Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 20
July 29, 2026 00:30
✓Model correct — prediction Juventude
Lucas Alves
(ast. Rodrigo Sam)
90'+3
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Juventude a 66% win probability (draw 20%, Avai 12%). The final result was Juventude 1–0 Avai. In 1 previous meetings, Juventude have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Avai.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
4
6
Shots on target
0
0.78
Actual xG
0.16
1
Saves
5
55%
Possession
45%
3
Corners
3
19
Tackles
12
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
47'
Allyson
Nathan Santos
/ Aderlan
61'
Fabio Lima
/ Alan Kardec
61'
Rodrigo Sam
62'
66'
Paulo Vitor
/
Ze Ricardo
66'
Reynaldo
/
Allyson
MP
/ Luan Martins
68'
Alisson Safira
/ Lucas Alves
78'
Patryck
/ Diogo Barbosa
78'
82'
Daniel Penha
83'
William
/
Jean Lucas
83'
Gabriel Cipriano
/
Thayllon
⚽Lucas Alves
· ast. Rodrigo Sam
90'+3
90'+7
Isaias
/
Wallison
Pre-match prediction
66.76%
Juventude ←
20.31%
X
12.93%
Avai
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Juventude)
66.76%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.87
0.78
-1.09
0.55
0.16
-0.39
Juventude dominated by xG (0.78 vs 0.16).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
93
Jandrei
G
Jandrei
G
47
Marcos Paulo
D
Marcos Paulo
D
4
Messias
D
Messias
D
34
Rodrigo Sam
1 👟
D
Rodrigo Sam
1 👟
D
30
Patryck
78'
M
Patryck
78'
M
8
Lucas Mineiro
M
Lucas Mineiro
M
75
Raí
M
Raí
M
22
Nathan
61'
M
Nathan
61'
M
10
Marcos Paulo
68'
F
Marcos Paulo
68'
F
11
Fábio Lima
61'
F
Fábio Lima
61'
F
25
Alisson Safira
78'
F
Alisson Safira
78'
F
Bench
13
Aderlan
37'
D
Aderlan
37'
D
9
Alan Kardec
37'
F
Alan Kardec
37'
F
16
Diogo Barbosa
20'
D
Diogo Barbosa
20'
D
97
Gabriel Pinheiro
D
Gabriel Pinheiro
D
26
Iba Ly
D
Iba Ly
D
5
Luan Martins Gonçalves
30'
D
Luan Martins Gonçalves
30'
D
72
Lucas Alves
1 ⚽
20'
F
Lucas Alves
1 ⚽
20'
F
17
Manuel Castro
F
Manuel Castro
F
7
Pablo Roberto
M
Pablo Roberto
M
12
Pedro Rocha
G
Pedro Rocha
G
2
Raí Ramos
D
Raí Ramos
D
3
Titi
D
Titi
D
1
Igor Bohn
G
Igor Bohn
G
36
Douglas Teixeira
D
Douglas Teixeira
D
38
Jefferson Maciel
D
Jefferson Maciel
D
3
Allyson
66'
D
Allyson
66'
D
2
Wallison
D
Wallison
D
8
Luiz Henrique
M
Luiz Henrique
M
77
Zé Ricardo
66'
M
Zé Ricardo
66'
M
10
Jean Lucas
83'
M
Jean Lucas
83'
M
14
Daniel Penha
M
Daniel Penha
M
43
Thayllon Roberth
83'
M
Thayllon Roberth
83'
M
9
Léo Gamalho
F
Léo Gamalho
F
Bench
39
Gabriel Cipriano
15'
F
Gabriel Cipriano
15'
F
4
Gabriel Pereira Simples
D
Gabriel Pereira Simples
D
20
Isaías Pereira
1'
F
Isaías Pereira
1'
F
17
Juan Sousa Rocha Leandro
F
Juan Sousa Rocha Leandro
F
66
Mateus Quaresma
D
Mateus Quaresma
D
21
Otávio
G
Otávio
G
25
Paulo Vitor
32'
M
Paulo Vitor
32'
M
40
Reynaldo
32'
D
Reynaldo
32'
D
5
Romildo Del Piage
M
Romildo Del Piage
M
11
Sorriso
F
Sorriso
F
95
Wenderson
M
Wenderson
M
56
William Fernando
15'
D
William Fernando
15'
D
Best on the pitch
Rodrigo Sam
D · Juventude
8.00
1 👟
· 43 pass
Raí
M · Juventude
7.70
· 22 pass
Alisson Safira
F · Juventude
7.60
3 shots
· 11 pass
Lucas Alves
F · Juventude
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 2 pass
Marcos Paulo
D · Juventude
7.50
1 shots
· 32 pass
Igor Bohn
G · Avai
7.30
· 27 pass
Juventude — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jandrei | G | 98 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Marcos Paulo | D | 98 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 15% | 5 | — | — |
| Messias | D | 98 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 21 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Sam | D | 98 | 8.00 | — | 1 | — | 43 | 26% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Patryck | M | 78 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 11 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| Lucas Mineiro | M | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Raí | M | 98 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Nathan | M | 61 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| Marcos Paulo | F | 68 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Fábio Lima | F | 61 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Alisson Safira | F | 78 | 7.60 | — | — | 3 | 11 | 3% | 3 | — | — |
| Aderlan | D | 37 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Alan Kardec | F | 37 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Diogo Barbosa | D | 20 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
| Luan Martins Gonçalves | D | 30 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Alves | F | 20 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Avai — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Igor Bohn | G | 98 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Douglas Teixeira | D | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 5% | 4 | — | — |
| Jefferson Maciel | D | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Allyson | D | 66 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 7% | — | 1 | — |
| Wallison | D | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 9% | 3 | — | — |
| Luiz Henrique | M | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Zé Ricardo | M | 66 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Jean Lucas | M | 83 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Daniel Penha | M | 98 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 29 | 20% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Thayllon Roberth | M | 83 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Léo Gamalho | F | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Gabriel Cipriano | F | 15 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Isaías Pereira | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Paulo Vitor | M | 32 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 9 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Reynaldo | D | 32 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| William Fernando | D | 15 | 6.20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Juventude vs Avai?
The final score was Juventude 1–0 Avai.
What did the model predict before Juventude vs Avai?
The model assigned 66% probability to a Juventude win, 20% to a draw, and 12% to an Avai win.