L. Muriel
120'+1
(pen.)
J. Pena
120'+2
(pen.)
E. Herrera
120'+3
(pen.)
F. S. Angel Bernal
120'+4
(pen.)
T. Gutierrez
120'+5
(pen.)
(pen.)
120'+1
M. Lovera
(pen.)
120'+2
J. Obrian
(pen.)
120'+3
E. Olivera
(pen.)
120'+4
J. Torres
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Junior a 40% win probability (draw 24%, Santa Fe 34%). The final result was Junior 0–0 Santa Fe. In 3 previous meetings, Junior have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for Santa Fe.
Match statistics
16
Total shots
3
7
Shots on target
2
1.25
Actual xG
0.33
2
Saves
6
68%
Possession
32%
7
Corners
3
4
Tackles
10
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
5'
L. Palacios
/
C. Mafla
8'
H. Palacios
F. S. Angel Bernal
15'
L. Muriel
37'
46'
J. Torres
/
K. D. Toscano Bassa
59'
J. Obrian
/
Y. A. Perlaza Perea
60'
M. Lovera
/
O. Fernandez
F. S. Angel Bernal
/ J. Canchimbo
60'
G. Paiva
/ L. Muriel
60'
67'
A. Zapata
/
N. Bustos
70'
A. Zapata
J. Sarmiento
/ J. Rivas
72'
J. Guerrero
/ E. Herrera
84'
C. Barrios
/ T. Gutierrez
84'
90'
A. Mosquera
120'+1
(pen.)
M. Lovera⚽
⚽L. Muriel
(pen.)
120'+1
120'+2
(pen.)
J. Obrian⚽
⚽J. Pena
(pen.)
120'+2
120'+3
(pen.)
E. Olivera⚽
⚽E. Herrera
(pen.)
120'+3
120'+4
(pen.)
J. Torres⚽
⚽F. S. Angel Bernal
(pen.)
120'+4
120'+5
(missed pen.)
H. Rodallega⚽
⚽T. Gutierrez
(pen.)
120'+5
Pre-match prediction
40.26%
Junior
24.81%
X ←
34.92%
Santa
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
24.81%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.35
1.25
-0.1
1.37
0.33
-1.04
Junior dominated by xG (1.25 vs 0.33).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
M. Silveira
G
M. Silveira
G
26
Y. Súarez
D
Y. Súarez
D
98
Jermein Peña
1 ⚽
D
Jermein Peña
1 ⚽
D
5
D. Rivera
D
D. Rivera
D
34
Jhonier Guerrero
84'
D
Jhonier Guerrero
84'
D
14
J. Ríos
M
J. Ríos
M
80
F. Ángel
1 ⚽
M
F. Ángel
1 ⚽
M
88
B. Castrillón
60'
M
B. Castrillón
60'
M
20
J. Sarmiento
72'
M
J. Sarmiento
72'
M
77
C. Barrios
84'
M
C. Barrios
84'
M
9
G. Paiva
60'
F
G. Paiva
60'
F
Bench
38
Andrés Schmalbach
M
Andrés Schmalbach
M
19
Daniel Socarras
D
Daniel Socarras
D
3
E. Herrera
1 ⚽
11'
D
E. Herrera
1 ⚽
11'
D
24
Jean Carlos Pestaña
D
Jean Carlos Pestaña
D
22
Jesús Rivas
23'
M
Jesús Rivas
23'
M
30
J. Martínez
G
J. Martínez
G
21
Joel Canchimbo
35'
F
Joel Canchimbo
35'
F
10
L. Muriel
1 ⚽
35'
F
L. Muriel
1 ⚽
35'
F
29
T. Gutiérrez
1 ⚽
11'
F
T. Gutiérrez
1 ⚽
11'
F
1
A. Mosquera
G
A. Mosquera
G
32
C. Mafla
5'
D
C. Mafla
5'
D
3
V. Moreno
D
V. Moreno
D
18
E. Olivera
1 ⚽
D
E. Olivera
1 ⚽
D
13
H. Palacios
D
H. Palacios
D
8
O. Fernández
60'
M
O. Fernández
60'
M
6
K. Toscano
45'
M
K. Toscano
45'
M
16
D. Torres
M
D. Torres
M
27
Yeicar Perlaza
59'
M
Yeicar Perlaza
59'
M
19
N. Bustos
67'
F
N. Bustos
67'
F
11
H. Rodallega
F
H. Rodallega
F
Bench
10
A. Zapata
28'
M
A. Zapata
28'
M
15
I. Scarpeta
D
I. Scarpeta
D
7
Jhojan Torres
1 ⚽
50'
F
Jhojan Torres
1 ⚽
50'
F
77
J. Obrian
1 ⚽
36'
F
J. Obrian
1 ⚽
36'
F
14
L. Palacios
90'
F
L. Palacios
90'
F
40
Martin Palacios
F
Martin Palacios
F
17
M. Lovera
1 ⚽
35'
F
M. Lovera
1 ⚽
35'
F
12
Weibmar Asprilla
G
Weibmar Asprilla
G
Best on the pitch
A. Mosquera
G · Santa
7.90
· 29 pass
Jermein Peña
D · Junior
7.50
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 61 pass
J. Ríos
M · Junior
7.50
1 shots
· 58 pass
D. Torres
M · Santa
7.30
· 32 pass
F. Ángel
M · Junior
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 50 pass
Jhonier Guerrero
D · Junior
7.20
2 shots
· 56 pass
Junior — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Silveira | G | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Y. Súarez | D | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Jermein Peña | D | 95 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 3 | 61 | 51% | — | — | — |
| D. Rivera | D | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 42 | 35% | — | — | — |
| Jhonier Guerrero | D | 84 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 56 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Ríos | M | 95 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 58 | 53% | — | — | — |
| F. Ángel | M | 95 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 50 | 44% | 1 | 1 | — |
| B. Castrillón | M | 60 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | — | — | — |
| J. Sarmiento | M | 72 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 43 | 37% | — | — | — |
| C. Barrios | M | 84 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 41 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Paiva | F | 60 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Herrera | D | 11 | 6.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 13 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Jesús Rivas | M | 23 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Joel Canchimbo | F | 35 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| L. Muriel | F | 35 | 6.70 | 1 | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
| T. Gutiérrez | F | 11 | 6.60 | 1 | — | — | 10 | 10% | — | — | — |
Santa Fe — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Mosquera | G | 95 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 12% | — | 1 | — |
| C. Mafla | D | 5 | — | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
| V. Moreno | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Olivera | D | 95 | 7.00 | 1 | — | — | 15 | 14% | — | — | — |
| H. Palacios | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 12% | 2 | 1 | — |
| O. Fernández | M | 60 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 11 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Toscano | M | 45 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| D. Torres | M | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Yeicar Perlaza | M | 59 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
| N. Bustos | F | 67 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| H. Rodallega | F | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 11% | — | — | — |
| A. Zapata | M | 28 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
| Jhojan Torres | F | 50 | 7.20 | 1 | — | — | 14 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Obrian | F | 36 | 6.70 | 1 | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| L. Palacios | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Lovera | F | 35 | 6.70 | 1 | — | — | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Junior vs Santa Fe?
The final score was Junior 0–0 Santa Fe.
What did the model predict before Junior vs Santa Fe?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Junior win, 24% to a draw, and 34% to an Santa Fe win.