Juventude 2–2 São Bernardo — pre-match prediction — Brasileirão Série B — October 11, 2026

← Brasileirão Série B

Brasileirão Série B · Regular Season - 33 October 11, 2026 21:00

Juventude

#2 · 64 pts

2 – 2

Final score

São Bernardo

#11 · 49 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction Juventude, result Draw

sam rodrigo (ast. Raí da Silva Pessanha) 23'

Raí da Silva Pessanha (ast. Marcos Paulo) 69'

(pen.) 45'+2 Felipe Garcia

49' (ast. Felipe Garcia) Lucas Fernandes

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Juventude a 56% win probability (draw 23%, São Bernardo 20%). The final result was Juventude 2–2 São Bernardo. In 1 previous meetings, Juventude have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for São Bernardo.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

2.62

Actual xG

1.41

Saves

54%

Possession

46%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

⚽sam rodrigo · ast. Raí da Silva Pessanha

23'

31'

Alex Alves

35'

Jemerson

45'+2

(pen.) Felipe Garcia⚽

Maurício Nogueira Barbieri

45'+6

45'

↕ Fabio lima / Manuel Castro

45'

Marcos Paulo Lima Batista Silva

46'

49'

ast. Felipe Garcia · Lucas Fernandes⚽

↕ Raí Ramos / Nathan·Santos de Araujo

61'

↕ Marcos Paulo Lima Batista Silva / Juan

61'

63'

Lucas Eduardo·Lima da Silva

65'

Pedro Vitor Ferreira da Silva / Felipe Garcia ↕

65'

Lucas Rian Santos Oliveira / Pedro Gabriel Pereira Lopes ↕

⚽Raí da Silva Pessanha · ast. Marcos Paulo

69'

76'

Hyoran / Lucas Fernandes ↕

↕ Marcos Paulo / Alan Kardec

78'

↕ Gabriel Pires / Luan Martins·Goncalves

83'

86'

Foguinho / Lucas Eduardo·Lima da Silva ↕

86'

Hugo Sanches Nogueira Ribeiro Magalhães / Pará ↕

90'+3

Rodrigo Ferreira

Pre-match prediction

56.59%

Juventude

23.14%

X ←

20.27%

São

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 23.14% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Juventude

1.69

2.62

+0.93

São

0.90

1.41

+0.51

Juventude dominated by xG (2.62 vs 1.41). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Novorizontino	35	64
2	Juventude	35	64
3	Vila Nova	35	62
4	Fortaleza EC	35	61
5	Criciuma	35	59
6	CRB	35	55
7	Sport Recife	35	54
8	Atletico Goianiense	35	54
9	Goias	35	52
10	Operario-PR	35	51
11	São Bernardo	35	49
12	Botafogo SP	35	47
13	Cuiaba	35	47
14	Athletic Club	35	44
15	Nautico Recife	35	43
16	Ceara	35	43
17	Avai	35	37
18	Londrina	35	32
19	America Mineiro	35	23
20	Ponte Preta	35	15

