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← Brasileirão Série B
#2 · 38 pts
3 – 0
Final score
#20 · 9 pts
MP 14'
MP 30'
Fabio Lima 53'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Juventude a 51% win probability (draw 26%, Ponte Preta 21%). The final result was Juventude 3–0 Ponte Preta.

Match statistics
9
Shots on target
1
2.93
Actual xG
0.37
62%
Possession
38%
7
Corners
2
Match Events
MP
14'
MP
30'
37'
42'
S. Palacios
Alisson Safira (missed pen.)
45'+6
46'
Miguel Morais / David da Hora
46'
Kevyson / Brandao
Marcos Paulo
48'
Fabio Lima
53'
Marcos Paulo / Titi
57'
Lucas Mineiro / Luan Martins
57'
57'
Julio / Thalys
62'
Julio
63'
Gustavo Telles / Leo Gomes
65'
S. Palacios
65'
S. Palacios
Diogo Barbosa / Patryck
67'
Alisson Safira / Mandaca
67'
70'
Jonathan Cafu / Diego Tavares
Rai Silva / Ray Breno
78'
Pre-match prediction
51.8%
Juventude ←
26.67%
X
21.52%
Ponte
we assigned to the actual result (Juventude) 51.8% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Juventude
1.53
2.93
+1.4
Ponte
0.86
0.37
-0.49
Juventude dominated by xG (2.93 vs 0.37). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Criciuma Criciuma 21 40
2 Juventude Juventude 21 38
3 Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC 21 35
4 Operario-PR Operario-PR 21 35
5 Vila Nova Vila Nova 21 34
6 Novorizontino Novorizontino 21 33
7 CRB CRB 21 32
8 Goias Goias 21 32
9 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 21 32
10 Sport Recife Sport Recife 21 32
11 Athletic Club Athletic Club 21 31
12 São Bernardo São Bernardo 21 30
13 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 21 27
14 Nautico Recife Nautico Recife 21 26
15 Cuiaba Cuiaba 21 26
16 Ceara Ceara 21 25
17 Londrina Londrina 21 20
18 Avai Avai 21 20
19 America Mineiro America Mineiro 21 11
20 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 21 9
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Juventude vs Ponte Preta?
The final score was Juventude 3–0 Ponte Preta.
What did the model predict before Juventude vs Ponte Preta?
The model assigned 51% probability to a Juventude win, 26% to a draw, and 21% to an Ponte Preta win.