← Copa Sudamericana
Copa Sudamericana · Group Stage - 4 May 06, 2026 00:00
Juventud
#3 · 5 pts
2 – 2
Final score
Atletico-MG
#4 · 4 pts
P. Lago (ast. A. Cruz) 78'
M. Perez (ast. R. Chagas) 87'
37' A. Minda
77' (ast. Gustavo Scarpa) Vitor Hugo

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Juventud a 48% win probability (draw 26%, Atletico-MG 25%). The final result was Juventud 2–2 Atletico-MG. In 1 previous meetings, Juventud have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Atletico-MG.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
8
8
Shots on target
6
1.98
Actual xG
0.78
3
Saves
6
53%
Possession
47%
8
Corners
5
14
Tackles
15
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
37'
A. Minda⚽
46'
Gustavo Scarpa / Bernard ↕
46'
T. Perez / Maycon ↕
↕ F. Perez / P. Lago
57'
↕ J. Boselli / R. Peralta
57'
59'
Ruan Tressoldi
65'
Reinier / M. Cassierra ↕
66'
Dudu / A. Minda ↕
↕ F. Mimbacas / M. Perez
73'
↕ D. Morosini / R. Chagas
73'
77'
ast. Gustavo Scarpa · Vitor Hugo⚽
⚽P. Lago · ast. A. Cruz
78'
↕ E. Cecchini / S. Guerrero
80'
⚽M. Perez · ast. R. Chagas
87'
Pre-match prediction
48.5%
Juventud
26.47%
X ←
25.02%
Atletico-MG
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 26.47% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Juventud
1.47
1.98
+0.51
Atletico-MG
0.70
0.78
+0.08
Juventud dominated by xG (1.98 vs 0.78). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Atletico Torque Atletico Torque 4 9
1 Cienciano Cienciano 4 7
1 Botafogo Botafogo 4 10
1 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 4 7
1 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 4 8
1 River Plate River Plate 4 10
1 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 4 6
1 Macara Macara 4 8
2 Gremio Gremio 4 7
2 Olimpia Olimpia 4 7
2 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 4 6
2 America de Cali America de Cali 4 7
2 Puerto Cabello Puerto Cabello 4 6
2 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 4 5
2 O'Higgins O'Higgins 4 7
2 Caracas FC Caracas FC 4 8
3 Racing Club Racing Club 4 4
3 Juventud Juventud 4 5
3 Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta 4 4
3 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra 4 4
3 Carabobo FC Carabobo FC 4 6
3 Tigre Tigre 4 5
3 A. Italiano A. Italiano 4 4
3 Millonarios Millonarios 4 7
4 Barracas Central Barracas Central 4 3
4 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 4 1
4 Santos Santos 4 3
4 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 4 4
4 Boston River Boston River 4 0
4 Blooming Blooming 4 1
4 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 4 0
4 Palestino Palestino 4 2
Lineups
Juventud Juventud 4-1-4-1
1
G 6.30
16
Renzo Rabino D 6.20
23
Emmanuel Más D 6.60
2
Patricio Pernicone D 7.20
5
David Morosini 73' D 6.30
19
E. Cecchini 80' M 6.50
15 A. Cruz A. Cruz 1 👟 M 7.50
21
Facundo Perez 57' M 6.20
14 L. Roldán L. Roldán M 6.20
27
Juan Boselli 57' M 7.50
80
Fernando Mimbacas 73' F 7.30
Bench
28
Franco Risso D
26
Gastón Pereiro M
30
Gonzalo Gomez M
9
Marcelo Perez 1 ⚽ 17' F 7.90
8
Mateo Izaguirre M
11 P. Lago P. Lago 1 ⚽ 33' F 7.30
37
Ramiro Peralta 33' M 6.50
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 3-4-2-1
22
G 7.60
14 Vitor Hugo Vitor Hugo 1 ⚽ D 7.30
4 Ruan Ruan D 6.60
13
Lyanco D 6.60
16 Renan Lodi Renan Lodi M 6.90
8 Maycon Maycon 45' M 6.90
21
A. Franco M 6.20
2 Natanael Natanael M 6.30
11 Bernard Bernard 45' F 6.30
27 Alan Minda Alan Minda 1 ⚽ 66' F 7.60
9 Mateo Cassierra Mateo Cassierra 65' F 6.90
Bench
5 Alexsander Alexsander M
29 Cauã Campos Soares Cauã Campos Soares F
92 Dudu Dudu 24' F 6.70
10
Gustavo Scarpa 1 👟 45' M 6.90
17 Igor Gomes Igor Gomes M
6 J. Alonso J. Alonso D
19 Reinier Reinier 25' M 6.30
25 Tomás Pérez Tomás Pérez 45' M 6.90
Best on the pitch
Marcelo Perez
F · Juventud
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 7 pass
Alan Minda
Alan Minda
F · Atletico-MG
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots · 17 pass
G · Atletico-MG
7.60
· 52 pass
A. Cruz
A. Cruz
M · Juventud
7.50
1 👟
2 shots · 37 pass
Juan Boselli
M · Juventud
7.50
1 shots · 17 pass
P. Lago
P. Lago
F · Juventud
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 11 pass
Juventud Juventud — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.30 — — — 20 16% — — —
Renzo Rabino D 90 6.20 — — — 44 34% 1 — —
Emmanuel Más D 90 6.60 — — — 64 58% 2 — —
Patricio Pernicone D 90 7.20 — — — 67 57% 2 — —
David Morosini D 73 6.30 — — — 26 18% — — —
E. Cecchini M 80 6.50 — — 1 56 50% 1 — —
A. Cruz M 90 7.50 — 1 2 37 29% 1 — —
Facundo Perez M 57 6.20 — — 2 20 15% — — —
L. Roldán M 90 6.20 — — 2 36 26% 1 — —
Juan Boselli M 57 7.50 — — 1 17 14% 2 — —
Fernando Mimbacas F 73 7.30 — — — 9 3% 3 — —
Marcelo Perez F 17 7.90 1 — 1 7 6% — — —
P. Lago F 33 7.30 1 — 1 11 8% — — —
Ramiro Peralta M 33 6.50 — — 1 25 21% 1 — —
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.60 — — — 52 34% — — —
Vitor Hugo D 90 7.30 1 — 1 59 51% — — —
Ruan D 90 6.60 — — — 43 40% 1 1 —
Lyanco D 90 6.60 — — 1 41 34% 2 — —
Renan Lodi M 90 6.90 — — — 36 29% 3 — —
Maycon M 45 6.90 — — — 32 28% — — —
A. Franco M 90 6.20 — — 1 37 23% 2 — —
Natanael M 90 6.30 — — 1 35 24% 1 — —
Bernard F 45 6.30 — — — 20 15% — — —
Alan Minda F 66 7.60 1 — 2 17 11% — — —
Mateo Cassierra F 65 6.90 — — 1 9 7% 1 — —
Dudu F 24 6.70 — — — 6 5% — — —
Gustavo Scarpa M 45 6.90 — 1 1 12 8% 1 — —
Reinier M 25 6.30 — — — 7 6% — — —
Tomás Pérez M 45 6.90 — — — 17 15% 4 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Juventud vs Atletico-MG?
The final score was Juventud 2–2 Atletico-MG.
What did the model predict before Juventud vs Atletico-MG?
The model assigned 48% probability to a Juventud win, 26% to a draw, and 25% to an Atletico-MG win.