
F
Bench
34
Daniel Socarras
1 👟
14'
D
Daniel Socarras
1 👟
14'
D
6
D. Villarreal
M
D. Villarreal
M
19
F. Fydriszewski
27'
F
F. Fydriszewski
27'
F
28
G. Celis
M
G. Celis
M
9
G. Paiva
1 ⚽
19'
F
G. Paiva
1 ⚽
19'
F
24
Jean Carlos Pestaña
D
Jean Carlos Pestaña
D
30
J. Martínez
G
J. Martínez
G
21
Joel Canchimbo
45'
F
Joel Canchimbo
45'
F
20
J. Sarmiento
45'
M
J. Sarmiento
45'
M
99
J. Parra
G
J. Parra
G
3
A. Correa
D
A. Correa
D
30
D. Londoño
D
D. Londoño
D
2
J. Cardona
D
J. Cardona
D
22
J. Cuesta
1 👟
D
J. Cuesta
1 👟
D
23
A. Colorado
M
A. Colorado
M
7
M. Barrios
76'
M
M. Barrios
76'
M
20
A. Roa
59'
M
A. Roa
59'
M
9
Pipe Gómez
72'
M
Pipe Gómez
72'
M
29
E. Torres
76'
M
E. Torres
76'
M
14
J. Zapata
59'
F
J. Zapata
59'
F
Bench
17
D. Moreno
1 ⚽
14'
F
D. Moreno
1 ⚽
14'
F
21
H. Guzman
14'
F
H. Guzman
14'
F
15
J. Alvarado
18'
M
J. Alvarado
18'
M
16
J. Castaño
D
J. Castaño
D
33
J. Patiño
D
J. Patiño
D
42
J. Quiñónes
31'
M
J. Quiñónes
31'
M
25
Juan Gallego
G
Juan Gallego
G
28
M. Zuleta
31'
M
M. Zuleta
31'
M
19
T. García
M
T. García
M
Best on the pitch
A. Roa
M · Once
7.30
· 45 pass
M. Barrios
M · Once
7.30
1 shots
· 19 pass
A. Correa
D · Once
7.20
1 shots
· 35 pass
G. Paiva
F · Junior
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 6 pass
D. Moreno
F · Once
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 7 pass
J. Cuesta
D · Once
7.00
1 👟
· 39 pass
Junior — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Silveira | G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Y. Súarez | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Ortíz | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 43 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Rivera | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 41 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Herrera | D | 83 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 46 | 39% | 2 | 1 | — |
| B. Castrillón | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| J. Ríos | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 51 | 45% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Jesús Rivas | M | 71 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 36% | 1 | 1 | — |
| C. Barrios | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | — | 1 | — |
| L. Muriel | F | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 5 | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| K. Pérez | F | 63 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Daniel Socarras | D | 14 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| F. Fydriszewski | F | 27 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| G. Paiva | F | 19 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Joel Canchimbo | F | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 14% | — | — | — |
| J. Sarmiento | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | — | — | — |
Once Caldas — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Parra | G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 37 | 27% | — | — | — |
| A. Correa | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 29% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D. Londoño | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 45 | 40% | — | — | — |
| J. Cardona | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | — | — | — |
| J. Cuesta | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 39 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Colorado | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 38% | 2 | 1 | — |
| M. Barrios | M | 76 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 19% | — | — | — |
| A. Roa | M | 59 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 45 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| Pipe Gómez | M | 72 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 44% | 2 | 1 | — |
| E. Torres | M | 76 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Zapata | F | 59 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 12% | — | — | — |
| D. Moreno | F | 14 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| H. Guzman | F | 14 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| J. Alvarado | M | 18 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 12 | 12% | — | — | — |
| J. Quiñónes | M | 31 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 16% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Zuleta | M | 31 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Junior vs Once Caldas?
The final score was Junior 1–1 Once Caldas.
What did the model predict before Junior vs Once Caldas?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Junior win, 27% to a draw, and 31% to an Once Caldas win.