Copa Sudamericana
· Group Stage - 1
April 10, 2026 00:00
L. Roldan
(ast. A. Cruz)
36'
88'
(ast. C. Souza Espana)
C. Garces
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cienciano a 37% win probability (draw 32%, Juventud 30%). The final result was Juventud 1–1 Cienciano. In 1 previous meetings, Juventud have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Cienciano.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
6
3
Shots on target
3
1.64
Actual xG
0.44
2
Saves
2
55%
Possession
45%
3
Corners
7
13
Tackles
23
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽L. Roldan
· ast. A. Cruz
36'
I. Mujica
/ P. Lago
55'
58'
S. Cavero
63'
M. Succar
/
S. Cavero
A. Cruz
/ A. Alaniz
75'
G. Pereiro
/ M. Perez
76'
76'
A. Rojas
/
G. Barreto
F. Perez
80'
F. Mimbacas
/ M. Izaguirre
81'
F. Perez
/ S. Guerrero
81'
86'
G. Aguirre
/
A. Robles
88'
ast. C. Souza Espana ·
C. Garces⚽
Pre-match prediction
30.06%
Juventud
32.3%
X ←
37.64%
Cienciano
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
32.3%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.88
1.64
+0.76
1.13
0.44
-0.69
Juventud dominated by xG (1.64 vs 0.44).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
23
Emmanuel Más
D
5
David Morosini
D
2
Patricio Pernicone
D
25
I. Mujica
55'
D
21
Facundo Perez
81'
M
19
Emanuel Cecchini
M
14
Leonel Roldán
1 ⚽
M
15
A. Cruz
1 👟
75'
F
A. Cruz
1 👟
75'
F
80
Fernando Mimbacas
81'
F
26
Gastón Pereiro
75'
F
Bench
7
A. Alaniz
15'
F
28
Franco Risso
D
Franco Risso
D
30
Gonzalo Gomez
M
27
Juan Boselli
F
9
Marcelo Perez
15'
F
8
Mateo Izaguirre
9'
M
11
P. Lago
35'
F
P. Lago
35'
F
16
Renzo Rabino
D
31
G
14
Sebastian Cavero
64'
D
Sebastian Cavero
64'
D
3
Kevin Becerra
D
Kevin Becerra
D
4
Maximiliano Amondarain
D
Maximiliano Amondarain
D
13
Claudio Nunez
D
Claudio Nunez
D
29
Ademar Robles
86'
M
Ademar Robles
86'
M
88
Gerson Barreto
75'
M
Gerson Barreto
75'
M
11
N. Bandiera
M
N. Bandiera
M
10
A. Hohberg
M
A. Hohberg
M
7
C. Souza
1 👟
M
C. Souza
1 👟
M
21
C. Garcés
1 ⚽
F
C. Garcés
1 ⚽
F
Bench
27
Alonso Yovera
D
Alonso Yovera
D
37
Alvaro Rojas
15'
M
Alvaro Rojas
15'
M
8
Gonzalo Aguirre
12'
M
Gonzalo Aguirre
12'
M
39
Henry Caparó
M
Henry Caparó
M
16
Marcos Martinich
D
Marcos Martinich
D
19
Matías Succar
26'
F
Matías Succar
26'
F
17
Ray Sandoval
F
Ray Sandoval
F
Best on the pitch
Leonel Roldán
M · Juventud
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 43 pass
C. Garcés
F · Cienciano
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 14 pass
A. Cruz
F · Juventud
7.30
1 👟
1 shots
· 18 pass
G · Cienciano
7.20
· 33 pass
Fernando Mimbacas
F · Juventud
7.20
3 shots
· 10 pass
Gastón Pereiro
F · Juventud
7.00
1 shots
· 27 pass
Juventud — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 12% | — | — | — | |
| Emmanuel Más | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| David Morosini | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| Patricio Pernicone | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Mujica | D | 55 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| Facundo Perez | M | 81 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 31 | 20% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Emanuel Cecchini | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 53 | 41% | — | — | — |
| Leonel Roldán | M | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 43 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Cruz | F | 75 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 18 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Fernando Mimbacas | F | 81 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 10 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Gastón Pereiro | F | 75 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Alaniz | F | 15 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Marcelo Perez | F | 15 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 9 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Mateo Izaguirre | M | 9 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| P. Lago | F | 35 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
Cienciano — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 33 | 20% | — | — | — | |
| Sebastian Cavero | D | 64 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 15% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Kevin Becerra | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 34 | 22% | 4 | — | — |
| Maximiliano Amondarain | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 33 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Claudio Nunez | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| Ademar Robles | M | 86 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| Gerson Barreto | M | 75 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| N. Bandiera | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Hohberg | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 32 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Souza | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 23 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Garcés | F | 90 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 14 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Alvaro Rojas | M | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Gonzalo Aguirre | M | 12 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | 3 | — | — |
| Matías Succar | F | 26 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Juventud vs Cienciano?
The final score was Juventud 1–1 Cienciano.
What did the model predict before Juventud vs Cienciano?
The model assigned 30% probability to a Juventud win, 32% to a draw, and 37% to an Cienciano win.