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Juventude - Atletico-MG

Copa do Brasil August 05, 2026 00:30
Juventude
vs
Atletico-MG
⚡ Pre-match analysis
46.5%
Win
Juventude
28.69%
Draw
24.82%
Win
Atletico-MG
1.57
Expected xG
0.89

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (13.03%)
1X2 Result
1 47%
X 29%
2 25%
Double Chance
1X 75%
X2 54%
12 71%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 82%
Over 2.5 70%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Juventude a 46% win probability, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Atletico-MG. Expected goals are 1.6 for Juventude and 0.9 for Atletico-MG (total 2.5), with a 81% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 13.03% probability.

Season Stats

Juventude
3W 1D 2L
Atletico-MG
5W 1D 4L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
1.6
0.7
Conceded
1.1
7.0
Shots OT
6.8
9.0
Corners
7.1
55%
Poss.
61%
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
80%
50%
O 2.5
50%
33%
BTTS
40%
33%
Clean Sht
30%
ℹ Based on the last 10 matches in Copa do Brasil. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
44%
O 3.5
37%
BTTS
Juventude
3W 0D 0L · at home
Atletico-MG
2W 1D 2L · away
3.7
gls/g
1.2
0.3
Conceded
1.2
100%
Win %
40%
100%
Win or Draw
60%
100%
O 1.5
80%
100%
O 2.5
40%
67%
O 3.5
20%
33%
BTTS
40%
67%
Clean Sht
40%
0%
Failed to Score
20%
last 5
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Juventude Atletico-MG →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.5% 7.6% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% —
1 13.3% 11.9% 5.3% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.5% 9.4% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% —
3 5.5% 4.9% 2.2% 0.7% 0.1% —
4 2.2% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% —
5 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% — —

Recent form

Juventude Juventude
W Sao Paulo 3–1
L Sao Paulo 1–0
W Águia de Marabá 3–0
D Tuna Luso 1–1
W Guaporé 5–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 62%
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG
L Ceara 2–1
W Ceara 2–1
L Cruzeiro 2–0
L Cruzeiro 0–2
L Flamengo 0–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 16%

Playing profile

Juventude Juventude
Attack
39
Defence
80
Form
72
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG
Attack
37
Defence
68
Form
64
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Juventude vs Atletico-MG?
The model gives Juventude a 46% win probability, 28% for a draw, and 24% for an Atletico-MG win.
How many goals are expected in Juventude vs Atletico-MG?
Expected goals: Juventude 1.6, Atletico-MG 0.9 (total 2.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 81%.
What is the most likely score in Juventude vs Atletico-MG?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.03%.