Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 13
June 14, 2026 16:00
MP
14'
MP
30'
Fabio Lima
53'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Juventude a 51% win probability (draw 26%, Ponte Preta 21%). The final result was Juventude 3–0 Ponte Preta.
Match statistics
9
Shots on target
1
2.93
Actual xG
0.37
62%
Possession
38%
7
Corners
2
Match Events
⚽MP
14'
⚽MP
30'
37'
42'
S. Palacios
⚽Alisson Safira
(missed pen.)
45'+6
46'
Miguel Morais
/
David da Hora
46'
Kevyson
/
Brandao
Marcos Paulo
48'
⚽Fabio Lima
53'
Marcos Paulo
/ Titi
57'
Lucas Mineiro
/ Luan Martins
57'
57'
Julio
/
Thalys
62'
Julio
63'
Gustavo Telles
/
Leo Gomes
65'
S. Palacios
65'
S. Palacios
Diogo Barbosa
/ Patryck
67'
Alisson Safira
/ Mandaca
67'
70'
Jonathan Cafu
/
Diego Tavares
Rai Silva
/ Ray Breno
78'
Pre-match prediction
51.8%
Juventude ←
26.67%
X
21.52%
Ponte
we assigned to the actual result (Juventude)
51.8%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.53
2.93
+1.4
0.86
0.37
-0.49
Juventude dominated by xG (2.93 vs 0.37).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Juventude vs Ponte Preta?
The final score was Juventude 3–0 Ponte Preta.
What did the model predict before Juventude vs Ponte Preta?
The model assigned 51% probability to a Juventude win, 26% to a draw, and 21% to an Ponte Preta win.