Lineups

Juventude 3-4-3

Jandrei G 6.56

Marcos Paulo 1 👟 61' D 6.29

Messias D 6.90

Rodrigo Sam 1 ⚽ D 7.38

Diogo Barbosa M 6.13

Gabriel Pires 83' M 6.31

Raí 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 9.00

Raí Ramos 61' M 6.17

Marcos Paulo 1 👟 78' F 6.96

Alisson Safira F 6.49

Fábio Lima 45' F 6.71

Bench

Alan Kardec 12' F 6.40

Gabriel Pinheiro D 0.00

I. Ly D 0.00

Juan Christian 29' F 6.41

Luan Gonçalves 7' D 6.15

Lucas Alves F 0.00

Lucas Mineiro M 0.00

M. Castro 45' F 6.04

Nathan 29' D 6.56

Pedro Rocha G 0.00

Titi D 0.00

Wadson D 0.00

São Bernardo 5-4-1

Alex Alves G 5.81

Pará 86' D 6.60

Augusto D 7.66

Jemerson D 6.29

Marcão D 6.72

Rodrigo Ferreira D 6.17

Pedrinho 65' M 5.89

Eduardo M 6.68

Lucas Lima 86' M 5.76

Lucas Fernandes 1 ⚽ 76' M 7.13

Felipe Garcia 1 ⚽ 1 👟 65' F 7.65

Bench

Breninho M 0.00

D. Davi F 0.00

Echaporã F 0.00

Foguinho 4' M 6.08

Hugo Sanches 4' D 6.38

Hyoran 14' M 6.07

Júnior Oliveira G 0.00

Lucas 25' F 6.57

Pedro Vitor 25' F 6.55

Romisson M 0.00

Best on the pitch

Raí

M · Juventude

9.00

1 ⚽ 1 👟

5 shots · 38 pass

Augusto

D · São

7.66

2 shots · 40 pass

Felipe Garcia

F · São

7.65

1 ⚽ 1 👟

1 shots · 19 pass

Rodrigo Sam

D · Juventude

7.38

1 ⚽

1 shots · 70 pass

Lucas Fernandes

M · São

7.13

1 ⚽

2 shots · 24 pass

Marcos Paulo

F · Juventude

6.96

1 👟

· 41 pass

Juventude — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Jandrei	G	90	6.56	—	—	0	29	22%	0	—	—
Marcos Paulo	D	61	6.29	—	1	1	35	29%	1	1	—
Messias	D	90	6.90	—	—	1	46	41%	3	—	—
Rodrigo Sam	D	90	7.38	1	—	1	70	65%	3	—	—
Diogo Barbosa	M	90	6.13	—	—	0	37	32%	3	—	—
Gabriel Pires	M	83	6.31	—	—	0	57	47%	2	—	—
Raí	M	90	9.00	1	1	5	38	33%	1	—	—
Raí Ramos	M	61	6.17	—	—	0	21	16%	2	—	—
Marcos Paulo	F	78	6.96	—	1	0	41	35%	0	—	—
Alisson Safira	F	90	6.49	—	—	4	15	9%	0	—	—
Fábio Lima	F	45	6.71	—	—	0	6	5%	0	—	—
Alan Kardec	F	12	6.40	—	—	1	1	0%	0	—	—
Juan Christian	F	29	6.41	—	—	0	12	9%	0	—	—
Luan Gonçalves	D	7	6.15	—	—	0	14	13%	0	—	—
M. Castro	F	45	6.04	—	—	1	13	12%	1	—	—
Nathan	D	29	6.56	—	—	1	20	18%	0	—	—

São Bernardo — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Alex Alves	G	90	5.81	—	—	0	24	15%	0	1	—
Pará	D	86	6.60	—	—	0	32	28%	2	—	—
Augusto	D	90	7.66	—	—	2	40	35%	2	—	—
Jemerson	D	90	6.29	—	—	0	38	33%	1	1	—
Marcão	D	90	6.72	—	—	0	42	40%	2	—	—
Rodrigo Ferreira	D	90	6.17	—	—	0	44	33%	1	1	—
Pedrinho	M	65	5.89	—	—	1	13	12%	0	—	—
Eduardo	M	90	6.68	—	—	2	66	53%	0	—	—
Lucas Lima	M	86	5.76	—	—	0	33	23%	0	1	—
Lucas Fernandes	M	76	7.13	1	—	2	24	20%	0	—	—
Felipe Garcia	F	65	7.65	1	1	1	19	16%	0	—	—
Foguinho	M	4	6.08	—	—	0	6	6%	0	—	—
Hugo Sanches	D	4	6.38	—	—	0	5	3%	0	—	—
Hyoran	M	14	6.07	—	—	0	6	5%	1	—	—
Lucas	F	25	6.57	—	—	1	7	7%	0	—	—
Pedro Vitor	F	25	6.55	—	—	1	9	8%	0	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Juventude vs São Bernardo?

The final score was Juventude 2–2 São Bernardo.

What did the model predict before Juventude vs São Bernardo?

The model assigned 56% probability to a Juventude win, 23% to a draw, and 20% to an São Bernardo win.