Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 5
May 21, 2026 04:00
L. Muriel
9'
K. Perez
(ast. J. Rivas)
28'
L. Muriel
(ast. E. Herrera)
36'
45'+5
(ast. A. J. Posito Olazabal)
Y. Yotun
56'
G. Cazonatti
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Junior a 48% win probability (draw 27%, Sporting Cristal 23%). The final result was Junior 3–2 Sporting Cristal. In 1 previous meetings, Junior have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Sporting Cristal.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
15
8
Shots on target
5
1.92
Actual xG
1.19
3
Saves
5
50%
Possession
50%
4
Corners
6
6
Tackles
19
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽L. Muriel
9'
⚽K. Perez
· ast. J. Rivas
28'
⚽L. Muriel
· ast. E. Herrera
36'
45'+5
ast. A. J. Posito Olazabal ·
Y. Yotun⚽
46'
Cristiano
/
A. J. Posito Olazabal
46'
Gabriel
/
L. Sosa
46'
F. Vizeu
/
I. Avila
J. Rivas
/ F. S. Angel Bernal
55'
J. Canchimbo
/ C. Barrios
55'
56'
G. Cazonatti⚽
H. Rivera
/ J. Sarmiento
63'
L. Muriel
/ T. Gutierrez
63'
J. Sarmiento
66'
J. Navia
/ Y. Suarez
71'
73'
C. Cabellos
/
G. Cazonatti
84'
M. Rodriguez
/
M. Tavara
Y. Suarez
85'
90'+7
Cristiano
Pre-match prediction
48.15%
Junior ←
27.93%
X
23.92%
Sporting
we assigned to the actual result (Junior)
48.15%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.25
1.92
+0.67
0.78
1.19
+0.41
Junior dominated by xG (1.92 vs 1.19).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
30
Jefersson Martínez
G
Jefersson Martínez
G
27
Jhon Navia
71'
D
Jhon Navia
71'
D
5
Daniel Rivera
D
Daniel Rivera
D
24
Jean Carlos Pestaña
D
Jean Carlos Pestaña
D
3
Edwin Herrera
1 👟
D
Edwin Herrera
1 👟
D
22
Jesús Rivas
1 👟
55'
M
Jesús Rivas
1 👟
55'
M
7
Harold Rivera
63'
M
Harold Rivera
63'
M
18
Kevin Pérez
1 ⚽
M
Kevin Pérez
1 ⚽
M
8
Yimmi Chará
M
Yimmi Chará
M
21
Joel Canchimbo
55'
M
Joel Canchimbo
55'
M
10
L. Muriel
2 ⚽
63'
F
L. Muriel
2 ⚽
63'
F
Bench
38
Andrés Schmalbach
M
Andrés Schmalbach
M
88
Bryan Castrillón
F
Bryan Castrillón
F
70
Carlos Bacca
F
Carlos Bacca
F
77
Cristian Barrios
42'
F
Cristian Barrios
42'
F
80
Fabián Ángel
42'
M
Fabián Ángel
42'
M
9
Guillermo Paiva
F
Guillermo Paiva
F
20
Jannenson Sarmiento
34'
M
Jannenson Sarmiento
34'
M
34
Jhonier Guerrero
D
Jhonier Guerrero
D
14
Juan David Ríos
M
Juan David Ríos
M
1
Mauro Silveira
G
Mauro Silveira
G
29
T. Gutiérrez
34'
F
T. Gutiérrez
34'
F
26
Yeison Suárez
26'
D
Yeison Suárez
26'
D
1
Diego Enríquez
G
Diego Enríquez
G
5
R. Lutiger
D
R. Lutiger
D
96
Luis Abram
D
Luis Abram
D
15
Alejandro Pósito
1 👟
45'
D
Alejandro Pósito
1 👟
45'
D
8
Leandro Sosa
45'
D
Leandro Sosa
45'
D
25
G. Távara
84'
M
G. Távara
84'
M
55
Gustavo Cazonatti
1 ⚽
73'
M
Gustavo Cazonatti
1 ⚽
73'
M
18
J. González
M
J. González
M
19
Y. Yotún
1 ⚽
M
Y. Yotún
1 ⚽
M
23
M. Castro
M
M. Castro
M
11
Irven Ávila
45'
F
Irven Ávila
45'
F
Bench
34
Carlos Del Valle
M
Carlos Del Valle
M
21
Catriel Cabellos
24'
M
Catriel Cabellos
24'
M
33
César Bautista
G
César Bautista
G
14
Cristian Benavente
F
Cristian Benavente
F
90
Cristiano
52'
D
Cristiano
52'
D
28
Diego Otoya
F
Diego Otoya
F
9
Felipe Vizeu
52'
F
Felipe Vizeu
52'
F
27
Gabriel Santana
52'
M
Gabriel Santana
52'
M
26
Ian Wisdom
M
Ian Wisdom
M
41
Joao Cuenca
D
Joao Cuenca
D
32
Leonardo Díaz
D
Leonardo Díaz
D
97
Mateo Rodríguez
13'
F
Mateo Rodríguez
13'
F
Best on the pitch
L. Muriel
F · Junior
8.50
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 18 pass
Gustavo Cazonatti
M · Sporting
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 32 pass
Y. Yotún
M · Sporting
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 48 pass
G. Távara
M · Sporting
7.50
1 shots
· 30 pass
J. González
M · Sporting
7.20
2 shots
· 37 pass
Kevin Pérez
M · Junior
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 39 pass
Junior — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jefersson Martínez | G | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 27 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Jhon Navia | D | 71 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Daniel Rivera | D | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 33 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| Jean Carlos Pestaña | D | 97 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 36% | — | — | — |
| Edwin Herrera | D | 97 | 6.50 | — | 1 | — | 52 | 48% | — | — | — |
| Jesús Rivas | M | 55 | 6.70 | — | 1 | 1 | 26 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Harold Rivera | M | 63 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Kevin Pérez | M | 97 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 39 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Yimmi Chará | M | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| Joel Canchimbo | M | 55 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 17 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Muriel | F | 63 | 8.50 | 2 | — | 3 | 18 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Cristian Barrios | F | 42 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Fabián Ángel | M | 42 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Jannenson Sarmiento | M | 34 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
| T. Gutiérrez | F | 34 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Yeison Suárez | D | 26 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | 1 | — |
Sporting Cristal — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diego Enríquez | G | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 23% | — | — | — |
| R. Lutiger | D | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 39 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| Luis Abram | D | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 54 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| Alejandro Pósito | D | 45 | 6.00 | — | 1 | — | 23 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Leandro Sosa | D | 45 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| G. Távara | M | 84 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| Gustavo Cazonatti | M | 73 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 32 | 26% | 4 | — | — |
| J. González | M | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 37 | 29% | 4 | — | — |
| Y. Yotún | M | 97 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 3 | 48 | 40% | — | — | — |
| M. Castro | M | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Irven Ávila | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Catriel Cabellos | M | 24 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 11 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Cristiano | D | 52 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Felipe Vizeu | F | 52 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Santana | M | 52 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Mateo Rodríguez | F | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Junior vs Sporting Cristal?
The final score was Junior 3–2 Sporting Cristal.
What did the model predict before Junior vs Sporting Cristal?
The model assigned 48% probability to a Junior win, 27% to a draw, and 23% to an Sporting Cristal win.